Mets vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some midday MLB action as the New York Mets, hanging in the balance with a .500 record, gear up to clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates at the scenic PNC Park. It’s a sunny showdown with a gentle breeze perfect for baseball, kicking off at 12:35PM EST. The stakes? Well, the Mets are looking to claw back from 12.5 games behind in the National League, while the Pirates, just a treasure chest’s reach away at 10 games back, aim to hoist their flag a little higher in the standings. With the betting lines drawing a near-even keel at Mets -106 and Pirates -114, and an over/under that promises some runs at 8.5, this game is shaping up to be as tantalizing as a duel on the high seas. Fresh off a narrow victory and defeat respectively, both teams are set to bring their A-game. So, who will sail to victory and who will walk the plank? Let’s find out if the Mets can “steel” a win in the Steel City or if the Pirates can defend their home “turf-asure”!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 08, 2024 12:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 82.0° with 55% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-106	-114	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+101	-121	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+207	-7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

131W-150L

49.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

130W-155L

50.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5
04/15/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+0.5
04/16/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-4.5
04/16/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-4.5
04/17/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+1.5
04/17/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+1.5
07/05/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+7.5
07/05/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+7.5
07/06/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
07/06/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.5
07/07/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
07/07/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-3.5
06/09/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+12.5
06/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+12.5
06/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
06/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.5
06/11/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
06/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.5
08/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+0.5
08/14/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+0.5
08/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+2.5
08/15/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.5
08/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.5
08/16/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Christian Scott

ERA 4.32 | IP 33.3 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-03-24	@WAS	5-7L	5.7	6	4	2	Over
05-30-24	vsARI	2-3W	5.0	4	2	4	Under
05-24-24	vsSF	8-7L	6.0	2	2	4	Over
05-17-24	@MIA	0-8L	4.0	7	4	3	Under
05-11-24	vsATL	4-1L	6.0	6	3	8	Under
05-04-24	@TB	1-3L	6.7	5	1	6	Under

Mitch Keller

ERA 3.484 | IP 103.3 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 96.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	vsSTL	7-4L	5.0	9	6	5	Over
06-25-24	@CIN	9-5W	5.7	6	4	6	Over
06-19-24	vsCIN	0-1W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
06-13-24	@STL	3-4L	6.0	8	4	4	Under
06-07-24	vsMIN	0-3W	6.0	7	0	8	Under
06-01-24	@TOR	8-1W	6.0	5	1	8	Over
05-25-24	vsATL	1-4W	6.7	6	1	4	Under
05-19-24	@CHC	3-2W	6.0	2	2	3	Under
05-13-24	@MIL	8-6W	6.0	8	0	7	Over
05-06-24	vsLAA	1-4W	9.0	5	1	5	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Over
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over
06/30	@ HOU	7-2W	9	3	Over
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Over
06/23	vs CHC	11-1W	14	3	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/09	@ NYM	2-3L	6	0	Under
07/08	@ NYM	2-5L	6	1	Under
07/07	@ NYM	14-2W	16	7	Over
07/06	@ STL	2-3L	7	1	Under
07/05	@ STL	5-4W	11	1	Over
07/04	@ STL	4-7L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs ATL	4-2W	6	2	Under
07/01	vs ATL	1-2L	7	0	Under
06/30	vs ATL	1-6L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/27	vs CIN	9-5W	10	2	Over
06/26	vs CIN	5-11L	10	1	Over
06/25	@ TB	1-3L	3	1	Under
06/24	@ TB	4-3W	5	1	Under
06/23	@ TB	3-10L	5	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.9	11.7	0.250	0.447	0.350	0.797	0.327	0.042
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.5	11.5	0.249	0.443	0.437	0.880	0.349	0.042
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.8	11.6	0.259	0.464	0.388	0.853	0.344	0.045
#4 Pete Alonso	9.2	12.3	0.243	0.464	0.367	0.831	0.337	0.053
#5 Francisco Alvarez	8.2	10.8	0.293	0.496	0.407	0.902	0.363	0.033
#6 Mark Vientos	7.2	9.5	0.295	0.558	0.378	0.936	0.379	0.071
#7 Tyrone Taylor	7.2	9.4	0.216	0.369	0.278	0.648	0.271	0.028
#8 Jeff McNeil	6.3	8.1	0.214	0.308	0.293	0.601	0.252	0.018
#9 Harrison Bader	6.6	8.6	0.267	0.404	0.338	0.742	0.307	0.025

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.8	10.3	0.227	0.390	0.379	0.770	0.311	0.043
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.1	10.5	0.283	0.489	0.383	0.872	0.353	0.044
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.4	11.0	0.243	0.435	0.326	0.761	0.313	0.043
#4 Connor Joe	6.8	8.9	0.242	0.392	0.362	0.754	0.308	0.027
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.4	8.4	0.249	0.390	0.329	0.718	0.296	0.033
#6 Nick Gonzales	6.5	8.5	0.269	0.414	0.333	0.747	0.309	0.027
#7 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.2	7.9	0.230	0.299	0.320	0.619	0.259	0.012
#8 Jack Suwinski	6.3	8.4	0.184	0.330	0.297	0.627	0.260	0.038
#9 Yasmani Grandal	5.2	6.9	0.183	0.300	0.225	0.525	0.222	0.025

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.3
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0

Pirates Notable Injuries

Jared Jones OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 7.3
Bailey Falter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 4.9
Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 3.8
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
David Bednar OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.3
Daulton Jefferies OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/07/24. Impact: 1.7