Mets vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park as the New York Mets, with a solid 68 wins under their belts, cruise into San Diego to clash with the 73-win Padres in a battle that’s got more at stake than just bragging rights. With the first pitch set to fly at 04:10 PM EST, both teams are itching to climb up those National League standings, where the Mets are trailing by 7 and the Padres are hot on their heels just 4.5 games back. The betting lines are buzzing, pegging the Padres as slight favorites in a game with an over/under that’s teasing a total of 8.5 runs. Given the Mets’ recent triumph over the Padres, and San Diego’s thirst for revenge after yesterday’s 7-1 bruising, today’s matchup is primed to be an electrifying display of baseball prowess. And with the weather playing nice—partly cloudy skies and a gentle northern breeze—it’s the perfect day for some major league magic. So, as the Padres try to mete out some payback and the Mets look to pad their lead, expect this game to be an absolute Met-co Park marvel!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 25, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+107	-128	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+104	-124	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

141W-160L

49.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

165W-140L

51.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/14/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.5
06/14/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.5
06/15/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.5
06/15/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
06/16/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+8.5
06/16/24	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+8.5
08/22/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5
08/22/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+2.5
08/23/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.5
08/23/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Under	-1.5
08/24/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Under	-0.5
08/24/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-0.5
04/10/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-3.5
04/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-3.5
04/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-2.5
04/11/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
04/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
04/12/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
07/07/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+3.5
07/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+3.5
07/08/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.5
07/08/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-4.5
07/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-0.5
07/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-0.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 4.418 | IP 128.3 | 6.0W-8.0L | KO 98.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	vsBAL	9-5L	5.0	8	7	3	Over
08-15-24	vsOAK	7-6L	4.0	7	4	1	Over
08-09-24	@SEA	0-6L	6.7	4	5	8	Under
08-04-24	@LAA	2-3L	5.0	3	3	4	Under
07-29-24	vsMIN	2-15W	6.0	5	1	5	Over
07-23-24	@NYY	3-2W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
07-09-24	vsWAS	5-7W	7.0	1	0	5	Over
07-04-24	@WAS	0-1L	7.0	4	0	1	Under
06-28-24	vsHOU	2-7W	4.0	6	2	7	Push
06-21-24	@CHC	11-1W	6.3	4	1	8	Over

Martin Perez

ERA 4.585 | IP 106.0 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 86.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	vsMIN	5-7W	4.7	7	3	2	Over
08-14-24	vsPIT	2-8W	5.3	5	1	8	Over
08-09-24	@MIA	6-2W	7.0	3	2	6	Under
08-03-24	vsCOL	2-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
07-24-24	@STL	0-5W	6.0	4	0	2	Under
07-19-24	@PHI	7-8W	3.7	7	6	4	Over
07-10-24	@MIL	0-9W	4.7	9	5	5	Push
07-04-24	@STL	3-2L	7.3	6	1	2	Under
06-28-24	@ATL	1-6W	4.0	8	6	4	Under
05-26-24	@ATL	8-1L	3.0	4	1	2	Push

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/26	vs SD	7-1W	5	3	Under
08/25	vs SD	0-7L	2	0	Under
08/24	vs SD	8-3W	17	0	Over
08/23	@ BAL	4-3W	8	3	Under
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/20	@ MIA	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/19	@ MIA	4-0W	7	2	Under
08/18	@ MIA	7-3W	10	2	Over
08/17	@ OAK	6-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ OAK	9-1W	11	2	Over
08/15	@ OAK	4-9L	9	0	Over
08/13	vs SEA	1-12L	6	1	Over
08/12	vs SEA	0-4L	4	0	Under
08/11	vs SEA	0-6L	7	0	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/26	@ NYM	1-7L	6	0	Under
08/25	@ NYM	7-0W	16	2	Under
08/24	@ NYM	3-8L	7	0	Over
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Under
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over
08/18	vs COL	3-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ PIT	8-2W	10	2	Over
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.8	12.9	0.267	0.489	0.375	0.864	0.350	0.051
#2 Mark Vientos	8.6	11.4	0.278	0.549	0.366	0.915	0.372	0.068
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.3	11.1	0.246	0.429	0.376	0.805	0.326	0.040
#4 Pete Alonso	8.1	10.8	0.246	0.465	0.379	0.844	0.341	0.053
#5 Starling Marte	8.4	10.7	0.279	0.412	0.351	0.763	0.314	0.027
#6 Jose Iglesias	7.7	9.9	0.321	0.465	0.403	0.868	0.354	0.019
#7 Luis Torrens	5.9	7.8	0.264	0.429	0.352	0.780	0.320	0.033
#8 Tyrone Taylor	7.1	9.2	0.237	0.393	0.300	0.693	0.288	0.023
#9 Harrison Bader	5.8	7.5	0.251	0.383	0.323	0.707	0.294	0.027

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jurickson Profar	8.4	11.2	0.287	0.474	0.445	0.920	0.366	0.045
#2 Donovan Solano	8.0	10.3	0.304	0.435	0.386	0.821	0.336	0.029
#3 Xander Bogaerts	8.2	10.3	0.264	0.368	0.332	0.700	0.290	0.020
#4 Manny Machado	8.0	10.5	0.267	0.440	0.338	0.779	0.320	0.041
#5 Jake Cronenworth	7.2	9.5	0.244	0.403	0.357	0.760	0.311	0.033
#6 Luis Campusano	6.6	8.7	0.227	0.356	0.291	0.648	0.270	0.028
#7 Jackson Merrill	6.7	8.6	0.291	0.487	0.341	0.828	0.340	0.041
#8 Bryce Johnson	5.2	6.7	0.232	0.268	0.357	0.625	0.259	0.000
#9 Mason McCoy	5.4	6.8	0.364	0.364	0.545	0.909	0.355	0.000

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6
Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2