Phillies vs Padres Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024
Phillies
16W-10L
April 26, 2024
09:40PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Padres
14W-14L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park tonight as the Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a solid 16W-10L record, roll into San Diego to face the .500 Padres at 09:40PM EST. With both teams neck and neck in the National League, trailing by a mere 2.5 games, every pitch counts in this nail-biter. The Phillies are riding high on a recent 5-0 shutout against Cincinnati, while the Padres are itching to rebound from a narrow 9-10 scrape with Colorado. The odds are almost too close to call, with the over/under teasing at 7.5. As the partly cloudy skies loom and the winds whip from the SW, tonight’s game promises intense action. So, whether you’re a fan of the Fightin’ Phils or the Swinging Friars, this matchup is sure to be a grand slam of excitement!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 26, 2024 09:40PM EST
Location: Petco Park, San Diego
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 87% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| PHI ML | SD ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -112 | -108 | 7.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -113 | -107 | 7.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | -1 | +1 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
53.1% Win Probability
46.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/14/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 8 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | ||||
| 07/15/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 4 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 6 | ||||
| 07/15/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 4 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 9 | ||||
| 07/16/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 6 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 7 | ||||
| 09/04/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 9 | Over | +8.5 | |
| San Diego Padres SD | 7 | ||||
| 09/05/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 0 | Over | +0.5 | |
| San Diego Padres SD | 8 | ||||
| 09/06/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 5 | Under | -1.5 | |
| San Diego Padres SD | 1 |
Phillies Vs Over/Under
Padres Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21-24 | vsCWS | 2-8W | 8.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 04-15-24 | vsCOL | 1-2W | 7.3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 04-10-24 | @STL | 4-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 04-05-24 | @WAS | 4-0W | 5.7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 03-30-24 | vsATL | 12-4L | 4.3 | 12 | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 09-26-23 | vsPIT | 2-3W | 6.7 | 4 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 09-20-23 | @ATL | 6-5W | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Over |
| 09-15-23 | @STL | 5-4W | 4.7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 09-09-23 | vsMIA | 4-8W | 4.3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 09-02-23 | @MIL | 5-7L | 4.7 | 8 | 7 | 5 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21-24 | vsTOR | 3-6W | 7.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | Over |
| 04-15-24 | @MIL | 7-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | Over |
| 04-09-24 | vsCHC | 5-1L | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 04-03-24 | vsSTL | 2-3W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 03-29-24 | vsSF | 8-3L | 5.7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | Over |
| 07-28-23 | vsTEX | 1-7W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | Over |
| 07-23-23 | @DET | 1-3L | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 07-18-23 | @TOR | 9-1W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 07-04-23 | vsLAA | 5-8W | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | Over |
| 06-29-23 | @PIT | 4-5L | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | Over |
Phillies Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/27 | vs CIN | 5-0W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs CIN | 4-7L | 11 | 0 | Over |
| 04/25 | vs CIN | 1-8L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 04/24 | vs CIN | 7-0W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ CWS | 8-2W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ CWS | 9-5W | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 04/21 | @ CWS | 7-0W | 7 | 3 | Under |
| 04/19 | @ COL | 7-6W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 04/18 | @ COL | 5-0W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 04/17 | @ COL | 2-1W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ PIT | 2-8L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ PIT | 4-3W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ PIT | 2-5L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/13 | @ PIT | 5-1W | 7 | 3 | Under |
| 04/12 | vs STL | 4-3W | 8 | 0 | Under |
Padres Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/27 | vs COL | 9-10L | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 04/26 | vs COL | 5-2W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs COL | 4-7L | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 04/24 | vs COL | 3-1W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ TOR | 6-3W | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ TOR | 2-5L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/21 | @ TOR | 1-5L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/19 | vs MIL | 0-1L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs MIL | 6-3W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs MIL | 7-3W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 04/16 | vs LAD | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/15 | vs LAD | 2-5L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs LAD | 8-7W | 10 | 4 | Over |
| 04/12 | @ CHC | 10-2W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 04/11 | @ CHC | 1-5L | 4 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Philadelphia Phillies | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 10.2 | 0.194 | 0.378 | 36.7% | 74.5% | 6.1% | |
|
#2
Trea Turner
|
9.6 | 12.2 | 0.336 | 0.477 | 42.1% | 89.7% | 1.9% |
|
#3
Bryce Harper
|
7.6 | 10.2 | 0.256 | 0.488 | 40.2% | 89.0% | 6.1% |
|
#4
Alec Bohm
|
6.7 | 8.9 | 0.333 | 0.556 | 48.9% | 104.4% | 3.3% |
| 8.1 | 10.5 | 0.235 | 0.365 | 30.6% | 67.1% | 3.5% | |
| 6.2 | 8.0 | 0.27 | 0.514 | 33.8% | 85.1% | 6.8% | |
| 6.8 | 8.6 | 0.177 | 0.198 | 25.0% | 44.8% | 0.0% | |
|
#8
Bryson Stott
|
5.1 | 6.6 | 0.233 | 0.315 | 34.2% | 65.8% | 1.4% |
|
#9
Johan Rojas
|
5.7 | 7.0 | 0.25 | 0.309 | 33.8% | 64.7% | 0.0% |
| San Diego Padres | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6 | 9.9 | 0.208 | 0.297 | 30.7% | 60.4% | 2.0% | |
| 8.4 | 11.1 | 0.25 | 0.48 | 38.0% | 86.0% | 6.0% | |
| 6.9 | 9.2 | 0.233 | 0.378 | 37.8% | 75.6% | 3.3% | |
| 7.8 | 10.0 | 0.258 | 0.393 | 32.6% | 71.9% | 3.4% | |
| 6.1 | 8.2 | 0.293 | 0.476 | 47.6% | 95.1% | 3.7% | |
|
#6
Ha-Seong Kim
|
6.4 | 8.5 | 0.255 | 0.468 | 40.4% | 87.2% | 4.3% |
| 6.2 | 7.9 | 0.325 | 0.412 | 43.8% | 85.0% | 1.2% | |
| 5.9 | 7.7 | 0.284 | 0.392 | 33.8% | 73.0% | 1.4% | |
| 5.1 | 7.1 | 0.1 | 0.25 | 10.0% | 35.0% | 5.0% |
Phillies Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Padres Notable Injuries
- Manny Machado OUT (3B/SS): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.393 Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 2.7
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