Athletics vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the thrill of the diamond tonight as the Oakland Athletics, with their rocky road of 69 wins and 91 losses, roll into the cooler climes of T-Mobile Park to face the Seattle Mariners, who are sailing a bit smoother with 83 wins under their belts. As the clock strikes 09:40 PM EST, all eyes will be on this American League clash where stakes are high and the playoff whispers begin. The Mariners, fresh off a crisp shutout victory against the A’s just last night, look to keep their momentum in the chilly, breezy Seattle weather, while the Athletics are itching to flip the script. With the betting lines drawn and an over/under that promises a tight squeeze, tonight’s matchup is anything but predictable. So, as we gear up for this showdown, let’s see if the A’s can swing back or if the Mariners continue to ride the wave of their recent success. After all, it’s all about whether you’re catching flies or catching waves!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNE at 5.8 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 80% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	OAK ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+134	-160	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+116	-139	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-18	+21	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

125W-188L

46.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

177W-137L

53.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	1	Over	+2.0
05/10/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	8	Over	+2.0
05/11/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	8	Over	+2.0
05/11/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Over	+2.0
05/12/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	4	Over	+5.0
05/12/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	8	Over	+5.0
06/04/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Push	-0.0
06/04/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	3	Push	-0.0
06/05/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-4.0
06/05/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	2	Under	-4.0
06/06/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-4.0
06/06/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	0	Under	-4.0
09/02/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+2.0
09/02/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	5	Over	+2.0
09/03/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-2.0
09/03/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	3	Under	-2.0
09/04/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	16	Over	+12.0
09/04/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	3	Over	+12.0
09/05/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+3.0
09/05/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	4	Over	+3.0
09/27/24	Oakland Athletics OAK	0	Under	-5.0
09/27/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-5.0
05/02/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-4.0
05/02/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	1	Under	-4.0
05/03/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+2.0
05/03/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	2	Over	+2.0
05/04/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+1.0
05/04/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	3	Over	+1.0
05/22/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	2	Over	+6.0
05/22/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	11	Over	+6.0
05/23/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	2	Under	-2.0
05/23/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-2.0
05/24/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	1	Push	-0.0
05/24/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Push	-0.0
05/25/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	2	Under	-2.0
05/25/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-2.0
08/28/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	0	Push	-0.0
08/28/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Push	-0.0
08/29/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	3	Under	-3.0
08/29/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-3.0
08/30/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	4	Over	+2.0
08/30/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+2.0
09/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-2.0
09/18/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	0	Under	-2.0
09/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+2.0
09/19/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	2	Over	+2.0
09/20/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+2.0
09/20/23	Oakland Athletics OAK	3	Over	+2.0

Athletics Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Joey Estes

ERA 5.296 | IP 120.7 | 6.0W-10.0L | KO 86.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	vsNYY	7-4L	4.0	7	5	1	Over
09-22-24	vsNYY	7-4L	4.0	7	5	1	Over
09-16-24	@CHC	2-9L	1.0	9	6	1	Over
09-11-24	@HOU	5-4W	6.7	7	3	2	Over
09-05-24	vsSEA	6-4L	4.0	6	4	3	Over
08-31-24	@TEX	2-3L	6.0	6	2	7	Under
08-25-24	vsMIL	3-4W	5.7	2	2	5	Under
08-20-24	vsTB	1-0L	7.7	3	1	5	Under
08-14-24	@NYM	1-9L	5.3	7	3	3	Over
08-07-24	vsCWS	2-3W	5.0	6	2	4	Under

Emerson Hancock

ERA 4.717 | IP 55.3 | 4.0W-4.0L | KO 36.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-21-24	@TEX	8-4W	5.0	5	2	3	Over
09-13-24	vsTEX	4-5W	5.0	6	3	5	Over
07-06-24	vsTOR	5-4L	4.0	6	2	4	Over
06-13-24	vsCWS	3-2L	7.0	6	2	1	Under
05-07-24	@MIN	10-6W	4.0	4	4	0	Over
05-01-24	vsATL	5-2L	3.7	5	5	4	Under
04-26-24	vsARI	1-6W	6.0	2	1	4	Under
04-21-24	@COL	10-2W	6.0	4	2	4	Over
04-13-24	vsCHC	4-1L	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-07-24	@MIL	4-12L	3.3	11	8	6	Over

Athletics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs SEA	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/28	@ TEX	3-2W	9	0	Under
09/27	@ TEX	1-5L	9	0	Under
09/26	@ TEX	5-4W	6	0	Over
09/24	@ NYY	4-7L	7	0	Over
09/24	@ NYY	4-7L	7	0	Over
09/23	@ NYY	0-10L	5	0	Over
09/22	@ NYY	2-3L	3	0	Under
09/20	vs CHC	5-3W	9	1	Over
09/19	vs CHC	4-3W	9	3	Under
09/18	vs CHC	2-9L	9	1	Over
09/17	vs CWS	3-4L	7	2	Under
09/16	vs CWS	6-7L	11	0	Over
09/15	vs CWS	2-0W	9	0	Under
09/14	vs HOU	3-6L	7	2	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ OAK	2-0W	4	2	Under
09/27	vs HOU	8-1W	8	2	Over
09/26	vs HOU	3-4L	9	1	Under
09/25	vs HOU	6-1W	13	0	Under
09/24	vs TEX	5-6L	8	1	Over
09/24	vs TEX	5-6L	8	1	Over
09/23	vs TEX	7-4W	16	1	Over
09/22	vs TEX	8-2W	10	3	Over
09/21	@ NYY	3-2W	6	0	Under
09/20	@ NYY	1-2L	6	1	Under
09/19	@ NYY	2-11L	9	2	Over
09/17	@ TEX	7-0W	14	2	Under
09/16	@ TEX	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/15	@ TEX	5-4W	10	1	Over
09/14	@ TEX	4-5L	6	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Oakland Athletics	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Lawrence Butler	7.7	10.0	0.256	0.466	0.342	0.808	0.330	0.047
#2 Brent Rooker	8.3	10.9	0.290	0.543	0.405	0.948	0.380	0.067
#3 JJ Bleday	7.8	10.2	0.240	0.430	0.361	0.790	0.321	0.036
#4 Shea Langeliers	7.1	9.4	0.226	0.449	0.321	0.769	0.315	0.059
#5 Tyler Soderstrom	6.3	8.3	0.242	0.434	0.379	0.813	0.329	0.044
#6 Zack Gelof	6.3	8.1	0.212	0.358	0.297	0.656	0.272	0.033
#7 Seth Brown	7.0	9.0	0.224	0.356	0.298	0.655	0.272	0.033
#8 Jacob Wilson	4.9	6.1	0.239	0.304	0.337	0.641	0.265	0.000
#9 Darell Hernaiz	3.8	4.9	0.185	0.227	0.286	0.513	0.218	0.008

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Victor Robles	8.3	10.6	0.306	0.427	0.427	0.855	0.346	0.016
#2 Julio Rodriguez	9.0	11.5	0.271	0.408	0.348	0.756	0.311	0.036
#3 Cal Raleigh	8.5	11.4	0.220	0.435	0.364	0.799	0.323	0.062
#4 Randy Arozarena	7.8	10.4	0.218	0.386	0.390	0.777	0.314	0.037
#5 Luke Raley	7.7	10.1	0.245	0.462	0.354	0.816	0.334	0.053
#6 Justin Turner	7.1	9.3	0.258	0.380	0.412	0.792	0.320	0.024
#7 Jorge Polanco	6.8	8.9	0.214	0.358	0.331	0.689	0.283	0.039
#8 J.P. Crawford	6.1	8.1	0.199	0.314	0.353	0.668	0.275	0.021
#9 Josh Rojas	6.0	7.7	0.225	0.339	0.341	0.680	0.280	0.019

Athletics Notable Injuries

Osvaldo Bido OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 6.4
Ross Stripling OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/10/24. Impact: 0.5