Mets vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Tonight’s showdown at Rogers Centre promises fireworks as the New York Mets, hustling to close a 6.5-game gap in the National League, square off against the Toronto Blue Jays, who are looking to shake off a recent stumble in the American League standings. With the first pitch slated for 07:07 PM EST under a partly cloudy sky, the stage is set for an epic clash. Both teams are itching to bounce back from narrow defeats, and with the betting lines buzzing and an over/under of 8.5, it’s anyone’s game. So, as the winds from the southwest add a chill to the Toronto air, will the Mets fly higher than the Jays tonight, or will the home birds ground the visitors in their quest for victory?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 09, 2024 07:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 62.8° with 88% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-118	-102	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-135	+113	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-17	+215	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

146W-162L

57.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

170W-141L

42.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.5
06/02/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-5.5
06/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-5.5
06/03/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
06/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+1.5
06/04/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Tylor Megill

ERA 4.793 | IP 56.3 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 64.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-04-24	vsBOS	3-8W	4.0	5	3	3	Over
08-30-24	@CWS	5-1W	5.3	5	1	6	Under
07-31-24	vsMIN	8-3L	2.0	3	1	2	Over
07-27-24	vsATL	4-0L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
06-29-24	vsHOU	9-6L	5.3	5	4	6	Over
06-22-24	@CHC	1-8L	3.0	5	6	6	Push
06-16-24	vsSD	6-11W	5.0	5	2	5	Over
06-11-24	vsMIA	4-2L	4.7	4	3	8	Under
06-03-24	@WAS	8-7W	5.0	7	5	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	5-2L	7.0	3	0	9	Under

Ryan Burr

ERA 4.563 | IP 23.7 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-07-24	@ATL	9-5W	1.0	0	0	2	Over
09-04-24	vsPHI	4-2L	1.0	2	1	1	Under
09-03-24	vsPHI	10-9L	0.3	1	0	0	Over
08-31-24	@MIN	15-0W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
08-28-24	@BOS	0-3L	0.3	0	0	0	Under
08-26-24	@BOS	4-1W	1.3	0	0	3	Under
08-22-24	vsLAA	3-5W	1.0	2	0	2	Under
08-19-24	vsCIN	6-3L	1.0	3	2	2	Push
08-18-24	@CHC	1-0W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
08-13-24	@LAA	6-1W	1.0	0	0	3	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/10	@ CIN	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/09	@ CIN	4-0W	6	1	Under
09/08	@ CIN	6-4W	9	2	Over
09/06	@ BOS	8-3W	7	1	Over
09/05	@ BOS	7-2W	7	3	Push
09/04	@ BOS	4-1W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs CWS	2-0W	7	1	Under
09/02	vs CWS	5-3W	10	2	Under
09/01	vs CWS	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/31	vs ARI	3-2W	10	2	Under
08/30	vs ARI	5-8L	6	1	Over
08/29	vs ARI	8-3W	13	1	Over
08/27	vs SD	2-3L	7	2	Under
08/26	vs SD	7-1W	5	3	Under
08/25	vs SD	0-7L	2	0	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/10	vs ATL	3-4L	8	1	Under
09/09	vs ATL	9-5W	17	2	Over
09/08	vs ATL	1-3L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ PHI	2-4L	6	0	Under
09/05	@ PHI	9-10L	16	4	Over
09/03	vs MIN	3-4L	3	1	Under
09/02	vs MIN	15-0W	23	4	Over
09/01	vs MIN	0-2L	7	0	Under
08/31	vs BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
08/30	vs BOS	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/29	vs BOS	3-6L	11	2	Push
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Over
08/27	@ LAA	8-2W	7	2	Over
08/26	@ LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	10.1	13.3	0.268	0.491	0.373	0.864	0.351	0.052
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.9	12.0	0.231	0.401	0.401	0.802	0.322	0.036
#3 Mark Vientos	8.0	10.5	0.287	0.559	0.376	0.935	0.379	0.071
#4 Pete Alonso	8.8	11.7	0.240	0.464	0.371	0.834	0.337	0.056
#5 Jesse Winker	7.6	10.0	0.267	0.427	0.430	0.857	0.342	0.035
#6 J.D. Martinez	8.0	10.7	0.250	0.438	0.376	0.814	0.330	0.041
#7 Jose Iglesias	7.1	9.0	0.305	0.432	0.379	0.811	0.333	0.016
#8 DJ Stewart	6.1	8.3	0.174	0.297	0.400	0.697	0.282	0.032
#9 Francisco Alvarez	5.8	7.6	0.231	0.365	0.333	0.698	0.287	0.024

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.8	10.3	0.221	0.384	0.344	0.728	0.298	0.039
#2 Daulton Varsho	9.3	12.4	0.213	0.409	0.328	0.737	0.301	0.040
#3 V. Guerrero	8.3	10.9	0.321	0.546	0.445	0.991	0.394	0.050
#4 Spencer Horwitz	7.6	10.0	0.275	0.472	0.419	0.891	0.356	0.045
#5 Will Wagner	7.5	9.5	0.329	0.493	0.356	0.849	0.352	0.027
#6 Alejandro Kirk	6.0	7.9	0.242	0.346	0.353	0.699	0.288	0.017
#7 Addison Barger	6.3	8.4	0.204	0.395	0.251	0.647	0.271	0.042
#8 Leo Jimenez	5.4	7.1	0.230	0.385	0.385	0.770	0.316	0.030
#9 Nathan Lukes	6.0	7.5	0.476	0.619	0.667	1.286	0.481	0.000

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
Jeff McNeil OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.382 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.9
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8