Mets vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into your seats, folks, because the New York Mets are rolling into PNC Park with bats blazing, ready to clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates in a midday showdown that’s got everyone talking! With the Mets just a hair under .500 and the Pirates hot on their heels, this 01:35 PM EST start is more than just a game—it’s a battle for National League pride. The stakes? The Mets are looking to widen the gap, sitting 13.5 games back, while the Pirates are not far behind at 9.0 games back. Vegas has the scoreboard buzzing with an over/under of 9.0, favoring the Mets slightly in the odds. Under partly cloudy skies and a gentle northern breeze, these two teams are gearing up after yesterday’s face-off where the Mets sailed to a 5-2 victory. So, as the Mets try to ‘Met-a-morphose’ their season and the Pirates aim to ‘Pill-age’ a win, today’s game is set to be an absolute treasure trove of action!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 07, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-131	+109	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-131	+109	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

130W-150L

56.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

130W-154L

43.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Push	-0.0
04/15/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Push	-0.0
04/16/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-5.0
04/16/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-5.0
04/17/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+1.0
04/17/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+1.0
07/05/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+7.0
07/05/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+7.0
07/06/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.0
07/06/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.0
06/09/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+12.0
06/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+12.0
06/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-3.0
06/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-3.0
06/11/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-6.0
06/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-6.0
08/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Push	-0.0
08/14/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Push	-0.0
08/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+2.0
08/15/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.0
08/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.0
08/16/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.672 | IP 83.3 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 81.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	@WAS	7-2W	7.0	5	2	5	Push
06-26-24	vsNYY	2-12W	5.0	2	0	3	Over
06-19-24	@TEX	3-5L	5.7	2	3	6	Under
06-14-24	vsSD	1-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
06-08-24	vsPHI	7-2L	3.7	7	6	3	Push
06-01-24	vsARI	10-5L	5.7	6	6	10	Over
05-26-24	vsSF	3-4W	5.0	5	2	6	Under
05-19-24	@MIA	7-3W	5.0	5	2	4	Over
05-13-24	vsPHI	5-4L	6.0	4	1	6	Push
05-06-24	@STL	4-3W	6.0	6	3	1	Under

Luis Ortiz

ERA 3.273 | IP 55.0 | 4.0W-2.0L | KO 47.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	vsSTL	7-4L	2.0	3	1	4	Over
06-26-24	@CIN	6-1W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
06-21-24	vsTB	10-3L	4.0	10	6	3	Over
06-14-24	@COL	5-2W	5.0	7	1	3	Under
06-08-24	vsMIN	0-4W	4.3	3	0	3	Under
06-01-24	@TOR	8-1W	3.0	1	0	3	Push
05-29-24	@DET	0-8L	2.7	4	1	3	Under
05-24-24	vsATL	5-11W	1.7	1	2	1	Over
05-21-24	vsSF	6-7W	2.7	3	1	0	Over
05-15-24	@MIL	2-10L	2.0	2	1	5	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Push
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over
06/30	@ HOU	7-2W	9	3	Push
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Push
06/23	vs CHC	11-1W	14	3	Over
06/21	vs TEX	3-5L	5	1	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	@ NYM	2-5L	6	1	Under
07/07	@ NYM	14-2W	16	7	Over
07/06	@ STL	2-3L	7	1	Under
07/05	@ STL	5-4W	11	1	Push
07/04	@ STL	4-7L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs ATL	4-2W	6	2	Under
07/01	vs ATL	1-2L	7	0	Under
06/30	vs ATL	1-6L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/27	vs CIN	9-5W	10	2	Over
06/26	vs CIN	5-11L	10	1	Over
06/25	@ TB	1-3L	3	1	Under
06/24	@ TB	4-3W	5	1	Under
06/23	@ TB	3-10L	5	1	Over
06/21	@ CIN	1-0W	3	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.8	12.9	0.244	0.441	0.343	0.784	0.322	0.042
#2 Brandon Nimmo	9.5	12.8	0.249	0.443	0.436	0.879	0.349	0.043
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.3	11.0	0.264	0.473	0.391	0.864	0.348	0.045
#4 Pete Alonso	8.3	11.0	0.243	0.467	0.368	0.835	0.338	0.054
#5 Francisco Alvarez	7.7	10.2	0.292	0.492	0.400	0.892	0.360	0.033
#6 DJ Stewart	8.2	11.2	0.176	0.321	0.412	0.733	0.295	0.038
#7 Mark Vientos	6.8	9.0	0.296	0.566	0.382	0.947	0.383	0.072
#8 Jeff McNeil	6.1	7.8	0.216	0.311	0.297	0.608	0.255	0.018
#9 Jose Iglesias	5.2	6.8	0.350	0.500	0.400	0.900	0.370	0.017

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	8.2	10.8	0.226	0.391	0.376	0.767	0.311	0.043
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.6	11.2	0.287	0.494	0.388	0.882	0.357	0.045
#3 Connor Joe	8.1	10.6	0.244	0.395	0.360	0.756	0.309	0.027
#4 Nick Gonzales	7.0	9.1	0.269	0.418	0.335	0.753	0.311	0.027
#5 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.5	8.3	0.225	0.296	0.317	0.613	0.256	0.013
#6 Edward Olivares	6.7	8.9	0.227	0.337	0.331	0.669	0.277	0.029
#7 Jared Triolo	5.7	7.4	0.205	0.281	0.317	0.598	0.250	0.018
#8 Joey Bart	5.5	7.4	0.243	0.457	0.400	0.857	0.343	0.057
#9 Michael A. Taylor	6.1	7.8	0.207	0.280	0.280	0.561	0.235	0.012

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 1.1
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0

Pirates Notable Injuries

Jared Jones OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 7.3
Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 3.8
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
David Bednar OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.3
Daulton Jefferies OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/07/24. Impact: 1.7