Phillies vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Truist Park tonight as the scorching Philadelphia Phillies, sitting pretty at the top of the National League, strut into the lion’s den to battle the Atlanta Braves, who are itching to climb up from their 9.5-game deficit. With the first pitch at 07:15 PM EST, the stakes are as high as the summer temperature, which promises to hover around a sizzling 90 degrees under partly cloudy skies. Fresh off a thrilling face-off where the Phillies edged out the Braves 8-6, the rematch is set with the betting lines almost too close to call and the over/under teasing at 8.5. As these two titans clash again, it’s not just about the runs; it’s about pride and playoff positioning. So, as the Phillies gallop and the Braves swing their tomahawks, expect nothing less than a major league showdown where only the bravest will conquer the field!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 06, 2024 07:15PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 90.0° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-113	-107	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-112	-108	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

141W-139L

52.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

173W-109L

47.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
03/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	12	Over	+7.5
03/30/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+7.5
03/31/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
03/31/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
07/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+5.5
07/05/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.5
05/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.5
05/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+4.5
05/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+1.5
05/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.5
05/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
05/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-5.5
05/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+6.5
05/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+6.5
06/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
06/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+9.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
06/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
06/22/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-2.5
09/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.5
09/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+4.5
09/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
09/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
09/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-0.5
09/18/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-0.5
09/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
09/19/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
09/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 2.447 | IP 103.0 | 10.0W-2.0L | KO 99.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-30-24	vsMIA	6-7W	4.7	9	6	0	Over
06-25-24	@DET	1-4L	6.0	9	4	4	Under
06-19-24	vsSD	5-2L	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-14-24	@BAL	5-3W	6.7	6	1	6	Under
06-08-24	@NYM	7-2W	5.7	8	2	6	Over
06-01-24	vsSTL	1-6W	2.0	0	0	2	Under
05-26-24	@COL	2-5L	6.0	3	5	9	Under
05-21-24	vsTEX	2-5W	7.0	5	1	10	Under
05-15-24	vsNYM	5-10W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
05-10-24	@MIA	8-2W	7.0	3	0	9	Over

S. Schwellenbach

ERA 5.684 | IP 31.7 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 32.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-30-24	vsPIT	4-2L	5.0	5	4	7	Under
06-24-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	8	4	6	Under
06-18-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
06-12-24	@BAL	2-4L	6.0	4	2	3	Under
06-05-24	@BOS	0-9L	4.7	7	6	4	Over
05-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	5	3	5	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/07	vs ATL	8-6W	15	2	Over
07/06	vs CHC	2-10L	6	1	Over
07/05	vs CHC	5-3W	9	2	Under
07/04	vs CHC	6-4W	9	2	Over
07/02	@ MIA	7-6W	14	1	Over
07/01	@ MIA	2-3L	5	1	Under
06/30	@ MIA	2-0W	7	0	Under
06/29	@ MIA	4-7L	8	1	Over
06/28	vs DET	6-2W	12	1	Under
06/27	vs DET	1-4L	4	1	Under
06/26	vs DET	8-1W	15	2	Over
06/25	@ ARI	4-1W	11	0	Under
06/24	@ ARI	12-1W	14	4	Over
06/23	@ ARI	4-5L	7	2	Over
06/21	@ SD	2-5L	6	2	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/07	@ PHI	6-8L	8	3	Over
07/06	@ SF	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	@ SF	3-1W	10	0	Under
07/04	@ SF	3-5L	6	2	Under
07/02	@ PIT	2-4L	6	0	Under
07/01	@ PIT	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/30	@ PIT	6-1W	10	1	Under
06/29	vs CWS	0-1L	3	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	1-4L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	6-2W	9	1	Under
06/26	vs STL	3-4L	6	1	Under
06/25	vs NYY	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/24	vs NYY	3-8L	4	2	Over
06/23	vs NYY	8-1W	14	3	Over
06/21	@ DET	7-0W	12	3	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Bryson Stott	8.1	10.6	0.243	0.355	0.391	0.746	0.303	0.018
#2 Trea Turner	9.8	12.5	0.341	0.510	0.413	0.923	0.375	0.034
#3 Alec Bohm	7.6	10.0	0.300	0.492	0.387	0.880	0.358	0.033
#4 Brandon Marsh	7.4	9.7	0.261	0.412	0.393	0.806	0.325	0.033
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.2	9.4	0.238	0.397	0.321	0.718	0.296	0.035
#6 Kody Clemens	6.0	8.0	0.250	0.536	0.286	0.821	0.340	0.054
#7 David Dahl	6.1	8.0	0.214	0.411	0.268	0.679	0.282	0.054
#8 Johan Rojas	6.1	7.7	0.230	0.289	0.279	0.569	0.240	0.010
#9 Garrett Stubbs	5.2	6.5	0.213	0.266	0.309	0.574	0.241	0.011

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	7.2	9.2	0.273	0.445	0.340	0.786	0.323	0.038
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.5	11.1	0.263	0.413	0.346	0.759	0.313	0.022
#3 Austin Riley	8.9	11.8	0.256	0.448	0.365	0.812	0.330	0.040
#4 Matt Olson	8.1	10.7	0.243	0.426	0.363	0.789	0.321	0.038
#5 Marcell Ozuna	7.7	10.3	0.296	0.560	0.428	0.987	0.392	0.069
#6 Sean Murphy	7.4	9.5	0.222	0.389	0.322	0.711	0.294	0.044
#7 Adam Duvall	7.1	9.4	0.176	0.299	0.275	0.574	0.241	0.029
#8 Orlando Arcia	5.7	7.3	0.211	0.336	0.263	0.599	0.252	0.021

Phillies Notable Injuries

Spencer Turnbull OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.9
Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1
Bryce Harper OUT (1B): Avg: 0.3 SLG:0.578 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 5.9
J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8

Braves Notable Injuries

Michael Harris II OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.358 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 2.0
Ray Kerr OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/17/24. Impact: 1.9
Ramon Laureano OUT (OF): Avg: 0.181 SLG:0.305 Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.1
Jimmy Herget OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/07/24. Impact: 1.1
Brian Anderson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.1
Hurston Waldrep OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: -3.2