Phillies vs Tigers Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Comerica Park as the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 51W-26L record, swoop into Detroit to clash with the Tigers, who are trying to claw their way out of a 36W-42L hole. The action kicks off at 06:40 PM EST, with the Phillies looking to maintain their top spot in the National League, while the Tigers are licking their wounds, 14.5 games adrift in the American League. Today’s over/under teeters at 7.5 in a game where the odds slightly favor the Phillies at -122 against the Tigers’ +102. Fresh off a decisive 8-1 victory against these very Tigers, the Phillies are primed for another showdown, especially with the Detroit sky planning to weep moderate rain at 67°F, winds whipping from the SW, and humidity thick enough to cut with a knife. As these two teams prepare to battle it out, remember, in the jungle of Major League Baseball, it’s a game of survival of the fittest—so let’s see if the Tigers can pounce back or if the Phillies will continue to soar!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 25, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Comerica Park, Detroit

Weather: Moderate rain with winds from the SW at 15.4 mph. Temperature is at 67.0° with 86% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	DET ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-122	+102	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-133	+111	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-11	+9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

137W-137L

57.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

130W-149L

42.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/24/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+1.5
06/24/24	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Over	+1.5
06/05/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+3.5
06/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+3.5
06/06/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-6.5
06/06/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-6.5
06/08/23	Detroit Tigers DET	2	Under	-2.5
06/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-2.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 1.755 | IP 92.3 | 10.0W-1.0L | KO 95.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-19-24	vsSD	5-2L	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-14-24	@BAL	5-3W	6.7	6	1	6	Over
06-08-24	@NYM	7-2W	5.7	8	2	6	Over
06-01-24	vsSTL	1-6W	2.0	0	0	2	Under
05-26-24	@COL	2-5L	6.0	3	5	9	Under
05-21-24	vsTEX	2-5W	7.0	5	1	10	Under
05-15-24	vsNYM	5-10W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
05-10-24	@MIA	8-2W	7.0	3	0	9	Over
05-04-24	vsSF	3-14W	6.0	7	3	6	Over
04-27-24	@SD	5-1W	8.0	3	1	8	Under

Tarik Skubal

ERA 2.5 | IP 90.0 | 8.0W-3.0L | KO 105.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-19-24	@ATL	0-7L	4.0	7	5	7	Under
06-14-24	@HOU	0-4L	6.3	6	4	2	Under
06-09-24	vsMIL	2-10W	6.7	5	1	10	Over
06-03-24	@TEX	2-1W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
05-29-24	vsPIT	0-8W	7.0	3	0	8	Over
05-22-24	@KC	3-8L	5.0	6	4	6	Over
05-17-24	@ARI	13-0W	6.0	1	0	6	Over
05-11-24	vsHOU	2-8W	6.3	7	2	7	Over
05-05-24	@NYY	2-5L	6.0	6	2	12	Under
04-28-24	vsKC	1-4W	7.0	4	1	6	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/26	vs DET	8-1W	15	2	Over
06/25	@ ARI	4-1W	11	0	Under
06/24	@ ARI	12-1W	14	4	Over
06/23	@ ARI	4-5L	7	2	Over
06/21	@ SD	2-5L	6	2	Under
06/20	@ SD	4-3W	13	1	Under
06/19	@ SD	9-2W	18	3	Over
06/18	vs BAL	3-8L	10	0	Over
06/17	vs BAL	2-6L	7	1	Over
06/16	vs BAL	5-3W	7	2	Over
06/15	vs BOS	3-9L	10	0	Over
06/14	vs BOS	6-8L	9	0	Over
06/13	vs BOS	4-1W	7	2	Under
06/11	@ NYM	5-5L	10	1	Over
06/10	vs NYM	7-2W	11	3	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/26	@ PHI	1-8L	7	0	Over
06/25	@ CWS	11-2W	16	4	Over
06/24	@ CWS	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/23	@ CWS	2-1W	5	1	Under
06/21	vs ATL	0-7L	8	0	Under
06/20	vs ATL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/19	vs ATL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/18	vs HOU	1-4L	3	0	Under
06/17	vs HOU	13-5W	19	5	Over
06/16	vs HOU	0-4L	5	0	Under
06/15	@ WAS	7-2W	10	1	Over
06/14	@ WAS	5-7L	12	2	Over
06/13	@ WAS	4-5L	6	0	Over
06/11	@ MIL	10-2W	12	1	Over
06/10	@ MIL	4-5L	5	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	7.3	9.9	0.249	0.453	0.457	0.910	0.356	0.059
#2 Trea Turner	9.0	11.3	0.333	0.455	0.412	0.867	0.353	0.018
#3 Bryce Harper	8.0	10.7	0.299	0.573	0.467	1.040	0.406	0.069
#4 Alec Bohm	7.0	9.3	0.313	0.507	0.405	0.912	0.370	0.031
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.3	9.6	0.226	0.389	0.306	0.694	0.287	0.037
#6 Edmundo Sosa	6.7	8.8	0.281	0.496	0.381	0.878	0.356	0.036
#7 Whit Merrifield	6.4	8.4	0.184	0.288	0.296	0.584	0.244	0.024
#8 Cristian Pache	4.9	6.5	0.203	0.270	0.378	0.649	0.265	0.000
#9 Rafael Marchan	4.7	6.1	0.273	0.455	0.318	0.773	0.320	0.045

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Matt Vierling	6.7	8.6	0.254	0.440	0.306	0.746	0.308	0.036
#2 Andy Ibanez	6.7	8.8	0.276	0.390	0.324	0.714	0.298	0.019
#3 Mark Canha	6.6	8.7	0.244	0.368	0.416	0.784	0.317	0.024
#4 Riley Greene	6.3	8.3	0.261	0.493	0.408	0.901	0.359	0.053
#5 Gio Urshela	5.9	7.5	0.259	0.329	0.318	0.647	0.270	0.012
#6 Wenceel Perez	6.4	8.1	0.263	0.405	0.346	0.751	0.307	0.015
#7 Justyn-Henry Malloy	5.3	7.2	0.146	0.312	0.312	0.625	0.259	0.042
#8 Jake Rogers	5.1	6.7	0.205	0.342	0.281	0.623	0.261	0.034
#9 Ryan Kreidler	4.1	5.5	0.095	0.095	0.190	0.286	0.130	0.000

Phillies Notable Injuries

Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1
J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.615 Last game: 05/30/24. Impact: 1.4

Tigers Notable Injuries

Kerry Carpenter OUT (OF): Avg: 0.283 SLG:0.572 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 4.0
Javier Baez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.183 SLG:0.247 Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1
Alex Faedo OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/06/24. Impact: 1.5