Phillies vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the sizzle of today’s MLB showdown as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies zip down to Miami to cool off against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park. With a 07:10 PM first pitch, the Phillies are looking to maintain their top-notch standing in the National League, while the Marlins, trailing significantly, hope to turn the tide in their home waters. Both teams are hungry for a win after recent stumbles, setting the stage for an intriguing battle under partly cloudy skies with a gentle southern breeze teasing the excitement. With the odds favoring the Phillies and the scoreboard expected to be on the lighter side, tonight’s game is all about whether the Marlins can fish out a surprise, or if the Phillies will continue to gallop ahead in the standings. So, let’s see if the Marlins can make a splash or if the Phillies will ride the wave to another victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 10, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 84.0° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-195	+160	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-214	+174	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-19	+14	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

127W-128L

68.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

123W-135L

31.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+10.5
04/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	15	Over	+10.5
04/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
04/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+4.5
04/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
04/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
07/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-0.5
07/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
07/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
07/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
07/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+2.5
07/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+2.5
07/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
08/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.5
08/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
08/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+9.5
08/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
08/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
09/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+4.5
09/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.5
09/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.5
09/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 1.723 | IP 47.0 | 6.0W-0.0L | KO 46.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-04-24	vsSF	3-14W	6.0	7	3	6	Over
04-27-24	@SD	5-1W	8.0	3	1	8	Under
04-22-24	@CIN	7-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
04-16-24	vsCOL	0-5W	9.0	7	0	8	Under
04-11-24	vsPIT	1-5W	6.0	2	0	8	Under
04-06-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
03-31-24	vsATL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	7	Over
09-27-23	vsPIT	6-7W	4.7	9	6	4	Over
09-21-23	vsNYM	4-5W	6.7	5	4	6	Over
09-16-23	@STL	6-1W	6.0	4	1	5	Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 6.149 | IP 33.7 | 0.0W-5.0L | KO 28.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-04-24	@OAK	4-20L	2.3	8	8	1	Over
04-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	4	3	3	Over
04-23-24	@ATL	0-5L	5.7	7	5	4	Under
04-17-24	vsSF	3-1L	5.7	4	1	6	Under
04-12-24	vsATL	8-1L	5.0	8	2	5	Over
04-06-24	@STL	1-3L	5.0	5	3	3	Under
03-31-24	vsPIT	9-7L	5.0	7	4	6	Over
04-19-23	vsSF	5-2L	3.0	3	1	3	Under
04-14-23	vsARI	1-5W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
04-08-23	@NYM	2-5L	4.7	4	3	5	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/10	@ TOR	3-5L	7	0	Over
05/09	@ TOR	10-1W	11	2	Over
05/08	@ SF	6-1W	10	2	Under
05/07	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/06	@ SF	14-3W	12	1	Over
05/05	@ SF	3-3L	6	0	Under
05/03	vs LAA	2-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	vs LAA	7-5W	11	3	Over
05/01	vs LAA	5-6L	6	0	Over
04/30	vs SD	8-6W	12	3	Over
04/29	vs SD	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/28	vs SD	9-3W	13	5	Over
04/27	vs CIN	5-0W	11	1	Under
04/26	vs CIN	4-7L	11	0	Over
04/25	vs CIN	1-8L	5	0	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/10	vs LAD	1-3L	6	1	Under
05/09	vs LAD	2-8L	6	2	Over
05/08	vs LAD	3-6L	7	1	Over
05/07	vs OAK	12-3W	14	1	Over
05/06	vs OAK	4-20L	7	2	Over
05/05	vs OAK	1-3L	7	0	Under
05/04	@ COL	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/03	@ COL	4-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	@ COL	7-6W	9	0	Over
05/01	@ WAS	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/30	@ WAS	9-12L	12	1	Over
04/29	@ WAS	4-11L	13	1	Over
04/28	@ WAS	1-3L	6	0	Under
04/26	vs ATL	3-4L	7	1	Under
04/25	vs ATL	0-5L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.6	14.4	0.211	0.401	38.1%	78.2%	6.1%
#2 J.T. Realmuto	10.3	13.4	0.264	0.44	34.4%	78.4%	4.0%
#3 Bryce Harper	10.6	14.5	0.254	0.516	45.9%	97.5%	7.4%
#4 Alec Bohm	8.4	11.1	0.346	0.549	46.6%	101.5%	3.0%
#5 Nick Castellanos	8.3	10.7	0.207	0.286	29.3%	57.9%	1.4%
#6 Whit Merrifield	8.2	10.4	0.22	0.356	28.8%	64.4%	3.4%
#7 Edmundo Sosa	7.7	10.0	0.273	0.455	39.4%	84.8%	3.0%
#8 Cristian Pache	5.9	8.3	0.118	0.118	47.1%	58.8%	0.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.4	8.1	0.216	0.294	28.4%	57.8%	1.0%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Dane Myers	6.2	8.3	0.375	0.5	56.2%	106.2%	0.0%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	6.8	8.9	0.269	0.474	34.0%	81.4%	5.1%
#3 Jake Burger	7.2	9.8	0.203	0.362	27.5%	63.8%	4.3%
#4 Josh Bell	6.7	8.8	0.201	0.306	32.6%	63.2%	2.8%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	5.3	7.0	0.229	0.393	34.3%	73.6%	3.6%
#6 Tim Anderson	5.7	7.1	0.203	0.229	25.4%	48.3%	0.0%
#7 Emmanuel Rivera	5.3	6.9	0.203	0.23	32.4%	55.4%	0.0%
#8 Otto Lopez	4.8	6.2	0.286	0.476	33.3%	81.0%	4.8%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.9	6.4	0.129	0.2	17.1%	37.1%	1.4%