Phillies vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat at Fenway tonight as the sizzling Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a stellar 46-21 record, roll into Boston looking to settle scores against the .500 Red Sox. The stakes are as high as the summer temps, with the Phillies aiming to tighten their grip atop the National League, while the Sox, trailing by 14 in the American League, hope to climb back into contention. The clash at the iconic park kicks off at 7:10 PM EST under a partly cloudy sky, where the breeze might just carry a few homers given the juicy over/under of 8. As the betting lines dance around with Phillies at -112 and Red Sox closely behind at -108, remember, this isn’t just another game; it’s a chance for the Sox to prove their last win wasn’t just a fluke. So, as we gear up for this showdown, let’s see if the Phillies can “Phil” up the win column or if the Red Sox will “sock” it to them once again!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 13, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 40% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-112	-108	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-112	-108	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

135W-134L

52.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

142W-130L

47.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/11/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-3.0
06/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.0
06/12/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+6.0
06/12/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+6.0
05/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Push	-0.0
05/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Push	-0.0
05/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+3.0
05/06/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+3.0
05/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-1.0
05/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-1.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 2.881 | IP 84.3 | 8.0W-2.0L | KO 76.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-05-24	vsMIL	0-2W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
05-31-24	vsSTL	2-4W	6.3	3	2	6	Under
05-25-24	@COL	8-4W	6.0	5	3	5	Over
05-19-24	vsWAS	5-11W	7.0	2	3	5	Over
05-14-24	@NYM	4-0W	9.0	4	0	8	Under
05-08-24	vsTOR	5-3L	5.7	9	4	7	Push
05-03-24	vsSF	3-4W	4.0	4	2	4	Under
04-26-24	@SD	9-3W	8.0	7	3	10	Over
04-21-24	vsCWS	2-8W	8.0	4	2	7	Over
04-15-24	vsCOL	1-2W	7.3	4	1	9	Under

Tanner Houck

ERA 2.012 | IP 85.0 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 84.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-06-24	@CWS	14-2W	7.0	3	2	9	Over
05-31-24	vsDET	3-7W	7.0	3	1	6	Over
05-26-24	vsMIL	1-2W	6.0	7	1	7	Under
05-20-24	@TB	5-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
05-15-24	vsTB	4-3L	5.7	5	3	7	Under
05-10-24	vsWAS	5-1L	7.0	6	3	4	Under
05-03-24	@MIN	2-5L	6.0	6	4	5	Under
04-28-24	vsCHC	4-5W	6.7	4	1	9	Over
04-23-24	@CLE	1-4L	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-17-24	vsCLE	0-2W	9.0	3	0	9	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/14	vs BOS	6-8L	9	0	Over
06/13	vs BOS	4-1W	7	2	Under
06/11	@ NYM	5-5L	10	1	Over
06/10	vs NYM	7-2W	11	3	Over
06/07	@ MIL	2-0W	3	1	Under
06/06	@ MIL	2-1W	8	1	Under
06/05	@ MIL	3-1W	7	1	Under
06/04	@ STL	4-5L	7	0	Over
06/03	@ STL	6-1W	7	1	Under
06/02	@ STL	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/31	vs SF	6-1W	14	2	Under
05/30	vs SF	0-1L	7	0	Under
05/29	vs SF	4-8L	7	1	Over
05/28	vs COL	2-5L	5	0	Under
05/27	vs COL	8-4W	12	1	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/14	@ PHI	8-6W	13	1	Over
06/13	@ PHI	1-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs CWS	6-4W	8	1	Over
06/10	vs CWS	1-6L	5	1	Under
06/09	vs CWS	2-7L	6	0	Over
06/08	vs CWS	14-2W	24	3	Over
06/07	@ ATL	9-0W	13	3	Over
06/06	@ ATL	3-8L	5	1	Over
06/04	@ DET	4-8L	8	1	Over
06/03	@ DET	6-3W	10	2	Over
06/02	@ DET	7-3W	12	2	Over
06/01	@ DET	0-5L	2	0	Under
05/31	vs BAL	1-6L	6	0	Under
05/30	vs BAL	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/29	vs BAL	3-11L	8	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.0	12.2	0.241	0.416	44.5%	86.1%	5.3%
#2 Nick Castellanos	7.4	9.8	0.216	0.369	30.2%	67.1%	3.5%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.8	11.9	0.278	0.529	46.7%	99.6%	6.6%
#4 Alec Bohm	6.8	9.1	0.286	0.456	37.7%	83.3%	2.4%
#5 Bryson Stott	6.8	9.0	0.248	0.381	41.1%	79.2%	2.5%
#6 Edmundo Sosa	5.7	7.5	0.286	0.518	39.3%	91.1%	3.6%
#7 David Dahl	6.3	8.3	0.333	0.867	33.3%	120.0%	13.3%
#8 Garrett Stubbs	5.1	6.6	0.179	0.196	30.4%	50.0%	0.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.4	6.8	0.232	0.294	28.2%	57.6%	1.1%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.6	11.1	0.269	0.459	37.3%	83.2%	1.8%
#2 David Hamilton	7.6	9.6	0.296	0.472	37.6%	84.8%	3.2%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	7.9	10.5	0.252	0.497	41.5%	91.2%	6.9%
#4 Rafael Devers	8.5	11.3	0.282	0.555	43.1%	98.6%	6.2%
#5 Masataka Yoshida	6.6	8.7	0.28	0.402	40.2%	80.5%	2.4%
#6 Connor Wong	6.3	8.0	0.329	0.451	43.4%	88.4%	2.9%
#7 Dominic Smith	5.6	7.6	0.217	0.321	36.8%	68.9%	1.9%
#8 Enmanuel Valdez	5.1	7.0	0.188	0.376	24.8%	62.4%	4.3%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	4.9	6.5	0.216	0.362	25.9%	62.1%	3.0%

Phillies Notable Injuries

J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
Brandon Marsh OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.42 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.5
Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.615 Last game: 05/30/24. Impact: 1.4

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Wilyer Abreu OUT (OF): Avg: 0.272 SLG:0.485 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Romy Gonzalez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.343 Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.5
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.3
Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1