Phillies vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Target Field as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, who are neck and neck for the top spot in the National League, bring their A-game to face the Minnesota Twins, who are itching to climb up the American League standings. It’s a sunny day in Minneapolis, perfect for some baseball action with a slight breeze that might just carry a few homers out of the park. With the Phillies fresh off a shutout victory and the Twins looking to turn the tables after their recent stumble, the stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing. Who will take the lead in this thrilling showdown? Tune in at 1:10 PM EST to catch every pitch. And remember, in this game, it’s all about whether the Phillies can continue to fly high or if the Twins will cut their wings!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 24, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 6.3 mph. Temperature is at 68.9° with 59% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-147	+123	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-132	+110	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+15	-13	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

143W-144L

56.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

156W-129L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/22/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Over	+1.0
07/22/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+1.0
07/23/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-5.0
07/23/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-5.0
08/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+7.0
08/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	13	Over	+7.0
08/12/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+1.0
08/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+1.0
08/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-5.0
08/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-5.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.61 | IP 124.7 | 11.0W-4.0L | KO 120.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-19-24	@PIT	7-8L	5.0	6	4	4	Over
07-11-24	vsLAD	1-5W	6.0	4	1	9	Under
07-05-24	@ATL	8-6W	6.0	5	3	8	Over
06-29-24	vsMIA	3-2L	6.7	6	3	9	Under
06-24-24	@DET	8-1W	7.0	6	1	6	Over
06-18-24	vsSD	3-4W	6.0	4	3	6	Under
06-13-24	@BOS	3-9L	3.7	11	8	2	Over
06-05-24	vsMIL	0-2W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
05-31-24	vsSTL	2-4W	6.3	3	2	6	Under
05-25-24	@COL	8-4W	6.0	5	3	5	Over

Steven Okert

ERA 4.5 | IP 28.0 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-03-24	vsDET	9-2L	5.0	9	7	6	Over
06-27-24	@ARI	13-6W	5.0	7	5	2	Over
07-20-24	vsMIL	8-4L	0.7	2	3	0	Over
07-10-24	@CWS	3-2W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
07-08-24	@CWS	8-6W	0.3	1	2	1	Over
06-30-24	@SEA	5-3W	0.7	1	1	0	Push
06-29-24	@SEA	5-1W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
06-26-24	@ARI	8-3W	1.3	0	0	3	Over
06-20-24	vsTB	7-6L	0.3	2	1	0	Over
06-19-24	vsTB	3-2L	0.7	0	0	0	Under
06-12-24	vsCOL	9-17W	1.0	3	2	0	Over
06-10-24	vsCOL	0-5W	0.7	0	0	0	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/25	vs MIN	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/24	vs MIN	2-7L	4	1	Over
07/23	vs PIT	6-0W	11	1	Under
07/22	vs PIT	1-4L	4	1	Under
07/21	vs PIT	7-8L	13	2	Over
07/15	@ OAK	11-5W	9	4	Over
07/14	@ OAK	2-6L	6	0	Push
07/13	@ LAD	5-1W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ LAD	4-3W	10	1	Under
07/11	@ LAD	10-1W	12	3	Over
07/09	vs ATL	0-6L	5	0	Under
07/08	vs ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
07/07	vs ATL	8-6W	15	2	Over
07/06	vs CHC	2-10L	6	1	Over
07/05	vs CHC	5-3W	9	2	Push

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/25	@ PHI	0-3L	3	0	Under
07/24	@ PHI	7-2W	12	0	Over
07/23	@ MIL	7-8L	9	3	Over
07/22	@ MIL	4-8L	7	1	Over
07/15	vs SF	4-2W	10	1	Under
07/14	vs SF	1-7L	10	0	Push
07/12	vs CWS	1-3L	6	1	Under
07/12	vs CWS	3-2W	5	2	Under
07/10	vs CWS	8-6W	15	3	Over
07/09	@ HOU	3-2W	11	1	Under
07/08	@ HOU	9-3W	14	2	Over
07/07	@ HOU	12-13L	17	2	Over
07/06	@ DET	12-3W	14	1	Over
07/05	@ DET	2-9L	8	1	Over
07/04	@ DET	5-3W	7	2	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.4	12.7	0.241	0.438	0.449	0.887	0.348	0.057
#2 Trea Turner	9.6	12.4	0.332	0.516	0.406	0.922	0.375	0.043
#3 Bryce Harper	9.8	13.1	0.295	0.578	0.457	1.034	0.405	0.071
#4 Alec Bohm	8.2	10.8	0.291	0.466	0.386	0.852	0.347	0.029
#5 Brandon Marsh	7.3	9.6	0.254	0.425	0.383	0.808	0.326	0.037
#6 Nick Castellanos	7.3	9.6	0.239	0.408	0.319	0.727	0.300	0.036
#7 Bryson Stott	6.6	8.6	0.239	0.348	0.377	0.726	0.296	0.019
#8 Garrett Stubbs	5.4	6.9	0.198	0.243	0.324	0.568	0.239	0.009
#9 Johan Rojas	5.2	6.6	0.236	0.301	0.284	0.585	0.246	0.013

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	7.5	9.7	0.266	0.423	0.409	0.831	0.336	0.020
#2 Trevor Larnach	6.4	8.5	0.244	0.429	0.351	0.780	0.318	0.049
#3 Byron Buxton	8.4	11.0	0.277	0.500	0.358	0.858	0.351	0.042
#4 Max Kepler	6.9	9.0	0.267	0.407	0.357	0.764	0.314	0.023
#5 Carlos Santana	6.7	8.9	0.245	0.433	0.373	0.806	0.327	0.044
#6 Matt Wallner	6.3	8.5	0.235	0.490	0.451	0.941	0.373	0.059
#7 Ryan Jeffers	5.7	7.7	0.240	0.461	0.371	0.831	0.338	0.052
#8 Brooks Lee	5.4	7.1	0.263	0.386	0.351	0.737	0.302	0.035
#9 Edouard Julien	4.8	6.4	0.203	0.356	0.362	0.718	0.292	0.040

Phillies Notable Injuries

Spencer Turnbull OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.9

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
Royce Lewis OUT (3B): Avg: 0.281 SLG:0.674 Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
Jose Miranda OUT (1B/3B): Avg: 0.325 SLG:0.522 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 4.0
Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6