Phillies vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB Daily Fantasy action as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a stellar 57W-31L record, storm into Truist Park to duke it out with the Atlanta Braves, who are trying to claw back from a 48W-39L standing. It’s a high noon showdown with the first pitch at 01:35 PM EST, where standings and conference bragging rights are all on the line. The Phillies are looking to solidify their top-dog status in the National League, while the Braves, fresh off a recent triumph over Philly, are eager to close the 8.5-game gap. With the betting world buzzing, an over/under of 8.5, and the odds favoring the Braves slightly, today’s game promises to be a sizzler. Partly cloudy skies and a gentle breeze set the stage at a humid Truist Park—perfect for some baseball magic. So, as the Phillies try to gallop past the Braves, let’s see who truly gets to wear the crown in this royal rumble of the bats!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 07, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 84.9° with 70% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+142	-172	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+137	-163	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+9	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

141W-140L

42.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

174W-109L

57.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
03/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	12	Over	+7.5
03/30/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+7.5
03/31/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
03/31/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
07/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+5.5
07/05/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.5
07/06/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-2.5
07/06/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
05/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.5
05/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+4.5
05/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+1.5
05/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.5
05/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
05/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-5.5
05/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+6.5
05/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+6.5
06/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
06/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+9.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
06/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
06/22/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-2.5
09/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.5
09/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+4.5
09/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
09/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
09/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-0.5
09/18/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-0.5
09/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
09/19/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
09/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Luis Ortiz

ERA 27.0 | IP 0.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 0.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	@CHC	6-4W	5.0	2	1	4	Over
06-24-24	@DET	8-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	0.7	3	2	0	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	3-4L	1.0	1	0	2	Under
08-20-23	@WAS	3-4L	1.0	2	0	0	Under
08-19-23	@WAS	12-3W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
08-08-23	vsWAS	4-8W	2.0	4	1	1	Over
07-15-23	vsSD	4-9W	1.0	1	1	2	Over
06-13-23	@ARI	15-3W	3.0	4	2	0	Over
05-06-23	vsBOS	7-4L	1.3	1	0	1	Over
05-01-23	@LAD	4-13L	0.7	2	2	0	Over
04-30-23	@HOU	3-4L	1.0	1	0	2	Under

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 1.829 | IP 83.7 | 6.0W-2.0L | KO 87.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	vsSF	5-3L	4.3	4	2	6	Push
06-26-24	@STL	6-2W	5.0	4	2	5	Push
06-19-24	vsDET	0-7W	5.0	7	0	6	Under
06-13-24	@BAL	6-3W	6.0	2	0	8	Over
06-06-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.0	6	2	7	Under
05-31-24	vsOAK	2-4W	6.0	4	1	8	Under
05-25-24	@PIT	1-4L	4.7	5	3	3	Under
05-20-24	vsSD	6-5L	6.3	5	2	4	Over
05-13-24	vsCHC	0-2W	5.0	2	0	4	Under
05-07-24	vsBOS	2-4W	5.3	6	2	5	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	vs ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
07/07	vs ATL	8-6W	15	2	Over
07/06	vs CHC	2-10L	6	1	Over
07/05	vs CHC	5-3W	9	2	Push
07/04	vs CHC	6-4W	9	2	Over
07/02	@ MIA	7-6W	14	1	Over
07/01	@ MIA	2-3L	5	1	Under
06/30	@ MIA	2-0W	7	0	Under
06/29	@ MIA	4-7L	8	1	Over
06/28	vs DET	6-2W	12	1	Push
06/27	vs DET	1-4L	4	1	Under
06/26	vs DET	8-1W	15	2	Over
06/25	@ ARI	4-1W	11	0	Under
06/24	@ ARI	12-1W	14	4	Over
06/23	@ ARI	4-5L	7	2	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	@ PHI	5-1W	6	2	Under
07/07	@ PHI	6-8L	8	3	Over
07/06	@ SF	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	@ SF	3-1W	10	0	Under
07/04	@ SF	3-5L	6	2	Push
07/02	@ PIT	2-4L	6	0	Under
07/01	@ PIT	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/30	@ PIT	6-1W	10	1	Under
06/29	vs CWS	0-1L	3	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	1-4L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	6-2W	9	1	Push
06/26	vs STL	3-4L	6	1	Under
06/25	vs NYY	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/24	vs NYY	3-8L	4	2	Over
06/23	vs NYY	8-1W	14	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Bryson Stott	7.3	9.6	0.244	0.355	0.394	0.749	0.304	0.018
#2 Trea Turner	10.0	12.7	0.340	0.505	0.410	0.915	0.373	0.033
#3 Alec Bohm	7.0	9.2	0.297	0.487	0.383	0.869	0.354	0.033
#4 Brandon Marsh	7.2	9.4	0.260	0.409	0.391	0.800	0.323	0.033
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.7	10.0	0.238	0.395	0.320	0.715	0.295	0.035
#6 Kody Clemens	5.9	7.8	0.250	0.517	0.283	0.800	0.332	0.050
#7 Whit Merrifield	6.2	8.1	0.182	0.270	0.297	0.568	0.239	0.020
#8 Garrett Stubbs	5.4	6.8	0.213	0.266	0.309	0.574	0.241	0.011
#9 Johan Rojas	5.5	6.9	0.232	0.290	0.280	0.570	0.240	0.010

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	8.8	11.2	0.277	0.450	0.343	0.793	0.326	0.037
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.8	11.5	0.266	0.423	0.348	0.771	0.317	0.025
#3 Austin Riley	9.3	12.3	0.254	0.443	0.364	0.807	0.328	0.039
#4 Matt Olson	9.3	12.3	0.241	0.423	0.367	0.790	0.321	0.038
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.4	11.3	0.298	0.571	0.429	1.000	0.397	0.071
#6 Travis d’Arnaud	6.9	9.2	0.240	0.439	0.333	0.772	0.318	0.041
#7 Adam Duvall	7.7	10.2	0.173	0.293	0.269	0.562	0.237	0.029
#8 Orlando Arcia	6.1	7.8	0.209	0.332	0.264	0.596	0.250	0.021
#9 Eli White	5.8	5.8	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

Phillies Notable Injuries

Spencer Turnbull OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.9
Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1
Bryce Harper OUT (1B): Avg: 0.3 SLG:0.578 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 5.9
J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8

Braves Notable Injuries

Michael Harris II OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.358 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 2.0
Ray Kerr OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/17/24. Impact: 1.9
Ramon Laureano OUT (OF): Avg: 0.181 SLG:0.305 Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.1
Jimmy Herget OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/07/24. Impact: 1.1
Brian Anderson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.1
Hurston Waldrep OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: -3.2