Phillies vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard tonight as the sizzling Philadelphia Phillies roll into Truist Park, ready to clash with the Atlanta Braves in a showdown that’s got everyone buzzing! With the Phillies sitting pretty at the top of the National League and the Braves chasing hard just a few games behind, this 07:20 PM EST start promises all the thrills of a high-stakes duel. The betting lines are dancing with the Phillies playing slight underdogs despite their top-dog status, and an over/under of 8.5 suggesting some fireworks in the forecast. Speaking of forecasts, it’s a partly cloudy evening in Atlanta with a gentle breeze—perfect baseball weather. After yesterday’s tussle where the Braves edged out a win, tonight’s rematch is set to be a blockbuster. So, as the temperature heats up and the humidity hangs back, let’s see if the Phillies can ‘Phil’ up the scoreboard or if the Braves will be ‘Braving’ their way to another victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 21, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 81.0° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+101	-121	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-114	-106	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-215	+15	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

147W-152L

53.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

179W-118L

46.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
03/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	12	Over	+7.5
03/30/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+7.5
03/31/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
03/31/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
07/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+5.5
07/05/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.5
07/06/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-2.5
07/06/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
07/07/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-2.5
07/07/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.5
08/20/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-4.5
08/20/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-4.5
05/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.5
05/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+4.5
05/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+1.5
05/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.5
05/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
05/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-5.5
05/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+6.5
05/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+6.5
06/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
06/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+9.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
06/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
06/22/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-2.5
09/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.5
09/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+4.5
09/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
09/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
09/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-0.5
09/18/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-0.5
09/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
09/19/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
09/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.506 | IP 154.0 | 11.0W-6.0L | KO 142.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-16-24	vsWAS	2-3W	6.7	7	0	4	Under
08-10-24	@ARI	1-11L	5.0	9	4	4	Over
08-05-24	@LAD	3-5L	6.0	8	4	4	Over
07-30-24	vsNYY	7-6L	5.7	7	2	4	Over
07-24-24	@MIN	4-5L	6.0	6	1	6	Over
07-19-24	@PIT	7-8L	5.0	6	4	4	Over
07-11-24	vsLAD	1-5W	6.0	4	1	9	Under
07-05-24	@ATL	8-6W	6.0	5	3	8	Over
06-29-24	vsMIA	3-2L	6.7	6	3	9	Under
06-24-24	@DET	8-1W	7.0	6	1	6	Over

Max Fried

ERA 3.625 | IP 121.7 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 115.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-15-24	@SF	0-6L	5.3	5	3	5	Under
08-10-24	@COL	11-8W	5.0	7	5	9	Over
08-04-24	vsMIA	7-0L	3.3	4	5	6	Under
07-11-24	@ARI	0-1L	6.0	5	1	7	Under
07-05-24	vsPHI	8-6L	6.0	11	5	4	Over
06-29-24	vsPIT	1-2W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-23-24	@NYY	3-1W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-17-24	vsDET	1-2W	5.3	4	1	6	Under
06-11-24	@BAL	0-4L	5.0	6	4	3	Under
06-04-24	@BOS	8-3W	7.0	4	3	13	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	vs ATL	1-3L	5	0	Under
08/20	@ WAS	4-6L	10	3	Over
08/19	@ WAS	5-1W	10	0	Under
08/18	@ WAS	3-2W	10	0	Under
08/17	@ WAS	13-3W	17	3	Over
08/16	@ MIA	9-5W	13	1	Over
08/15	@ MIA	0-5L	4	0	Under
08/13	vs ARI	5-12L	8	0	Over
08/12	vs ARI	1-11L	5	0	Over
08/11	vs ARI	2-3L	5	1	Under
08/10	vs ARI	6-4W	14	1	Over
08/09	vs LAD	9-4W	10	3	Over
08/08	vs LAD	6-2W	14	2	Over
08/07	vs LAD	3-5L	8	0	Over
08/06	vs SEA	6-0W	10	4	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	@ PHI	3-1W	7	1	Under
08/20	vs LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs LAA	11-3W	12	3	Over
08/18	vs LAA	2-3L	8	0	Under
08/17	vs SF	0-6L	4	0	Under
08/16	vs SF	13-2W	11	4	Over
08/15	vs SF	4-3W	10	2	Under
08/14	vs SF	1-0W	4	0	Under
08/13	vs COL	8-9L	13	4	Over
08/12	vs COL	11-8W	11	4	Over
08/11	vs COL	5-6L	12	3	Over
08/10	@ MIL	7-16L	10	2	Over
08/09	@ MIL	5-8L	10	2	Over
08/08	@ MIL	0-10L	6	0	Over
08/06	@ MIA	0-7L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.8	12.0	0.251	0.480	0.466	0.946	0.368	0.066
#2 Trea Turner	8.3	10.7	0.304	0.469	0.369	0.838	0.344	0.037
#3 Bryce Harper	9.5	12.7	0.275	0.528	0.419	0.947	0.376	0.063
#4 Alec Bohm	7.6	10.0	0.296	0.474	0.387	0.860	0.350	0.027
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.6	9.9	0.252	0.421	0.334	0.755	0.311	0.034
#6 J.T. Realmuto	6.8	8.8	0.254	0.384	0.342	0.725	0.299	0.028
#7 Weston Wilson	5.6	7.1	0.349	0.651	0.395	1.047	0.425	0.070
#8 Edmundo Sosa	5.7	7.4	0.275	0.449	0.353	0.802	0.329	0.029
#9 Johan Rojas	4.5	5.7	0.245	0.308	0.300	0.608	0.255	0.011

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	9.4	12.0	0.252	0.364	0.318	0.682	0.283	0.021
#2 Whit Merrifield	6.7	8.7	0.210	0.322	0.346	0.668	0.274	0.019
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.1	10.7	0.310	0.600	0.432	1.032	0.410	0.080
#4 Matt Olson	8.3	11.0	0.229	0.424	0.356	0.779	0.317	0.046
#5 Sean Murphy	7.1	9.2	0.222	0.383	0.341	0.725	0.296	0.042
#6 Jarred Kelenic	6.9	8.9	0.243	0.412	0.323	0.735	0.302	0.036
#7 Orlando Arcia	5.7	7.3	0.225	0.349	0.297	0.646	0.269	0.026
#8 Ramon Laureano	5.6	7.4	0.224	0.406	0.327	0.733	0.303	0.042
#9 Gio Urshela	4.9	6.3	0.243	0.333	0.313	0.647	0.269	0.017

Phillies Notable Injuries

Ranger Suarez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/24/24. Impact: 5.6
Austin Hays OUT (OF): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.403 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.5

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Ozzie Albies OUT (2B): Avg: 0.254 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 2.4
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2