Phillies vs Padres Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a solid 17W-10L record, gear up to clash with the San Diego Padres at the iconic Petco Park tonight at 08:40 PM EST. It’s a showdown that sees the Phillies trying to tighten their grip on the National League rankings, trailing just 2.5 games behind, while the Padres, sitting 3.5 games back, aim to bounce back from their recent tumble against these very same Phillies. With the betting scene buzzing, the over/under teasing at 7.5, and a slight chill in the air as overcast skies loom with a gentle northern breeze, tonight’s game promises to be as gripping as the humidity. After the Phillies’ recent 9-3 triumph, the Padres are thirsty for redemption. So, as the Phillies gallop and the Padres saddle up, expect a showdown that’s nothing short of legendary!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 27, 2024 08:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-103	-117	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-102	-118	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

123W-127L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

135W-118L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.5
04/26/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+4.5
07/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+3.5
07/14/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
07/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+2.5
07/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.5
07/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+5.5
07/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+5.5
07/16/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+5.5
07/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+5.5
09/04/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+8.5
09/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+8.5
09/05/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Over	+0.5
09/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+0.5
09/06/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
09/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 1.364 | IP 33.0 | 4.0W-0.0L | KO 32.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	@CIN	7-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
04-16-24	vsCOL	0-5W	9.0	7	0	8	Under
04-11-24	vsPIT	1-5W	6.0	2	0	8	Under
04-06-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
03-31-24	vsATL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	7	Over
09-27-23	vsPIT	6-7W	4.7	9	6	4	Over
09-21-23	vsNYM	4-5W	6.7	5	4	6	Over
09-16-23	@STL	6-1W	6.0	4	1	5	Under
09-10-23	vsMIA	5-4L	6.3	2	3	10	Over
09-03-23	@MIL	4-2W	4.0	5	2	5	Under

Dylan Cease

ERA 1.82 | IP 29.7 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	@COL	3-1W	7.0	1	1	8	Under
04-16-24	@MIL	6-3W	6.0	2	1	7	Over
04-10-24	vsCHC	2-10W	6.0	2	2	7	Over
04-05-24	@SF	2-3L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsSF	9-6L	4.7	2	3	6	Over
09-29-23	@SD	3-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
09-23-23	@BOS	1-0L	7.0	6	0	11	Under
09-17-23	@MIN	4-0L	6.0	4	3	5	Under
09-12-23	@KC	2-6W	5.3	4	1	8	Over
09-05-23	@KC	6-7W	5.3	8	5	7	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	vs SD	9-3W	13	5	Over
04/27	vs CIN	5-0W	11	1	Under
04/26	vs CIN	4-7L	11	0	Over
04/25	vs CIN	1-8L	5	0	Over
04/24	vs CIN	7-0W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ CWS	8-2W	11	1	Over
04/22	@ CWS	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/21	@ CWS	7-0W	7	3	Under
04/19	@ COL	7-6W	12	3	Over
04/18	@ COL	5-0W	7	2	Under
04/17	@ COL	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/16	@ PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	@ PHI	3-9L	7	1	Over
04/27	vs COL	9-10L	11	2	Over
04/26	vs COL	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/25	vs COL	4-7L	12	0	Over
04/24	vs COL	3-1W	9	0	Under
04/23	@ TOR	6-3W	6	1	Over
04/22	@ TOR	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/21	@ TOR	1-5L	5	1	Under
04/19	vs MIL	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Over
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over
04/12	@ CHC	10-2W	12	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.3	12.6	0.198	0.406	38.6%	79.2%	6.9%
#2 Trea Turner	8.7	11.0	0.333	0.468	42.3%	89.2%	1.8%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.5	11.4	0.253	0.506	39.1%	89.7%	6.9%
#4 Alec Bohm	6.0	8.0	0.347	0.568	49.5%	106.3%	3.2%
#5 J.T. Realmuto	6.9	9.0	0.247	0.416	32.6%	74.2%	4.5%
#6 Brandon Marsh	7.3	9.5	0.291	0.57	35.4%	92.4%	7.6%
#7 Nick Castellanos	6.5	8.3	0.178	0.228	24.8%	47.5%	1.0%
#8 Bryson Stott	6.1	7.9	0.221	0.299	32.5%	62.3%	1.3%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.1	6.3	0.25	0.306	33.3%	63.9%	0.0%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	8.4	10.9	0.2	0.286	29.5%	58.1%	1.9%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	8.9	11.7	0.243	0.466	36.9%	83.5%	5.8%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	6.2	8.3	0.234	0.383	37.2%	75.5%	3.2%
#4 Manny Machado	8.2	10.5	0.258	0.387	32.3%	71.0%	3.2%
#5 Jurickson Profar	6.5	8.8	0.291	0.465	46.5%	93.0%	3.5%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	6.8	9.0	0.25	0.458	40.6%	86.5%	4.2%
#7 Luis Campusano	5.9	7.7	0.295	0.397	34.6%	74.4%	1.3%
#8 Eguy Rosario	5.6	7.2	0.297	0.595	37.8%	97.3%	5.4%
#9 Jose Azocar	4.7	6.0	0.281	0.312	34.4%	65.6%	0.0%