Phillies vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into an electrifying MLB showdown as the soaring Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a stellar 28W-12L record, swoop into LoanDepot Park to clash with the struggling Miami Marlins, who are treading water at 10W-31L. It’s a sunny day for baseball this Monday afternoon with the first pitch slated for 01:40 PM EST. The Phillies, sitting pretty at the top of the National League, are looking to tighten their grip on the lead, while the Marlins, 18.5 games adrift, hope to turn the tide in their favor. With the over/under teasing at a lean 7 runs and the odds tipping heavily towards Philly, this game is brewing up to be another chapter in their recent dominant display over Miami. As we gear up for this clash, keep an eye on the skies—both the weather and the Phillies’ bats are heating up! So, will the Marlins manage to fish out a victory, or will the Phillies continue to fly high? Tune in as the stakes are as high as the Florida humidity!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 12, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 90.0° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-220	+180	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-206	+168	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+14	-12	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

129W-128L

67.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

123W-137L

32.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+3.0
05/10/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+3.0
05/11/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.0
05/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+4.0
04/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+11.0
04/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	15	Over	+11.0
04/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+5.0
04/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+5.0
04/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.0
04/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.0
07/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Push	-0.0
07/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Push	-0.0
07/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+1.0
07/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.0
07/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.0
07/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+3.0
07/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.0
07/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.0
08/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.0
08/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.0
08/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+10.0
08/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+10.0
08/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.0
08/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.0
09/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.0
09/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.0
09/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.0
09/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+5.0
09/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+2.0
09/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+2.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Zack Wheeler

ERA 1.642 | IP 49.3 | 4.0W-3.0L | KO 63.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-06-24	vsSF	1-6W	7.0	4	1	11	Push
05-01-24	@LAA	2-1W	5.0	5	1	6	Under
04-25-24	@CIN	5-0W	6.0	1	0	8	Under
04-20-24	vsCWS	5-9W	7.3	1	0	8	Over
04-14-24	vsPIT	9-2L	5.0	5	5	10	Over
04-09-24	@STL	0-3L	7.0	6	3	5	Under
04-03-24	vsCIN	4-1L	6.0	3	3	10	Under
03-29-24	vsATL	9-3L	6.0	5	0	5	Over
09-28-23	vsPIT	3-2L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
09-23-23	vsNYM	5-7W	7.0	8	5	6	Over

Braxton Garrett

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

No notable injuries to report

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	vs MIA	8-3W	12	0	Over
05/12	vs MIA	8-2W	15	2	Over
05/10	@ TOR	3-5L	7	0	Over
05/09	@ TOR	10-1W	11	2	Over
05/08	@ SF	6-1W	10	2	Push
05/07	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/06	@ SF	14-3W	12	1	Over
05/05	@ SF	3-3L	6	0	Under
05/03	vs LAA	2-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	vs LAA	7-5W	11	3	Over
05/01	vs LAA	5-6L	6	0	Over
04/30	vs SD	8-6W	12	3	Over
04/29	vs SD	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/28	vs SD	9-3W	13	5	Over
04/27	vs CIN	5-0W	11	1	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	@ PHI	3-8L	11	2	Over
05/12	@ PHI	2-8L	5	0	Over
05/10	vs LAD	1-3L	6	1	Under
05/09	vs LAD	2-8L	6	2	Over
05/08	vs LAD	3-6L	7	1	Over
05/07	vs OAK	12-3W	14	1	Over
05/06	vs OAK	4-20L	7	2	Over
05/05	vs OAK	1-3L	7	0	Under
05/04	@ COL	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/03	@ COL	4-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	@ COL	7-6W	9	0	Over
05/01	@ WAS	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/30	@ WAS	9-12L	12	1	Over
04/29	@ WAS	4-11L	13	1	Over
04/28	@ WAS	1-3L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.0	10.9	0.217	0.401	38.2%	78.3%	5.9%
#2 J.T. Realmuto	8.9	11.5	0.274	0.444	35.6%	80.0%	3.7%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.4	11.4	0.252	0.504	45.0%	95.4%	6.9%
#4 Alec Bohm	8.3	11.0	0.343	0.538	45.5%	99.3%	2.8%
#5 Nick Castellanos	8.6	11.2	0.209	0.304	30.4%	60.8%	2.0%
#6 Whit Merrifield	8.4	10.8	0.209	0.343	29.9%	64.2%	3.0%
#7 Edmundo Sosa	6.7	8.9	0.282	0.462	46.2%	92.3%	2.6%
#8 Cristian Pache	5.5	7.3	0.269	0.308	50.0%	80.8%	0.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.5	8.2	0.236	0.336	30.0%	63.6%	1.8%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.3	9.5	0.236	0.399	34.5%	74.3%	3.4%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	5.7	7.4	0.27	0.472	34.4%	81.6%	4.9%
#3 Jake Burger	5.9	8.0	0.195	0.338	26.0%	59.7%	3.9%
#4 Josh Bell	6.1	8.1	0.2	0.307	33.3%	64.0%	2.7%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	6.4	8.2	0.225	0.304	29.4%	59.8%	2.0%
#6 Nick Gordon	5.5	7.2	0.221	0.411	26.3%	67.4%	5.3%
#7 Vidal Brujan	4.5	5.7	0.268	0.423	36.6%	78.9%	1.4%
#8 Otto Lopez	4.4	5.8	0.32	0.64	40.0%	104.0%	8.0%
#9 C. Bethancourt	4.1	5.5	0.122	0.163	16.3%	32.7%	0.0%