Phillies vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to crack open a cold one and dive into tonight’s electrifying face-off as the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies swoop into American Family Field, ready to battle the gritty Milwaukee Brewers under the lights at 07:40 PM EST. With both teams neck and neck in the National League conference, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Fresh off their respective last games where the Phillies savored a 5-1 victory over the Brewers, who are now thirsty for redemption, this matchup promises to be a nail-biter. The odds makers are barely breathing with the over/under tantalizingly set at 7.5. Add to that a perfect partly cloudy evening with a gentle southeastern breeze, and you’ve got the recipe for a night of epic baseball. So, as the Phillies try to gallop past the Brewers, let’s see who truly brews up a storm and who gets left in the foam!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 18, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 6.5 mph. Temperature is at 75.9° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-102	-118	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+100	-120	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+202	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

155W-157L

50.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

180W-132L

50.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/03/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-3.5
06/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
06/04/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-4.5
06/04/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-4.5
06/05/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-5.5
06/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
09/16/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Over	+0.5
09/16/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+0.5
09/17/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
09/17/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-1.5
07/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-0.5
07/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-0.5
07/19/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+0.5
07/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
07/20/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-3.5
07/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-3.5
09/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.5
09/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+4.5
09/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
09/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.673 | IP 181.3 | 12.0W-8.0L | KO 174.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-13-24	vsNYM	11-3L	4.3	6	6	7	Over
09-07-24	@MIA	5-9L	4.7	9	5	5	Over
09-01-24	vsATL	2-3W	6.0	4	2	9	Under
08-27-24	vsHOU	0-5W	7.0	4	0	6	Under
08-21-24	@ATL	3-2W	5.3	8	2	5	Under
08-16-24	vsWAS	2-3W	6.7	7	0	4	Under
08-10-24	@ARI	1-11L	5.0	9	4	4	Over
08-05-24	@LAD	3-5L	6.0	8	4	4	Over
07-30-24	vsNYY	7-6L	5.7	7	2	4	Over
07-24-24	@MIN	4-5L	6.0	6	1	6	Over

Freddy Peralta

ERA 3.747 | IP 163.3 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 184.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-13-24	@ARI	2-1W	5.0	6	1	5	Under
09-08-24	vsCOL	4-1L	4.7	7	3	4	Under
09-02-24	vsSTL	3-9W	5.3	6	3	3	Over
08-28-24	vsSF	3-5W	6.0	2	0	8	Over
08-22-24	@STL	0-3L	5.0	3	0	2	Under
08-17-24	vsCLE	1-2W	6.0	4	1	3	Under
08-12-24	vsLAD	5-2L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
08-07-24	@ATL	8-5W	5.0	8	4	6	Over
07-31-24	vsATL	6-2L	6.0	3	2	7	Over
07-26-24	vsMIA	6-2L	5.3	6	5	4	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/19	vs MIL	5-1W	10	2	Under
09/18	vs MIL	2-6L	11	1	Over
09/17	@ NYM	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/16	@ NYM	6-4W	8	2	Over
09/15	@ NYM	3-11L	4	1	Over
09/13	@ TB	3-2W	5	1	Under
09/12	@ TB	9-4W	13	3	Over
09/11	@ TB	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/10	vs MIA	1-10L	5	0	Over
09/09	vs MIA	5-9L	11	0	Over
09/08	vs MIA	16-2W	22	2	Over
09/07	vs MIA	4-2W	7	1	Under
09/06	vs TOR	4-2W	8	3	Under
09/05	vs TOR	10-9W	18	3	Over
09/03	@ ATL	3-2W	6	0	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/19	@ PHI	1-5L	5	0	Under
09/18	@ PHI	6-2W	8	0	Over
09/17	vs ARI	10-11L	13	2	Over
09/16	vs ARI	15-8W	16	4	Over
09/15	vs ARI	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/14	vs SF	3-0W	4	1	Under
09/13	vs SF	2-12L	6	0	Over
09/12	vs SF	3-2W	9	1	Under
09/10	@ COL	1-4L	3	0	Under
09/09	@ COL	5-2W	10	3	Under
09/08	@ COL	2-3L	4	0	Under
09/06	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/05	@ STL	4-7L	5	2	Over
09/04	@ STL	9-3W	7	3	Over
09/03	vs CIN	3-4L	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.6	11.7	0.253	0.491	0.453	0.945	0.369	0.067
#2 Trea Turner	8.5	10.9	0.296	0.458	0.364	0.822	0.337	0.037
#3 Bryce Harper	9.3	12.3	0.288	0.536	0.427	0.963	0.383	0.057
#4 Nick Castellanos	7.4	9.7	0.245	0.414	0.332	0.746	0.307	0.037
#5 Alec Bohm	6.9	9.0	0.286	0.452	0.372	0.824	0.337	0.025
#6 Bryson Stott	6.6	8.5	0.245	0.361	0.357	0.717	0.294	0.023
#7 J.T. Realmuto	7.0	9.1	0.264	0.420	0.347	0.767	0.315	0.034
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.1	8.0	0.254	0.434	0.378	0.812	0.328	0.041
#9 Cal Stevenson	4.6	6.3	0.286	0.429	0.429	0.857	0.344	0.000

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	7.9	10.1	0.260	0.360	0.355	0.715	0.294	0.014
#2 Jackson Chourio	7.3	9.6	0.275	0.475	0.357	0.833	0.340	0.043
#3 William Contreras	7.5	9.9	0.283	0.468	0.415	0.883	0.354	0.037
#4 Garrett Mitchell	8.5	11.0	0.253	0.440	0.392	0.831	0.334	0.030
#5 Willy Adames	7.3	9.7	0.244	0.458	0.365	0.823	0.333	0.054
#6 Jake Bauers	5.8	7.8	0.198	0.363	0.349	0.712	0.291	0.040
#7 Rhys Hoskins	6.2	8.4	0.207	0.404	0.337	0.741	0.303	0.057
#8 Sal Frelick	5.8	7.3	0.255	0.327	0.352	0.679	0.280	0.005
#9 Joey Ortiz	4.9	6.5	0.237	0.397	0.387	0.783	0.316	0.025

Phillies Notable Injuries

Austin Hays OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.395 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.5

Brewers Notable Injuries

Bryse Wilson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.4
Nick Mears OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 0.8