Phillies vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Fenway tonight as the sizzling Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 45-20 record, roll into Boston to clash with the .500 Red Sox. The stakes are high with the Phillies looking to maintain their top spot in the National League, while the Sox aim to climb out of their 13-game hole in the American League. With the first pitch at 07:10 PM EST and the odds favoring the Phillies at -168, tension is brewing under the partly cloudy skies of a breezy Boston evening. The Red Sox are riding the high from their recent victory over CWS, but the Phillies are hungry to bounce back from their draw against NYM. With the over/under teasing at 8.5, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks. So, will the Phillies’ Liberty Bell ring victorious, or will the Red Sox paint the town red? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 11, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 68.0° with 59% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-168	+140	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-177	+145	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-9	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

134W-133L

63.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

141W-129L

36.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-0.5
05/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-0.5
05/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.5
05/06/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+2.5
05/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-1.5
05/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Zack Wheeler

ERA 2.231 | IP 80.7 | 7.0W-3.0L | KO 91.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-03-24	vsMIL	1-3W	7.0	5	1	6	Under
05-28-24	@SF	0-1L	6.0	2	0	9	Under
05-23-24	vsTEX	2-5W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
05-17-24	vsWAS	2-4W	7.3	3	2	6	Under
05-12-24	@MIA	6-7L	4.0	6	6	2	Over
05-06-24	vsSF	1-6W	7.0	4	1	11	Under
05-01-24	@LAA	2-1W	5.0	5	1	6	Under
04-25-24	@CIN	5-0W	6.0	1	0	8	Under
04-20-24	vsCWS	5-9W	7.3	1	0	8	Over
04-14-24	vsPIT	9-2L	5.0	5	5	10	Over

Kutter Crawford

ERA 3.511 | IP 74.3 | 2.0W-5.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-04-24	vsATL	8-3L	6.0	5	6	5	Over
05-29-24	@BAL	1-6L	6.0	4	5	5	Under
05-24-24	vsMIL	7-2L	4.3	7	6	4	Over
05-18-24	@STL	2-7L	5.7	6	1	5	Over
05-13-24	vsTB	5-3L	6.0	7	4	6	Push
05-07-24	@ATL	2-4L	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-01-24	vsSF	2-6W	7.0	4	2	6	Push
04-26-24	vsCHC	7-1L	6.0	10	4	4	Push
04-20-24	@PIT	4-2W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
04-15-24	vsCLE	6-0L	5.7	2	0	6	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/11	@ NYM	5-5L	10	1	Over
06/10	vs NYM	7-2W	11	3	Over
06/07	@ MIL	2-0W	3	1	Under
06/06	@ MIL	2-1W	8	1	Under
06/05	@ MIL	3-1W	7	1	Under
06/04	@ STL	4-5L	7	0	Over
06/03	@ STL	6-1W	7	1	Under
06/02	@ STL	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/31	vs SF	6-1W	14	2	Under
05/30	vs SF	0-1L	7	0	Under
05/29	vs SF	4-8L	7	1	Over
05/28	vs COL	2-5L	5	0	Under
05/27	vs COL	8-4W	12	1	Over
05/26	vs COL	2-3L	7	2	Under
05/25	@ TEX	5-2W	12	2	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/11	vs CWS	6-4W	8	1	Over
06/10	vs CWS	1-6L	5	1	Under
06/09	vs CWS	2-7L	6	0	Over
06/08	vs CWS	14-2W	24	3	Over
06/07	@ ATL	9-0W	13	3	Over
06/06	@ ATL	3-8L	5	1	Over
06/04	@ DET	4-8L	8	1	Over
06/03	@ DET	6-3W	10	2	Over
06/02	@ DET	7-3W	12	2	Over
06/01	@ DET	0-5L	2	0	Under
05/31	vs BAL	1-6L	6	0	Under
05/30	vs BAL	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/29	vs BAL	3-11L	8	0	Over
05/28	@ MIL	2-1W	9	0	Under
05/27	@ MIL	3-6L	5	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.1	13.6	0.235	0.391	43.7%	82.8%	4.6%
#2 J.T. Realmuto	9.3	11.9	0.261	0.411	33.3%	74.4%	3.4%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.7	13.1	0.273	0.527	45.9%	98.6%	6.8%
#4 Alec Bohm	7.5	10.0	0.291	0.467	38.5%	85.2%	2.5%
#5 Bryson Stott	7.3	9.7	0.242	0.371	40.7%	77.8%	2.6%
#6 Nick Castellanos	7.7	10.2	0.215	0.36	30.0%	66.0%	3.6%
#7 David Dahl	7.4	9.6	0.667	1.833	66.7%	250.0%	33.3%
#8 Edmundo Sosa	6.2	8.2	0.294	0.532	39.4%	92.7%	3.7%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.6	7.1	0.237	0.302	29.0%	59.2%	1.2%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.1	10.4	0.263	0.456	37.0%	82.6%	1.9%
#2 Enmanuel Valdez	5.8	7.9	0.184	0.368	23.7%	60.5%	4.4%
#3 Rob Refsnyder	6.4	8.2	0.336	0.5	44.8%	94.8%	1.7%
#4 Rafael Devers	7.7	10.2	0.284	0.557	43.3%	99.0%	6.5%
#5 Tyler O’Neill	6.8	9.0	0.25	0.5	41.0%	91.0%	7.1%
#6 Dominic Smith	6.1	8.3	0.221	0.327	37.5%	70.2%	1.9%
#7 Connor Wong	5.7	7.3	0.329	0.455	43.1%	88.6%	3.0%
#8 David Hamilton	5.6	7.0	0.282	0.436	36.8%	80.3%	2.6%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	4.3	5.7	0.212	0.363	25.2%	61.5%	3.1%

Phillies Notable Injuries

Brandon Marsh OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.42 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.5
Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.615 Last game: 05/30/24. Impact: 1.4

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Wilyer Abreu OUT (OF): Avg: 0.272 SLG:0.485 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Romy Gonzalez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.343 Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.5
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.3
Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1