Yankees vs Rays Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the New York Yankees, boasting a strong 26-14 record, gear up to clash with the Tampa Bay Rays at the iconic Tropicana Field. This afternoon showdown, kicking off at 4:10 PM EST, is not just another game—it’s a battle of grit in the American League, with the Yankees just a whisper behind the top spot and the Rays looking to climb up from their 7-game lag. With the stakes set high and the betting lines buzzing—the Yankees favored at -130 against the Rays at +108—the air is charged. Add to that a partly cloudy sky, a brisk northern wind, and a cool 44.6° setting at the Trop, and you’ve got the perfect storm for an epic showdown. As the Rays try to rebound from their recent shutout loss to the Yankees, remember, in this game, it’s all about whether the Rays can shine or the Yankees will continue to stripe their way to victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 11, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNW at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 44.6° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYY ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-130	+108	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-119	-101	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+11	-209	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

139W-120L

54.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

168W-98L

45.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Push	-0.0
04/19/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Push	-0.0
04/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-6.0
04/20/24	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-6.0
04/21/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+1.0
04/21/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+1.0
05/10/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-6.0
05/10/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-6.0
05/05/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+1.0
05/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+1.0
05/06/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-3.0
05/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-3.0
05/07/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+7.0
05/07/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+7.0
05/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+2.0
05/11/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+2.0
05/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+3.0
05/12/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+3.0
05/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+9.0
05/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	9	Over	+9.0
05/14/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+7.0
05/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+7.0
07/31/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-2.0
07/31/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-2.0
08/01/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-1.0
08/01/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-1.0
08/02/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Over	+1.0
08/02/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+1.0
08/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Push	-0.0
08/25/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Push	-0.0
08/26/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-5.0
08/26/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-5.0
08/27/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+3.0
08/27/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+3.0

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Nestor Cortes

ERA 3.724 | IP 48.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 46.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	vsDET	2-5W	6.3	3	2	9	Under
04-30-24	@BAL	2-4L	6.0	8	4	5	Under
04-25-24	vsOAK	3-1L	7.0	5	3	4	Under
04-20-24	vsTB	2-0L	7.0	6	0	9	Under
04-14-24	@CLE	7-8L	4.0	5	4	6	Over
04-08-24	vsMIA	0-7W	8.0	2	0	6	Under
04-02-24	@ARI	0-7L	5.0	8	3	2	Under
03-28-24	@HOU	5-4W	5.0	5	4	5	Over
08-05-23	vsHOU	1-3W	4.0	1	1	8	Under
05-30-23	@SEA	10-2W	5.0	5	2	6	Over

Zack Littell

ERA 3.0 | IP 39.0 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 42.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-04-24	vsNYM	1-3W	6.0	6	1	7	Under
04-28-24	@CWS	2-4L	6.0	8	2	6	Under
04-22-24	vsDET	7-1L	6.0	9	6	7	Push
04-17-24	vsLAA	5-4L	5.7	8	3	7	Over
04-10-24	@LAA	4-2W	4.3	6	1	4	Under
04-05-24	@COL	7-10L	5.0	5	1	5	Over
03-30-24	vsTOR	1-5W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
09-29-23	@TOR	4-11L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
09-23-23	vsTOR	6-7W	5.7	5	2	6	Over
09-17-23	@BAL	4-5L	4.7	4	1	3	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	vs TB	2-0W	9	1	Under
05/11	@ HOU	3-4L	6	2	Under
05/10	@ HOU	9-4W	11	3	Over
05/09	@ HOU	10-3W	13	3	Over
05/07	@ DET	5-2W	9	1	Under
05/06	@ DET	5-3W	9	1	Push
05/05	@ DET	2-1W	6	0	Under
05/04	vs BAL	2-7L	6	1	Over
05/03	vs BAL	2-0W	4	1	Under
05/02	vs BAL	2-4L	5	2	Under
05/01	vs BAL	0-2L	7	0	Under
04/30	vs MIL	15-5W	18	3	Over
04/29	vs MIL	15-3W	19	4	Over
04/28	vs MIL	6-7L	6	3	Over
04/27	@ OAK	1-3L	11	1	Under

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	@ NYY	0-2L	6	0	Under
05/10	@ CWS	1-4L	4	0	Under
05/09	@ CWS	5-1W	8	2	Under
05/08	@ CWS	8-2W	13	1	Over
05/07	@ NYM	7-6W	9	1	Over
05/06	@ NYM	3-1W	7	0	Under
05/05	@ NYM	10-8W	13	1	Over
05/03	vs MIL	1-7L	5	0	Push
05/02	vs MIL	2-8L	5	1	Over
05/01	vs MIL	1-0W	6	0	Under
04/30	vs CWS	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/29	vs CWS	7-8L	11	2	Over
04/28	vs CWS	4-9L	9	0	Over
04/26	@ DET	7-5W	11	2	Over
04/25	@ DET	2-4L	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Anthony Volpe	7.9	10.3	0.255	0.399	39.2%	79.1%	3.3%
#2 Juan Soto	9.6	12.7	0.325	0.563	51.7%	107.9%	6.0%
#3 Aaron Judge	8.7	11.8	0.233	0.486	44.5%	93.2%	6.2%
#4 Alex Verdugo	7.0	9.2	0.25	0.409	39.4%	80.3%	3.8%
#5 Giancarlo Stanton	7.2	9.6	0.229	0.458	30.5%	76.3%	6.1%
#6 Anthony Rizzo	6.9	9.0	0.265	0.435	37.4%	81.0%	4.8%
#7 Gleyber Torres	6.5	8.3	0.209	0.257	33.1%	58.8%	0.7%
#8 Austin Wells	6.2	8.2	0.19	0.302	39.7%	69.8%	1.6%
#9 Oswaldo Cabrera	4.9	6.4	0.256	0.397	32.2%	71.9%	3.3%

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	7.4	9.6	0.237	0.296	32.9%	62.5%	0.7%
#2 Randy Arozarena	7.3	9.7	0.143	0.293	27.1%	56.4%	4.3%
#3 Harold Ramirez	7.0	8.7	0.292	0.338	31.5%	65.4%	0.8%
#4 Isaac Paredes	6.6	8.6	0.293	0.511	44.4%	95.5%	6.0%
#5 Amed Rosario	6.9	8.5	0.301	0.423	32.5%	74.8%	1.6%
#6 Jonny DeLuca	5.6	7.6	0.292	0.542	41.7%	95.8%	4.2%
#7 Jose Caballero	6.3	8.0	0.258	0.375	35.0%	72.5%	1.7%
#8 Alex Jackson	4.1	6.0	0.091	0.182	18.2%	36.4%	0.0%
#9 Jose Siri	5.5	7.2	0.17	0.277	28.7%	56.4%	2.1%