Phillies vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the sizzle of today’s MLB showdown as the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies swoop into LoanDepot Park, ready to clash bats with the Miami Marlins. It’s a tale of two cities and two very different seasons, with the Phillies riding high near the apex of the National League, while the Marlins are trying to find their sea legs deep in the standings. With the first pitch at 07:10 PM EST under the partly cloudy skies of Miami, where the breeze whispers secrets of victory and the heat is as intense as the competition, this game is set to be a scorcher. The Phillies, fresh off a recent victory against the same Marlins, are looking to keep their momentum, while Miami hopes to flip the script. With the odds and the over/under suggesting a tight, tactical battle, it’s time to see if the Marlins can swim upstream against the Phillies’ current or if they’ll get caught in the nets of defeat again.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 06, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 90.0° with 62% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-225	+185	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-240	+195	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-15	+10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

153W-154L

70.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

144W-166L

29.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+2.5
05/10/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+2.5
05/11/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+3.5
05/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
05/12/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+5.5
05/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+5.5
06/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+3.5
06/27/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+3.5
06/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-5.5
06/28/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
06/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
06/29/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
06/30/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+5.5
06/30/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+5.5
08/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-2.5
08/13/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-2.5
08/14/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+6.5
08/14/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+6.5
09/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-0.5
09/05/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+10.5
04/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	15	Over	+10.5
04/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
04/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+4.5
04/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
04/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
07/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-0.5
07/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
07/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
07/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
07/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+2.5
07/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+2.5
07/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
08/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.5
08/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
08/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+9.5
08/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
08/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
09/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+4.5
09/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.5
09/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.5
09/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Luis Ortiz

ERA 27.0 | IP 0.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 0.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-31-24	vsATL	0-3W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
08-26-24	vsHOU	2-3W	6.0	6	2	6	Under
08-20-24	@ATL	1-3L	6.0	6	2	8	Under
08-15-24	vsWAS	3-13W	6.0	3	2	6	Over
08-09-24	@ARI	2-3L	6.0	7	2	8	Under
08-04-24	@SEA	6-0W	8.0	2	0	9	Under
07-29-24	vsNYY	14-4L	5.0	7	7	6	Over
07-23-24	@MIN	3-0W	7.0	3	0	7	Under
07-09-24	vsLAD	1-10W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
07-03-24	@CHC	5-3W	6.0	5	2	7	Over
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	0.7	3	2	0	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	3-4L	1.0	1	0	2	Push
08-20-23	@WAS	3-4L	1.0	2	0	0	Push
08-19-23	@WAS	12-3W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
08-08-23	vsWAS	4-8W	2.0	4	1	1	Over
07-15-23	vsSD	4-9W	1.0	1	1	2	Over
06-13-23	@ARI	15-3W	3.0	4	2	0	Over
05-06-23	vsBOS	7-4L	1.3	1	0	1	Over
05-01-23	@LAD	4-13L	0.7	2	2	0	Over
04-30-23	@HOU	3-4L	1.0	1	0	2	Push

Edward Cabrera

ERA 5.329 | IP 76.0 | 3.0W-6.0L | KO 84.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-31-24	@SF	4-3W	5.3	6	2	3	Push
08-26-24	@COL	2-3L	5.3	6	3	8	Under
08-20-24	vsARI	3-1L	6.0	4	3	3	Under
08-14-24	@PHI	5-9L	4.0	6	6	2	Over
08-09-24	vsSD	6-2L	7.0	4	0	4	Over
08-04-24	@ATL	7-0W	5.0	3	0	8	Push
07-30-24	@TB	3-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
07-24-24	vsBAL	3-6W	5.3	3	3	6	Over
07-19-24	vsNYM	4-6W	4.7	5	2	1	Over
07-13-24	@CIN	6-10L	3.3	6	7	7	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/07	vs MIA	4-2W	7	1	Under
09/06	vs TOR	4-2W	8	3	Under
09/05	vs TOR	10-9W	18	3	Over
09/03	@ ATL	3-2W	6	0	Under
09/02	@ ATL	3-0W	5	2	Under
09/01	@ ATL	2-7L	7	2	Over
08/31	@ ATL	5-4W	7	2	Over
08/30	@ HOU	0-10L	3	0	Over
08/29	@ HOU	5-0W	11	1	Under
08/28	@ HOU	3-2W	9	1	Under
08/27	vs KC	11-3W	16	1	Over
08/26	vs KC	11-2W	18	2	Over
08/25	vs KC	4-7L	11	0	Over
08/24	vs ATL	2-3L	3	0	Under
08/23	vs ATL	3-2W	5	0	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/07	@ PHI	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ WAS	4-3W	7	0	Push
09/05	@ WAS	2-6L	8	0	Over
09/03	vs SF	7-5W	10	1	Over
09/02	vs SF	4-3W	7	2	Push
09/01	vs SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
08/31	vs COL	11-8W	18	2	Over
08/30	vs COL	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/29	vs COL	9-8W	12	2	Over
08/28	vs COL	2-3L	9	0	Under
08/27	@ CHC	7-2W	11	2	Over
08/26	@ CHC	2-14L	4	2	Over
08/25	@ CHC	3-6L	8	0	Over
08/23	@ ARI	7-10L	14	2	Over
08/22	@ ARI	1-3L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.3	14.0	0.249	0.485	0.454	0.939	0.367	0.065
#2 Trea Turner	9.7	12.5	0.293	0.446	0.363	0.809	0.332	0.034
#3 Bryce Harper	10.6	14.1	0.279	0.518	0.424	0.942	0.375	0.055
#4 Nick Castellanos	7.4	9.7	0.248	0.418	0.329	0.747	0.308	0.036
#5 Bryson Stott	8.6	11.2	0.245	0.370	0.365	0.734	0.300	0.025
#6 J.T. Realmuto	7.8	10.1	0.262	0.422	0.346	0.768	0.315	0.036
#7 Brandon Marsh	7.0	9.1	0.252	0.426	0.384	0.810	0.327	0.039
#8 Kody Clemens	5.4	7.3	0.247	0.534	0.301	0.836	0.344	0.055
#9 Johan Rojas	5.8	7.3	0.240	0.301	0.294	0.595	0.250	0.010

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	7.0	8.8	0.328	0.410	0.464	0.874	0.348	0.005
#2 Connor Norby	6.1	7.9	0.272	0.522	0.326	0.848	0.349	0.054
#3 Jake Burger	6.3	8.2	0.245	0.458	0.328	0.787	0.323	0.056
#4 Jesus Sanchez	7.0	9.1	0.247	0.425	0.330	0.756	0.311	0.042
#5 Otto Lopez	5.7	7.2	0.241	0.325	0.303	0.628	0.262	0.009
#6 Griffin Conine	5.9	7.8	0.269	0.538	0.346	0.885	0.359	0.038
#7 Kyle Stowers	4.5	5.9	0.212	0.336	0.285	0.620	0.260	0.022
#8 Cristian Pache	3.9	5.1	0.196	0.280	0.308	0.587	0.245	0.007
#9 Jhonny Pereda	4.5	5.5	0.214	0.214	0.214	0.429	0.183	0.000

Phillies Notable Injuries

Alec Bohm OUT (3B): Avg: 0.288 SLG:0.457 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 1.9
Austin Hays OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.395 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.5

Marlins Notable Injuries

Vidal Brujan OUT (OF/SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.324 Last game: 09/01/24. Impact: 1.9
Anthony Bender OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/12/24. Impact: 1.5
Andrew Nardi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/23/24. Impact: 1.4