Yankees vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready, sports fans, because tonight’s MLB showdown is an all-New York knuckle-duster that you won’t want to miss! The high-flying Yankees, who’ve been slicing through the American League with a razor-sharp 51-28 record, are zooming into Citi Field to clash with the Mets, who are looking to climb up from their 37-39 stance in the National League. The stage is set for a 07:10 PM EST start in sunny Queens, where the weather gods are smiling with perfect baseball skies and a gentle breeze. With the Yankees favored at -153 and an intriguing over/under of 4.5, the stakes are as high as the skyscrapers. While the Mets recently snagged a victory against the Cubs, the Yankees are hungry to bounce back from a stumble against the Braves. So, who will own the Big Apple tonight? It’s a subway series that’s sure to be a homerun hootenanny, where only one New York team can take a bite out of victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 25, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 10.3 mph. Temperature is at 81.6° with 35% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYY ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-153	+128	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-144	+121	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+9	-7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

154W-126L

59.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

158W-120L

41.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+8.5
06/13/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+8.5
06/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+2.5
06/14/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.5
07/25/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+7.5
07/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+7.5
07/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-0.5
07/26/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-0.5

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Gerrit Cole

ERA 4.5 | IP 4.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 5.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-19-24	vsBAL	7-6L	4.0	3	2	5	Over
09-27-23	@TOR	6-0W	9.0	2	0	5	Under
09-21-23	vsTOR	3-5W	8.0	2	1	9	Under
09-15-23	@PIT	7-5W	5.0	6	2	4	Over
09-10-23	vsMIL	3-4W	7.0	3	0	9	Under
09-05-23	vsDET	1-5W	6.0	8	1	7	Under
08-30-23	@DET	6-2W	6.0	4	2	7	Under
08-25-23	@TB	6-2W	7.7	3	2	11	Under
08-19-23	vsBOS	8-1L	4.0	7	6	4	Over
08-13-23	@MIA	7-8L	6.0	6	2	6	Over

David Peterson

ERA 3.971 | IP 22.7 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-17-24	@TEX	14-2W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
06-12-24	vsMIA	4-10W	5.0	8	4	1	Over
06-04-24	@WAS	6-3W	6.7	5	2	2	Over
05-29-24	vsLAD	10-3L	5.0	7	3	3	Over
10-02-23	vsMIA	0-1W	6.3	4	0	8	Under
09-21-23	@PHI	4-5L	4.0	5	4	7	Over
09-15-23	vsCIN	5-3L	5.7	6	3	10	Under
09-09-23	@MIN	4-8L	6.0	8	3	8	Over
09-02-23	vsSEA	8-7L	4.0	7	4	4	Over
08-27-23	vsLAA	2-3W	7.0	3	1	8	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/25	@ ATL	1-3L	7	0	Under
06/24	@ ATL	8-3W	9	2	Over
06/23	@ ATL	1-8L	3	0	Over
06/22	@ BAL	5-17L	6	2	Over
06/21	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
06/20	@ BAL	4-2W	6	0	Under
06/18	vs BOS	3-9L	6	2	Over
06/17	vs BOS	4-8L	6	1	Over
06/16	vs BOS	8-1W	10	2	Over
06/15	vs KC	3-4L	5	1	Under
06/14	vs KC	11-4W	11	3	Over
06/13	vs KC	10-1W	10	3	Over
06/12	vs KC	4-2W	9	0	Under
06/11	@ LAD	6-4W	9	3	Over
06/10	@ LAD	3-11L	10	2	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Over
06/23	vs CHC	11-1W	14	3	Over
06/21	vs TEX	3-5L	5	1	Under
06/20	vs TEX	7-6W	10	2	Over
06/19	vs TEX	14-2W	22	2	Over
06/18	@ SD	11-6W	14	3	Over
06/17	@ SD	5-1W	10	2	Under
06/16	@ SD	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/15	@ MIA	3-2W	3	1	Under
06/14	@ MIA	10-4W	14	3	Over
06/13	@ MIA	2-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs PHI	5-5L	7	0	Over
06/10	@ PHI	2-7L	10	0	Over
06/07	vs WAS	9-1W	11	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Anthony Volpe	9.5	12.1	0.271	0.412	0.360	0.771	0.315	0.018
#2 Juan Soto	10.7	14.4	0.305	0.563	0.538	1.100	0.417	0.065
#3 Aaron Judge	11.4	15.4	0.304	0.689	0.521	1.211	0.460	0.100
#4 Alex Verdugo	7.7	10.2	0.247	0.403	0.339	0.742	0.305	0.032
#5 Gleyber Torres	8.4	11.1	0.218	0.338	0.335	0.673	0.278	0.025
#6 DJ LeMahieu	7.7	10.2	0.185	0.185	0.323	0.508	0.216	0.000
#7 Ben Rice	6.9	8.5	0.294	0.294	0.471	0.765	0.306	0.000
#8 Jose Trevino	5.7	7.6	0.247	0.411	0.329	0.740	0.304	0.055
#9 Trent Grisham	6.5	9.1	0.138	0.323	0.338	0.662	0.271	0.062
#9 Jose Rojas	6.9	6.9	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.7	11.4	0.241	0.433	0.345	0.779	0.319	0.042
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.3	11.2	0.244	0.430	0.422	0.852	0.340	0.041
#3 J.D. Martinez	7.5	9.9	0.285	0.505	0.392	0.898	0.362	0.048
#4 Pete Alonso	7.7	10.3	0.241	0.469	0.364	0.833	0.338	0.054
#5 Francisco Alvarez	6.8	8.9	0.286	0.462	0.374	0.835	0.340	0.033
#6 DJ Stewart	6.9	9.4	0.189	0.344	0.426	0.770	0.307	0.041
#7 Mark Vientos	5.9	7.7	0.289	0.526	0.377	0.904	0.366	0.061
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.6	7.2	0.212	0.295	0.303	0.598	0.250	0.012
#9 Harrison Bader	5.5	7.1	0.263	0.383	0.340	0.722	0.299	0.019

Yankees Notable Injuries

Clarke Schmidt OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 8.1
Cody Poteet OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.492 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.4
Jon Berti OUT (3B): Avg: 0.273 SLG:0.327 Last game: 05/26/24. Impact: 3.0
Anthony Rizzo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.341 Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.9
Ian Hamilton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 0.4

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9