Phillies vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 22nd 2024

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at the Great American Ball Park as the Philadelphia Phillies, hot on the heels of their latest victory, gear up to clash with the Cincinnati Reds, who are also riding the high from a recent win. Tonight’s battle, kicking off at 06:40 PM EST, isn’t just any game—it’s a strategic play for conference rankings with the Phillies just a swing away from the top and the Reds not far behind. With a tight betting line and an over/under that promises a high-scoring affair, fans are in for a treat. And let’s not forget, Mother Nature is playing nice too, offering up perfect sunny skies to complement the sizzling action on the field. So, as the Phillies aim to ring the Liberty Bell of victory and the Reds look to paint the town red, make sure you’re tuned in for what’s set to be a spectacular display of baseball bravado!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 22, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 46.0° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-123	+103	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-124	+104	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-1	+1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

120W-125L

55.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

119W-132L

44.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Push	-0.0
04/01/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Push	-0.0
04/02/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.0
04/02/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.0
04/03/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-4.0
04/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-4.0
04/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-2.0
04/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.0
04/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-4.0
04/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-4.0
04/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+1.0
04/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.0
04/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-1.0
04/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Under	-1.0
04/14/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+2.0
04/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+2.0
04/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Over	+4.0
04/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	13	Over	+4.0
04/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	14	Over	+8.0
04/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+8.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 1.731 | IP 26.0 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	vsCWS	2-8W	8.0	4	2	7	Over
04-15-24	vsCOL	1-2W	7.3	4	1	9	Under
04-10-24	@STL	4-3W	6.0	3	2	3	Under
04-05-24	@WAS	4-0W	5.7	2	0	4	Under
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	4.3	12	7	3	Over
09-26-23	vsPIT	2-3W	6.7	4	1	8	Under
09-20-23	@ATL	6-5W	6.0	6	2	8	Over
09-15-23	@STL	5-4W	4.7	7	3	1	Over
09-09-23	vsMIA	4-8W	4.3	7	4	6	Over
09-02-23	@MIL	5-7L	4.7	8	7	5	Over
04-16-24	vsCOL	0-5W	9.0	7	0	8	Under
04-11-24	vsPIT	1-5W	6.0	2	0	8	Under
04-06-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
03-31-24	vsATL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	7	Over
09-27-23	vsPIT	6-7W	4.7	9	6	4	Over
09-21-23	vsNYM	4-5W	6.7	5	4	6	Over
09-16-23	@STL	6-1W	6.0	4	1	5	Under
09-10-23	vsMIA	5-4L	6.3	2	3	10	Over
09-03-23	@MIL	4-2W	4.0	5	2	5	Under
08-13-23	vsMIN	3-0L	6.3	6	2	8	Under

Frankie Montas

ERA 4.19 | IP 19.3 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 14.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	@SEA	1-3L	4.0	4	1	8	Under
04-10-24	vsMIL	7-2L	6.0	6	7	9	Over
04-05-24	vsNYM	3-2L	6.0	3	1	6	Under
03-30-24	vsWAS	7-6L	4.7	5	2	7	Over
10-01-23	@STL	3-4L	5.0	9	4	6	Under
09-26-23	@CLE	11-7W	3.0	8	7	3	Over
09-20-23	vsMIN	5-3L	7.0	3	1	14	Under
09-15-23	@NYM	5-3W	5.7	4	3	6	Under
09-10-23	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	1	1	9	Under
08-30-23	@SF	4-1W	5.3	3	1	6	Under
04-21-24	vsLAA	0-3W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
04-15-24	@SEA	3-9L	2.0	3	5	1	Over
04-09-24	vsMIL	9-5L	5.0	6	5	4	Over
04-03-24	@PHI	4-1W	5.7	5	1	5	Under
03-28-24	vsWAS	2-8W	6.0	4	0	4	Over
09-30-23	@KC	5-2L	1.3	2	0	1	Under
09-16-22	@MIL	5-2L	3.3	4	4	2	Under
09-09-22	@TB	5-2L	5.7	9	4	4	Under
09-04-22	@TB	5-2L	5.0	1	0	7	Under
08-29-22	@LAA	5-2L	6.0	8	4	6	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	@ CWS	8-2W	11	1	Over
04/22	@ CWS	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/21	@ CWS	7-0W	7	3	Under
04/19	@ COL	7-6W	12	3	Over
04/18	@ COL	5-0W	7	2	Under
04/17	@ COL	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/16	@ PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/12	vs STL	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	vs STL	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/09	vs WAS	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/08	vs WAS	5-2W	9	1	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	@ LAA	3-0W	5	0	Under
04/22	@ LAA	7-5W	8	1	Over
04/21	@ LAA	7-1W	5	2	Under
04/19	vs SEA	1-5L	1	1	Under
04/18	vs SEA	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over
04/15	vs CWS	5-0W	4	0	Under
04/14	vs CWS	11-1W	12	2	Over
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under
04/08	@ NYM	9-6W	8	1	Over
04/07	@ NYM	2-3L	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.8	14.5	0.217	0.434	38.6%	81.9%	7.2%
#2 Trea Turner	9.8	12.5	0.348	0.506	43.8%	94.4%	2.2%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.7	13.0	0.241	0.443	38.0%	82.3%	5.1%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	8.2	10.6	0.233	0.356	30.1%	65.8%	4.1%
#5 Alec Bohm	6.9	9.3	0.284	0.486	45.9%	94.6%	4.1%
#6 Brandon Marsh	7.9	10.3	0.288	0.561	34.8%	90.9%	7.6%
#7 Nick Castellanos	7.5	9.6	0.177	0.203	26.6%	46.8%	0.0%
#8 Bryson Stott	7.0	9.0	0.224	0.284	32.8%	61.2%	1.5%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.6	8.2	0.264	0.302	35.8%	66.0%	0.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Will Benson	9.5	12.5	0.186	0.4	32.9%	72.9%	2.9%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	8.9	11.8	0.306	0.639	48.6%	112.5%	8.3%
#3 Spencer Steer	8.9	11.9	0.307	0.533	49.3%	102.7%	4.0%
#4 Nick Martini	6.6	9.1	0.227	0.5	27.3%	77.3%	6.8%
#5 C. Encarnacion-Strand	8.0	10.8	0.185	0.321	19.8%	51.9%	2.5%
#6 Jeimer Candelario	7.2	9.7	0.206	0.413	33.3%	74.6%	3.2%
#6 Stuart Fairchild	6.5	8.3	0.25	0.275	35.0%	62.5%	0.0%
#7 Tyler Stephenson	6.1	8.4	0.216	0.451	35.3%	80.4%	5.9%
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.7	7.6	0.128	0.154	28.2%	43.6%	0.0%
#9 Luke Maile	5.6	7.9	0.12	0.24	28.0%	52.0%	4.0%
#9 Bubba Thompson	5.0	6.4	0.143	0.214	14.3%	35.7%	0.0%