Mets vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Today’s MLB face-off is nothing short of electric as the New York Mets, boasting a solid 79-66 record, swoop into the Rogers Centre, looking to settle scores against the Toronto Blue Jays, who are currently sitting at 67-76 this season. With the first pitch at 3:07 PM EST, the atmosphere is buzzing! The Mets are clawing their way up the National League, while the Jays are trying to find their swing in the American League. Odds makers are stirring the pot too, setting the over/under tantalizingly at 8.0, hinting at a tight contest ahead. Just yesterday, the Blue Jays plucked a neat win from the Mets, and with today’s perfect game weather—sunny skies with a gentle breeze—it’s anyone’s game. So, as the Mets try to ‘Met-amorphose’ their recent loss into a win, and the Jays aim to ‘Blue’ past their rivals again, expect every pitch to be a flight of fancy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 11, 2024 03:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 69.8° with 69% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-123	+103	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-124	+104	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-1	+1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

147W-163L

55.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

171W-142L

44.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/09/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.0
09/09/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.0
09/10/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Push	-0.0
09/10/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Push	-0.0
06/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.0
06/02/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-5.0
06/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-5.0
06/03/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.0
06/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+2.0
06/04/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.432 | IP 157.3 | 11.0W-5.0L | KO 163.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-06-24	vsCIN	4-6W	6.7	3	4	9	Over
09-01-24	@CWS	2-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
08-27-24	@ARI	8-3W	6.7	4	3	11	Over
08-21-24	vsBAL	3-4W	7.0	3	3	9	Under
08-16-24	vsMIA	3-7W	7.0	5	3	4	Over
08-10-24	@SEA	0-4L	3.0	4	3	3	Under
08-05-24	@STL	6-0W	7.0	6	0	10	Under
07-30-24	vsMIN	0-2W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
07-24-24	@NYY	12-3W	4.7	3	2	4	Over
07-19-24	@MIA	4-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over

Bowden Francis

ERA 3.72 | IP 84.7 | 8.0W-4.0L | KO 81.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-04-24	vsPHI	4-2L	6.0	6	3	6	Under
08-29-24	@BOS	2-0W	7.0	1	0	5	Under
08-24-24	vsLAA	1-3W	8.0	1	1	12	Under
08-18-24	@CHC	1-0W	7.0	3	0	7	Under
08-12-24	@LAA	4-2W	7.0	1	1	8	Under
08-07-24	vsBAL	7-3L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
08-04-24	@NYY	3-4L	0.3	1	1	0	Under
07-29-24	@BAL	8-4W	5.7	6	3	2	Over
07-13-24	@ARI	1-12L	2.0	1	0	1	Over
07-10-24	@SF	10-6W	1.0	2	2	2	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	vs TOR	2-6L	6	0	Over
09/11	vs TOR	3-2W	3	0	Under
09/10	@ CIN	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/09	@ CIN	4-0W	6	1	Under
09/08	@ CIN	6-4W	9	2	Over
09/06	@ BOS	8-3W	7	1	Over
09/05	@ BOS	7-2W	7	3	Over
09/04	@ BOS	4-1W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs CWS	2-0W	7	1	Under
09/02	vs CWS	5-3W	10	2	Over
09/01	vs CWS	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/31	vs ARI	3-2W	10	2	Under
08/30	vs ARI	5-8L	6	1	Over
08/29	vs ARI	8-3W	13	1	Over
08/27	vs SD	2-3L	7	2	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	@ NYM	6-2W	12	0	Over
09/11	@ NYM	2-3L	4	0	Under
09/10	vs ATL	3-4L	8	1	Under
09/09	vs ATL	9-5W	17	2	Over
09/08	vs ATL	1-3L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ PHI	2-4L	6	0	Under
09/05	@ PHI	9-10L	16	4	Over
09/03	vs MIN	3-4L	3	1	Under
09/02	vs MIN	15-0W	23	4	Over
09/01	vs MIN	0-2L	7	0	Under
08/31	vs BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
08/30	vs BOS	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/29	vs BOS	3-6L	11	2	Over
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.1	11.9	0.267	0.487	0.374	0.861	0.349	0.051
#2 Jesse Winker	7.4	9.8	0.268	0.428	0.435	0.862	0.344	0.034
#3 Mark Vientos	8.1	10.7	0.281	0.548	0.371	0.919	0.373	0.070
#4 Pete Alonso	7.9	10.5	0.238	0.459	0.370	0.829	0.335	0.055
#5 Brandon Nimmo	7.2	9.7	0.229	0.396	0.396	0.793	0.319	0.036
#6 J.D. Martinez	6.8	9.1	0.247	0.432	0.371	0.803	0.326	0.040
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.2	7.9	0.309	0.438	0.392	0.830	0.340	0.015
#8 DJ Stewart	5.4	7.4	0.177	0.297	0.399	0.696	0.282	0.032
#9 Francisco Alvarez	5.3	6.9	0.234	0.364	0.337	0.701	0.288	0.023

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.2	10.8	0.219	0.379	0.343	0.722	0.296	0.039
#2 Daulton Varsho	6.7	8.9	0.211	0.403	0.324	0.727	0.298	0.040
#3 V. Guerrero	8.2	10.7	0.319	0.541	0.444	0.985	0.392	0.049
#4 Alejandro Kirk	7.5	9.8	0.243	0.348	0.351	0.699	0.288	0.017
#5 Ernie Clement	5.5	7.1	0.259	0.416	0.292	0.708	0.295	0.030
#6 Spencer Horwitz	6.2	8.2	0.279	0.478	0.423	0.901	0.360	0.044
#7 Davis Schneider	6.4	8.5	0.189	0.333	0.325	0.658	0.272	0.028
#8 Leo Jimenez	5.3	7.0	0.229	0.379	0.400	0.779	0.318	0.029
#9 Brian Serven	4.6	6.1	0.169	0.237	0.271	0.508	0.218	0.000

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
Jeff McNeil OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.382 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.9
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8