Phillies vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to paint Fenway Park red and white as the sizzling Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a stellar 46-20 record, roll into Boston to clash with the .500 Red Sox tonight at 07:10 PM EST. The Phillies are looking to hold their throne atop the National League, while the Red Sox are trying to claw their way up from 14 games back in the American League. With the betting lines drawn and the over/under teasing at 8.5, this matchup promises some serious action. Fresh off a head-to-head where Philly took the win, and with the Boston skies partly cloudy and the winds just brisk enough to feel it, tonight’s game is not just about baseball—it’s about pride. So, as the Phillies try to gallop ahead and the Red Sox swing for redemption, let’s see whose colors will stain victory lane in this duel of bats and wits!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 12, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-116	-104	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-126	+106	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-10	+210	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

135W-133L

55.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

141W-130L

44.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/11/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-3.5
06/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.5
05/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-0.5
05/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-0.5
05/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.5
05/06/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+2.5
05/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-1.5
05/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Cristopher Sanchez

ERA 2.578 | IP 66.3 | 3.0W-3.0L | KO 59.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-04-24	vsMIL	1-2W	6.0	4	1	3	Under
05-29-24	@SF	6-1W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
05-24-24	@COL	2-3L	5.3	7	1	2	Under
05-18-24	vsWAS	3-4W	7.0	8	2	8	Under
05-13-24	@NYM	5-4W	5.7	7	3	5	Over
05-07-24	vsTOR	1-10W	7.0	6	1	5	Over
04-29-24	@LAA	5-6L	5.0	7	4	1	Over
04-23-24	@CIN	1-8L	3.0	4	5	3	Over
04-17-24	vsCOL	6-7W	6.0	5	1	10	Over
04-12-24	vsPIT	5-2L	6.0	4	2	6	Under

Nick Pivetta

ERA 3.402 | IP 42.3 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 51.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-05-24	vsATL	0-9W	7.0	1	0	9	Over
05-30-24	vsDET	5-0L	5.3	3	2	9	Under
05-25-24	vsMIL	6-3L	3.3	7	5	3	Over
05-19-24	@STL	11-3W	6.0	1	1	8	Over
05-14-24	vsTB	4-5W	5.7	4	2	8	Over
05-08-24	@ATL	0-5L	4.0	7	5	1	Under
04-03-24	@OAK	1-0W	5.0	5	0	3	Under
03-29-24	@SEA	0-1L	6.0	3	1	10	Under
09-29-23	@BAL	3-0W	7.0	2	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsCWS	1-0L	7.0	3	0	7	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/13	vs BOS	4-1W	7	2	Under
06/11	@ NYM	5-5L	10	1	Over
06/10	vs NYM	7-2W	11	3	Over
06/07	@ MIL	2-0W	3	1	Under
06/06	@ MIL	2-1W	8	1	Under
06/05	@ MIL	3-1W	7	1	Under
06/04	@ STL	4-5L	7	0	Over
06/03	@ STL	6-1W	7	1	Under
06/02	@ STL	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/31	vs SF	6-1W	14	2	Under
05/30	vs SF	0-1L	7	0	Under
05/29	vs SF	4-8L	7	1	Over
05/28	vs COL	2-5L	5	0	Under
05/27	vs COL	8-4W	12	1	Over
05/26	vs COL	2-3L	7	2	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/13	@ PHI	1-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs CWS	6-4W	8	1	Over
06/10	vs CWS	1-6L	5	1	Under
06/09	vs CWS	2-7L	6	0	Over
06/08	vs CWS	14-2W	24	3	Over
06/07	@ ATL	9-0W	13	3	Over
06/06	@ ATL	3-8L	5	1	Over
06/04	@ DET	4-8L	8	1	Over
06/03	@ DET	6-3W	10	2	Over
06/02	@ DET	7-3W	12	2	Over
06/01	@ DET	0-5L	2	0	Under
05/31	vs BAL	1-6L	6	0	Under
05/30	vs BAL	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/29	vs BAL	3-11L	8	0	Over
05/28	@ MIL	2-1W	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.9	13.3	0.24	0.417	43.8%	85.5%	5.4%
#2 Nick Castellanos	9.0	11.9	0.211	0.355	29.5%	64.9%	3.6%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.3	12.5	0.274	0.525	46.2%	98.7%	6.7%
#4 Alec Bohm	7.7	10.2	0.29	0.464	38.3%	84.7%	2.4%
#5 Bryson Stott	7.9	10.4	0.247	0.379	40.9%	78.8%	2.5%
#6 Edmundo Sosa	7.2	9.4	0.286	0.518	39.3%	91.1%	3.6%
#7 David Dahl	7.4	9.6	0.4	1.1	40.0%	150.0%	20.0%
#8 Garrett Stubbs	5.1	6.5	0.179	0.196	30.4%	50.0%	0.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.9	7.5	0.231	0.295	28.3%	57.8%	1.2%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	6.8	8.8	0.263	0.453	36.9%	82.1%	1.8%
#2 Rob Refsnyder	7.6	9.7	0.328	0.487	43.7%	92.4%	1.7%
#3 Connor Wong	7.0	8.9	0.329	0.453	42.9%	88.2%	2.9%
#4 Rafael Devers	6.9	9.2	0.278	0.546	42.4%	97.1%	6.3%
#5 Tyler O’Neill	8.3	11.1	0.25	0.5	41.0%	91.0%	7.1%
#6 Jamie Westbrook	5.5	7.5	0.154	0.385	38.5%	76.9%	7.7%
#7 Bobby Dalbec	6.7	8.9	0.147	0.221	25.0%	47.1%	1.5%
#8 David Hamilton	5.2	6.5	0.289	0.446	37.2%	81.8%	2.5%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.8	7.7	0.21	0.358	24.9%	60.7%	3.1%

Phillies Notable Injuries

J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
Brandon Marsh OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.42 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.5
Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.615 Last game: 05/30/24. Impact: 1.4

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Wilyer Abreu OUT (OF): Avg: 0.272 SLG:0.485 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Romy Gonzalez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.343 Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.5
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.3
Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1