Mets vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB Daily Fantasy action as the New York Mets duke it out with the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park tonight! With the Mets trying to claw their way up from 12.5 games back and the Nats not far behind at 16.5, every pitch counts in this National League showdown. The stakes are high with the betting lines tipping in favor of the Mets at -132, and an over/under that promises a tight 8.5 runs under partly cloudy skies. Fresh off their explosive face-off yesterday where the Mets took the win, the Nationals are itching to turn the tables in their own backyard. So, as the first pitch looms at 06:45PM EST, let’s see if the Mets can keep swinging their way to victory, or if the Nationals have a home-field trick up their sleeve. After all, in this game, it’s all about whether the Mets can catch another win or if the Nationals will write their own capital comeback!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 03, 2024 06:45PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 77.5° with 69% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-132	+110	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-132	+110	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

129W-147L

56.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

109W-168L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/03/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+6.5
06/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+6.5
06/04/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+0.5
06/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+0.5
06/05/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+1.5
06/05/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+1.5
07/01/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+7.5
07/01/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+7.5
07/02/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+0.5
07/02/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+0.5
04/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-3.5
04/25/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-3.5
04/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-3.5
04/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.5
04/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+8.5
04/27/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+8.5
05/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
05/12/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.5
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.5
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+1.5
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.5
05/15/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+4.5
05/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+4.5
07/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-5.5
07/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.5
07/28/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-2.5
07/28/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
07/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+8.5
07/29/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+8.5
07/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
07/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
09/05/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+7.5
09/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.5
09/06/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.5
09/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Christian Scott

ERA 3.904 | IP 27.7 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-30-24	vsARI	2-3W	5.0	4	2	4	Under
05-24-24	vsSF	8-7L	6.0	2	2	4	Over
05-17-24	@MIA	0-8L	4.0	7	4	3	Under
05-11-24	vsATL	4-1L	6.0	6	3	8	Under
05-04-24	@TB	1-3L	6.7	5	1	6	Under

Mitchell Parker

ERA 3.318 | IP 78.7 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 63.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-28-24	@TB	1-3L	5.0	6	2	5	Under
06-22-24	@COL	7-8L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
06-16-24	vsMIA	1-3W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-11-24	@DET	5-4W	4.7	4	4	1	Over
06-06-24	vsATL	5-2L	7.0	3	2	2	Under
06-01-24	@CLE	2-3L	5.7	4	3	5	Under
05-27-24	@ATL	8-4W	6.3	5	3	6	Over
05-20-24	vsMIN	3-12W	6.0	7	3	7	Over
05-14-24	@CWS	0-4L	5.0	5	3	3	Under
05-08-24	vsBAL	7-6L	5.7	5	2	3	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Over
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over
06/30	@ HOU	7-2W	9	3	Over
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Over
06/23	vs CHC	11-1W	14	3	Over
06/21	vs TEX	3-5L	5	1	Under
06/20	vs TEX	7-6W	10	2	Over
06/19	vs TEX	14-2W	22	2	Over
06/18	@ SD	11-6W	14	3	Over
06/17	@ SD	5-1W	10	2	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	@ NYM	2-7L	6	0	Over
07/03	@ NYM	7-9L	11	0	Over
07/02	vs TB	0-5L	3	0	Under
07/01	vs TB	7-1W	13	1	Under
06/30	vs TB	1-3L	5	0	Under
06/28	vs SD	5-8L	5	0	Over
06/27	vs SD	7-9L	9	1	Over
06/26	vs SD	6-7L	11	1	Over
06/25	vs COL	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/24	vs COL	7-8L	11	2	Over
06/23	vs COL	11-5W	19	2	Over
06/22	@ ARI	2-5L	4	2	Under
06/21	@ ARI	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/20	@ ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
06/18	@ MIA	3-1W	9	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	10.0	13.1	0.249	0.446	0.346	0.792	0.325	0.041
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.4	11.3	0.251	0.454	0.440	0.893	0.354	0.045
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.5	11.3	0.273	0.488	0.402	0.890	0.357	0.048
#4 Pete Alonso	9.3	12.4	0.247	0.478	0.378	0.856	0.346	0.056
#5 Mark Vientos	8.4	11.1	0.305	0.574	0.397	0.972	0.391	0.071
#6 Francisco Alvarez	7.7	10.2	0.301	0.513	0.407	0.920	0.370	0.035
#7 Tyrone Taylor	7.5	9.8	0.217	0.355	0.283	0.639	0.267	0.024
#8 Jose Iglesias	6.1	7.9	0.388	0.551	0.449	1.000	0.407	0.020
#9 Jeff McNeil	5.7	7.4	0.213	0.300	0.296	0.596	0.250	0.015

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.5	11.1	0.286	0.510	0.386	0.896	0.362	0.042
#2 Lane Thomas	8.4	11.0	0.234	0.405	0.333	0.739	0.303	0.036
#3 Jesse Winker	6.5	8.6	0.261	0.410	0.452	0.862	0.342	0.034
#4 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.5	8.3	0.257	0.387	0.301	0.688	0.286	0.026
#5 Joey Meneses	6.8	8.9	0.234	0.311	0.330	0.641	0.267	0.011
#6 James Wood	5.4	7.0	0.143	0.143	0.429	0.571	0.237	0.000
#7 Keibert Ruiz	5.5	7.0	0.213	0.301	0.269	0.569	0.241	0.019
#8 Nick Senzel	5.1	6.7	0.211	0.367	0.352	0.719	0.293	0.035
#9 Jacob Young	5.6	7.2	0.268	0.338	0.355	0.693	0.288	0.004

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0