Phillies vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a stellar 29-13 record, swoop into Citi Field to clash with the New York Mets, who are trying to find their footing at 19-21 this season. The stakes are as high as the skyscrapers in downtown Manhattan with the first pitch set to fly at 01:10 PM EST today. Sitting snug at the top of the National League, the Phillies are looking to extend their lead, while the Mets, lagging 9 games behind, aim for a comeback after yesterday’s narrow 4-5 defeat. With the odds favoring the Phillies at -138 and an over/under that’s teasing a tight 8 runs, today’s forecast predicts partly cloudy skies with a breeze just brisk enough to keep the flags fluttering. Will the Phillies continue their gallop or will the Mets swing back hard? It’s a perfect day for baseball, so let’s see if the Mets can “mete” out some revenge or if the Phillies will “phil” their day with another win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 14, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 65% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-138	+115	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-148	+124	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-10	+9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

130W-129L

59.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

150W-110L

40.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+1.0
05/13/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.0
10/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+2.0
10/01/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Over	+2.0
05/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-6.0
05/30/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.0
05/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.0
05/31/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-3.0
06/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.0
06/01/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.0
06/23/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-2.0
06/23/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.0
06/24/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.0
06/24/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.0
06/25/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+5.0
06/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+5.0
09/21/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.0
09/21/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+1.0
09/22/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.0
09/22/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+1.0
09/23/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+4.0
09/23/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+4.0
09/24/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.0
09/24/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.0
09/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+7.0
09/30/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+7.0
09/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-1.0
09/30/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.857 | IP 49.0 | 4.0W-2.0L | KO 47.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-08-24	vsTOR	5-3L	5.7	9	4	7	Push
05-03-24	vsSF	3-4W	4.0	4	2	4	Under
04-26-24	@SD	9-3W	8.0	7	3	10	Over
04-21-24	vsCWS	2-8W	8.0	4	2	7	Over
04-15-24	vsCOL	1-2W	7.3	4	1	9	Under
04-10-24	@STL	4-3W	6.0	3	2	3	Under
04-05-24	@WAS	4-0W	5.7	2	0	4	Under
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	4.3	12	7	3	Over
09-26-23	vsPIT	2-3W	6.7	4	1	8	Under
09-20-23	@ATL	6-5W	6.0	6	2	8	Over

Jose Butto

ERA 3.0 | IP 33.0 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 34.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-07-24	@STL	7-5W	5.0	5	3	3	Over
05-01-24	vsCHC	1-0L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
04-26-24	vsSTL	4-2L	5.7	4	4	4	Under
04-20-24	@LAD	6-4W	4.3	3	2	6	Over
04-14-24	vsKC	1-2W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
04-04-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
10-01-23	vsPHI	9-1L	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-24-23	@PHI	2-5L	4.0	4	4	5	Under
09-18-23	@MIA	2-1W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsARI	4-7W	5.0	2	1	7	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/15	vs NYM	5-4W	8	1	Over
05/14	vs MIA	6-7L	6	1	Over
05/13	vs MIA	8-3W	12	0	Over
05/12	vs MIA	8-2W	15	2	Over
05/10	@ TOR	3-5L	7	0	Push
05/09	@ TOR	10-1W	11	2	Over
05/08	@ SF	6-1W	10	2	Under
05/07	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/06	@ SF	14-3W	12	1	Over
05/05	@ SF	3-3L	6	0	Under
05/03	vs LAA	2-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	vs LAA	7-5W	11	3	Over
05/01	vs LAA	5-6L	6	0	Over
04/30	vs SD	8-6W	12	3	Over
04/29	vs SD	5-1W	8	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/15	@ PHI	4-5L	8	0	Over
05/14	@ ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/13	@ ATL	1-4L	2	1	Under
05/12	@ ATL	2-4L	4	1	Under
05/09	vs STL	7-5W	14	2	Over
05/08	vs STL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under
05/05	vs TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
05/04	@ CHC	7-6W	8	0	Over
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under
05/02	@ CHC	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ STL	4-2W	8	2	Under
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Bryson Stott	9.0	12.0	0.277	0.454	44.5%	89.9%	3.4%
#2 Alec Bohm	8.1	10.7	0.329	0.52	44.1%	96.1%	2.6%
#3 Bryce Harper	11.0	14.9	0.252	0.489	45.3%	94.2%	6.5%
#4 Nick Castellanos	7.7	10.1	0.204	0.312	29.9%	61.1%	2.5%
#5 Brandon Marsh	8.6	11.2	0.252	0.439	33.3%	77.2%	4.9%
#6 Edmundo Sosa	6.5	8.6	0.311	0.533	48.9%	102.2%	2.2%
#7 Kody Clemens	5.5	7.5	0.333	0.933	33.3%	126.7%	13.3%
#8 Johan Rojas	7.3	9.3	0.23	0.327	29.2%	61.9%	1.8%
#9 Garrett Stubbs	6.1	7.8	0.133	0.133	26.7%	40.0%	0.0%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.3	11.4	0.227	0.418	46.1%	87.9%	4.3%
#2 Starling Marte	7.5	9.6	0.253	0.373	32.0%	69.3%	2.7%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.6	10.1	0.209	0.392	31.0%	70.3%	4.4%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.0	9.4	0.23	0.461	35.5%	81.6%	5.9%
#5 J.D. Martinez	7.2	8.9	0.302	0.434	37.7%	81.1%	1.9%
#6 Brett Baty	6.0	7.8	0.236	0.325	32.5%	65.0%	2.4%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.4	5.7	0.178	0.222	22.2%	44.4%	0.0%