Mets vs Giants Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 22nd 2024

Get ready for a clash of coasts and conferences as the New York Mets, sitting pretty with a 12-9 record, jet over to the breezy Bay Area to face the San Francisco Giants, who are trying to find their footing at 10-13, under the lights of Oracle Park tonight at 9:45 PM EST. Both squads are hungry to close that 2.5-game gap in the National League, making every pitch count. With the betting world buzzing, the line’s drawn with the Mets at +105 and the Giants holding a slight edge at -125, while the over/under teeters at a tantalizing 7.5. Coming off a rough tumble against the Dodgers and the Giants still smarting from their tussle with Arizona, both teams are itching to bounce back. The forecast? Partly cloudy with a breeze just brisk enough to remind you it’s baseball weather. So, as the Mets try to ‘Met-smerize’ and the Giants aim to ‘giant-step’ their way back to victory, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 22, 2024 09:45PM EST

Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 55.0° with 80% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	SF ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+102	-122	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+3	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

114W-134L

49.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

143W-105L

50.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/20/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+5.5
04/20/23	San Francisco Giants SF	4	Over	+5.5
04/21/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Under	-0.5
04/21/23	San Francisco Giants SF	0	Under	-0.5
04/22/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+3.5
04/22/23	San Francisco Giants SF	7	Over	+3.5
04/23/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
04/23/23	San Francisco Giants SF	5	Over	+1.5
06/30/23	San Francisco Giants SF	5	Over	+1.5
06/30/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
07/01/23	San Francisco Giants SF	1	Under	-2.5
07/01/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.5
07/02/23	San Francisco Giants SF	4	Over	+4.5
07/02/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+4.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Giants Vs Over/Under

Adrian Houser

ERA 7.448 | IP 19.3 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	vsPIT	1-3W	5.0	4	1	4	Under
04-11-24	@ATL	16-4W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over
09-17-23	vsCIN	4-8W	6.7	8	2	2	Over
09-11-23	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
09-05-23	@WAS	11-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Over
08-29-23	vsTEX	2-1L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
04-21-24	@LAD	0-10L	4.0	7	8	3	Over
04-15-24	vsPIT	3-6W	5.3	2	2	5	Over
04-09-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
04-04-24	vsDET	6-3L	5.0	3	1	3	Over
10-01-23	@CHC	0-4W	5.0	3	0	5	Under
09-26-23	@STL	4-1L	5.0	3	4	5	Under
09-20-23	@STL	8-2L	6.0	4	1	4	Over
09-14-23	@MIA	2-4W	5.0	5	2	5	Under
08-27-23	@SD	6-10W	2.0	4	4	2	Over
08-20-23	@TEX	6-2L	5.0	6	1	7	Push

Jordan Hicks

ERA 1.607 | IP 28.0 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 18.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-17-24	@MIA	3-1W	6.0	4	1	4	Under
04-12-24	@TB	1-2L	5.0	5	2	6	Under
04-06-24	vsSD	4-0L	6.0	3	4	1	Under
04-01-24	@LAD	3-8L	5.0	4	3	6	Over
09-29-23	vsLAD	6-2L	5.3	6	6	5	Push
09-16-23	@COL	5-9L	4.0	3	3	5	Over
09-10-23	vsCOL	3-6W	6.0	5	3	9	Over
09-03-23	@SD	0-4L	5.0	4	0	2	Under
07-04-23	vsSEA	6-0L	4.0	6	3	2	Under
06-29-23	@TOR	1-2L	6.0	3	2	3	Under
04-21-24	vsARI	5-3L	5.0	1	1	0	Push
04-16-24	@MIA	3-6L	5.0	3	2	5	Over
04-10-24	vsWAS	1-7W	6.0	4	1	2	Push
04-05-24	vsSD	2-3W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
03-30-24	@SD	9-6W	5.0	3	0	6	Over
09-30-23	@TB	7-5L	2.0	3	3	2	Over
09-24-23	@TB	9-5L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
09-22-23	@TB	6-2L	1.0	2	0	3	Push
09-20-23	@NYY	6-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-19-23	@NYY	7-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Push

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under

Giants Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	@ ARI	3-5L	5	1	Push
04/22	@ ARI	7-3W	16	2	Over
04/21	@ ARI	1-17L	4	1	Over
04/20	@ ARI	5-0W	8	0	Under
04/19	vs MIA	3-1W	9	0	Under
04/18	vs MIA	3-6L	9	1	Over
04/17	vs MIA	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/16	vs TB	4-9L	10	1	Over
04/15	vs TB	11-2W	13	5	Over
04/14	vs TB	1-2L	6	0	Under
04/12	@ WAS	7-1W	12	0	Push
04/11	@ WAS	3-5L	10	0	Push
04/10	@ WAS	1-7L	6	0	Push
04/09	@ SD	3-2W	6	0	Under
04/08	@ SD	0-4L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	7.9	10.9	0.208	0.351	45.5%	80.5%	2.6%
#2 Starling Marte	7.2	9.4	0.276	0.448	34.5%	79.3%	4.6%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.4	9.8	0.188	0.294	31.8%	61.2%	2.4%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.3	9.7	0.241	0.482	36.1%	84.3%	7.2%
#5 Brett Baty	5.9	7.6	0.281	0.344	35.9%	70.3%	1.6%
#5 DJ Stewart	7.7	10.7	0.235	0.559	58.8%	114.7%	8.8%
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.2	8.1	0.254	0.373	40.3%	77.6%	1.5%
#7 Harrison Bader	6.2	7.7	0.308	0.385	35.4%	73.8%	1.5%
#8 Joey Wendle	5.6	6.9	0.3	0.35	35.0%	70.0%	0.0%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.3	5.8	0.2	0.24	28.0%	52.0%	0.0%

San Francisco Giants	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jung Hoo Lee	7.8	9.9	0.282	0.388	37.6%	76.5%	2.4%
#1 Austin Slater	6.7	9.5	0.095	0.095	33.3%	42.9%	0.0%
#2 Wilmer Flores	7.5	10.2	0.218	0.273	34.5%	61.8%	0.0%
#2 LaMonte Wade Jr.	7.1	9.2	0.358	0.472	54.7%	101.9%	1.9%
#3 Jorge Soler	7.9	10.4	0.235	0.432	38.3%	81.5%	4.9%
#4 Michael Conforto	6.7	8.9	0.259	0.469	32.1%	79.0%	4.9%
#5 Matt Chapman	7.0	9.3	0.225	0.427	30.3%	73.0%	4.5%
#6 Patrick Bailey	6.1	7.8	0.321	0.528	45.3%	98.1%	3.8%
#6 Tom Murphy	6.1	8.5	0.083	0.125	20.8%	33.3%	0.0%
#7 Thairo Estrada	6.7	8.7	0.23	0.391	25.3%	64.4%	3.4%
#8 Tyler Fitzgerald	5.6	7.0	0.273	0.455	36.4%	81.8%	0.0%
#8 Mike Yastrzemski	6.4	8.7	0.182	0.25	31.8%	56.8%	2.3%
#9 Nick Ahmed	4.5	5.5	0.284	0.358	34.3%	70.1%	0.0%