Phillies vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime-time MLB action as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 54W-29L record, strut into the iconic Wrigley Field to face the underdog Chicago Cubs, who are trying to find their footing at 39W-46L. It’s an 08:05 PM EST showdown that’s buzzing with playoff implications and conference rankings drama. With the Phillies sitting pretty at the top of the National League and the Cubs trailing by 11 games, every pitch counts tonight. Vegas has the over/under teetering at a tantalizing 9.0, hinting at a potential slugfest or a pitcher’s duel under the overcast Chicago skies, where the breeze is just cool enough to keep the excitement burning. While the Cubs are licking their wounds after a tough loss to Milwaukee, the Phillies are flying high from a narrow escape against Miami. So, as the Phillies gallop and the Cubs claw, tonight’s game is set to be more than just a diamond duel—it’s a battle of wills wrapped in winds and whimsy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 02, 2024 08:05PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Overcast with winds from the S at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+107	-128	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

138W-138L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

139W-137L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+2.0
05/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+2.0
05/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+6.0
05/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+6.0
05/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-6.0
05/21/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-6.0
06/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-3.0
06/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-3.0
06/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.0
06/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+4.0
06/29/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-5.0
06/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Michael Mercado

ERA 0.0 | IP 1.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 1.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-24-24	@DET	8-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Push

Hayden Wesneski

ERA 3.6 | IP 45.0 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-26-24	@SF	3-4L	4.0	2	3	7	Under
06-21-24	vsNYM	11-1L	2.0	2	1	2	Over
06-17-24	vsSF	7-6L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
06-14-24	vsSTL	3-0L	1.0	1	1	0	Under
06-11-24	@TB	2-5L	1.7	0	0	1	Under
06-05-24	vsCWS	6-7W	0.7	1	1	1	Over
06-04-24	vsCWS	6-7W	1.0	1	1	0	Over
06-01-24	vsCIN	5-7W	1.0	1	0	3	Over
05-30-24	@MIL	4-6L	0.3	0	0	1	Over
05-28-24	@MIL	6-3W	0.7	1	0	2	Push

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/02	@ MIA	7-6W	14	1	Over
07/01	@ MIA	2-3L	5	1	Under
06/30	@ MIA	2-0W	7	0	Under
06/29	@ MIA	4-7L	8	1	Over
06/28	vs DET	6-2W	12	1	Under
06/27	vs DET	1-4L	4	1	Under
06/26	vs DET	8-1W	15	2	Push
06/25	@ ARI	4-1W	11	0	Under
06/24	@ ARI	12-1W	14	4	Over
06/23	@ ARI	4-5L	7	2	Push
06/21	@ SD	2-5L	6	2	Under
06/20	@ SD	4-3W	13	1	Under
06/19	@ SD	9-2W	18	3	Over
06/18	vs BAL	3-8L	10	0	Over
06/17	vs BAL	2-6L	7	1	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/02	vs MIL	1-7L	2	1	Under
07/01	vs MIL	5-3W	8	2	Under
06/30	vs MIL	2-4L	5	1	Under
06/29	vs SF	5-3W	10	2	Under
06/28	vs SF	3-4L	9	1	Under
06/27	vs SF	1-5L	4	0	Under
06/26	vs SF	4-5L	10	0	Push
06/25	@ NYM	2-5L	7	1	Under
06/24	@ NYM	8-1W	9	1	Push
06/23	@ NYM	1-11L	6	0	Over
06/21	@ SF	6-5W	11	2	Over
06/20	@ SF	5-2W	11	1	Under
06/19	@ SF	6-7L	10	2	Over
06/18	@ STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/17	@ STL	5-1W	9	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Bryson Stott	8.4	11.1	0.243	0.359	0.394	0.753	0.305	0.019
#2 Trea Turner	10.7	13.5	0.332	0.453	0.411	0.863	0.352	0.016
#3 Alec Bohm	8.5	11.3	0.300	0.489	0.388	0.877	0.357	0.032
#4 Brandon Marsh	8.0	10.4	0.265	0.422	0.397	0.819	0.330	0.034
#5 Nick Castellanos	8.8	11.5	0.231	0.386	0.315	0.701	0.289	0.034
#6 Kody Clemens	6.3	8.4	0.250	0.562	0.292	0.854	0.352	0.062
#7 David Dahl	7.4	9.7	0.250	0.479	0.312	0.792	0.326	0.062
#8 Garrett Stubbs	5.8	7.2	0.216	0.261	0.307	0.568	0.238	0.011
#9 Johan Rojas	6.0	7.6	0.234	0.298	0.287	0.585	0.246	0.011

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	8.9	11.4	0.245	0.344	0.376	0.720	0.295	0.014
#2 Michael Busch	9.4	12.4	0.258	0.446	0.417	0.863	0.344	0.042
#3 Cody Bellinger	9.3	12.0	0.267	0.416	0.359	0.776	0.317	0.032
#4 Seiya Suzuki	8.8	11.5	0.258	0.454	0.371	0.825	0.335	0.044
#5 Ian Happ	8.0	10.8	0.226	0.416	0.405	0.821	0.328	0.039
#6 Christopher Morel	8.7	11.7	0.198	0.375	0.362	0.737	0.299	0.051
#7 Dansby Swanson	8.1	10.6	0.217	0.364	0.326	0.690	0.284	0.031
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.4	8.0	0.192	0.277	0.262	0.538	0.227	0.008
#9 Miguel Amaya	6.2	8.0	0.189	0.260	0.278	0.538	0.228	0.012

Phillies Notable Injuries

Spencer Turnbull OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.9
Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1
Bryce Harper OUT (1B): Avg: 0.3 SLG:0.578 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 5.9
Kyle Schwarber OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.447 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 3.6
J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
Kody Clemens OUT (1B/3B): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.562 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 1.2

Cubs Notable Injuries

Javier Assad OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 5.1
Ben Brown OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 5.5
Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 4.3
Mike Tauchman OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.382 Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 1.7
Keegan Thompson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 1.7
Mark Leiter Jr. OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.1