Yankees vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Citizens Bank Park as the New York Yankees, just a whisper behind in their league, gear up to clash with the top-dog Philadelphia Phillies in a game that promises fireworks. With the first pitch slated for 06:40 PM EST, the air is buzzing not just with patchy rain and a brisk SSW breeze but also with the echoes of yesterday’s slugfest where the Yankees demolished the Phillies. As the odds hover with the Yankees at a tempting +102 and the Phillies at a sturdy -122, and an over/under that screams a scoreboard workout, tonight’s matchup is set to be a spectacle. Will the Yankees continue their victorious stride, or will the Phillies, fresh off yesterday’s bruising, stitch up a comeback? It’s a perfect setup for a showdown where only one can ‘Yankee’ the win or ‘Phil’ their trophy case!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SSW at 11.2 mph. Temperature is at 83.9° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYY ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+102	-122	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-109	-111	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-211	+11	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

161W-134L

52.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

178W-115L

47.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/29/24	New York Yankees NYY	14	Over	+9.0
07/29/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+9.0
04/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Push	-0.0
04/03/23	New York Yankees NYY	8	Push	-0.0
04/04/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-4.0
04/04/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-4.0
04/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-3.0
04/05/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-3.0

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Gerrit Cole

ERA 5.4 | IP 35.0 | 3.0W-2.0L | KO 38.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	vsNYM	12-3L	5.7	8	6	4	Over
07-19-24	vsTB	1-6W	6.0	6	1	8	Under
07-12-24	@BAL	4-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
07-06-24	vsBOS	4-14W	4.3	7	4	8	Over
06-30-24	@TOR	8-1W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
06-25-24	@NYM	7-9L	4.0	7	6	0	Over
06-19-24	vsBAL	7-6L	4.0	3	2	5	Over
09-27-23	@TOR	6-0W	9.0	2	0	5	Under
09-21-23	vsTOR	3-5W	8.0	2	1	9	Under
09-15-23	@PIT	7-5W	5.0	6	2	4	Over

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.513 | IP 130.7 | 11.0W-4.0L | KO 126.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	@MIN	4-5L	6.0	6	1	6	Under
07-19-24	@PIT	7-8L	5.0	6	4	4	Over
07-11-24	vsLAD	1-5W	6.0	4	1	9	Under
07-05-24	@ATL	8-6W	6.0	5	3	8	Over
06-29-24	vsMIA	3-2L	6.7	6	3	9	Under
06-24-24	@DET	8-1W	7.0	6	1	6	Under
06-18-24	vsSD	3-4W	6.0	4	3	6	Under
06-13-24	@BOS	3-9L	3.7	11	8	2	Over
06-05-24	vsMIL	0-2W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
05-31-24	vsSTL	2-4W	6.3	3	2	6	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	vs PHI	14-4W	14	6	Over
07/30	vs BOS	8-2W	10	0	Over
07/29	vs BOS	11-8W	16	3	Over
07/28	vs BOS	7-9L	14	3	Over
07/26	@ NYM	3-12L	6	2	Over
07/25	@ NYM	2-3L	5	1	Under
07/24	@ TB	9-1W	15	5	Over
07/23	@ TB	4-6L	9	1	Over
07/22	@ TB	1-9L	5	0	Over
07/21	@ TB	6-1W	9	0	Under
07/15	vs BAL	6-1W	10	3	Under
07/14	vs BAL	4-1W	7	1	Under
07/13	vs TB	4-5L	8	2	Under
07/12	vs TB	2-1W	6	0	Under
07/11	vs TB	3-5L	7	1	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	@ NYY	4-14L	8	1	Over
07/30	@ CLE	3-4L	5	2	Under
07/29	@ CLE	8-0W	12	4	Under
07/28	@ CLE	1-3L	6	1	Under
07/26	vs MIN	4-5L	9	1	Under
07/25	vs MIN	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/24	vs MIN	2-7L	4	1	Under
07/23	vs PIT	6-0W	11	1	Under
07/22	vs PIT	1-4L	4	1	Under
07/21	vs PIT	7-8L	13	2	Over
07/15	@ OAK	11-5W	9	4	Over
07/14	@ OAK	2-6L	6	0	Under
07/13	@ LAD	5-1W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ LAD	4-3W	10	1	Under
07/11	@ LAD	10-1W	12	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Alex Verdugo	8.6	11.3	0.240	0.381	0.327	0.708	0.292	0.026
#2 Juan Soto	11.4	15.3	0.314	0.607	0.546	1.153	0.436	0.071
#3 Aaron Judge	10.9	14.8	0.319	0.702	0.553	1.255	0.472	0.104
#4 Austin Wells	7.5	10.0	0.245	0.429	0.408	0.837	0.334	0.041
#5 Gleyber Torres	7.1	9.3	0.236	0.367	0.356	0.723	0.296	0.027
#6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.5	11.0	0.248	0.419	0.355	0.775	0.316	0.038
#7 Anthony Volpe	6.0	7.7	0.253	0.387	0.328	0.715	0.295	0.020
#8 Ben Rice	6.7	9.1	0.210	0.438	0.362	0.800	0.323	0.057

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.2	13.9	0.250	0.469	0.469	0.938	0.365	0.062
#2 Trea Turner	9.8	12.6	0.317	0.496	0.392	0.888	0.362	0.043
#3 Bryce Harper	9.7	13.0	0.281	0.556	0.436	0.991	0.391	0.070
#4 Alec Bohm	7.4	9.8	0.293	0.468	0.394	0.863	0.350	0.028
#5 Brandon Marsh	8.0	10.5	0.254	0.435	0.373	0.808	0.327	0.042
#6 J.T. Realmuto	7.8	10.0	0.250	0.386	0.329	0.715	0.295	0.031
#7 Nick Castellanos	6.9	9.0	0.243	0.413	0.319	0.733	0.302	0.037
#8 Bryson Stott	6.8	8.9	0.245	0.359	0.377	0.736	0.300	0.021
#9 Austin Hays	6.2	8.0	0.255	0.388	0.345	0.733	0.304	0.018

Yankees Notable Injuries

Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.485 Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 3.2
Jose Trevino OUT (C): Avg: 0.244 SLG:0.411 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.6