Phillies vs Cardinals Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 8th 2024

Alright, strap in, sports fans, because we’ve got a sizzling showdown at Busch Stadium tonight as our 4W-5L Philadelphia Phillies saddle up to face the 5W-5L St. Louis Cardinals. The sun’s gonna be shining, and the winds from the NNW are whipping up at a breezy 11.9 mph, so you best believe that ball is gonna be flying. With the Phillies 2.5 games back and the Cardinals trailing by 3.0 in the National League conference, both teams are gonna be swinging for the fences. The over/under is perched at a pretty 5.0, with the Phillies line at 100 and the Cardinals at -120, so you know the stakes are sky-high. Both teams are licking their wounds after recent losses, with the Cardinals getting plucked by Miami 3-10 and the Phillies falling short against Washington 2-3. So, will the Cardinals fly high or will the Phillies ring true? Either way, it’s sure to be a game that’s not for the birds!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 08, 2024 07:45PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 84.2° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-108	-112	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-208	+8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

118W-124L

51.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

133W-111L

48.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/25/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+4.0
08/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+4.0
08/26/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Over	+8.0
08/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+8.0
08/27/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	0	Under	-2.0
08/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-2.0
09/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.0
09/15/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+4.0
09/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.0
09/16/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Over	+2.0
09/17/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+6.0
09/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+6.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Spencer Turnbull

ERA 7.258 | IP 31.0 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	vsCIN	4-9W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
05-06-23	@STL	6-5L	4.7	7	5	6	Over
04-30-23	@BAL	5-3L	4.0	5	3	3	Under
04-25-23	@MIL	4-3L	4.0	3	2	2	Under
04-19-23	@CLE	3-2L	5.3	3	3	3	Under
04-13-23	@TOR	3-1L	5.0	6	1	6	Under
04-06-23	@BOS	6-3L	5.7	5	5	1	Push
04-01-23	@TB	2-12W	2.3	8	7	3	Over
06-04-21	@CWS	2-12W	4.0	2	1	4	Over
05-29-21	@NYY	2-12W	5.7	3	1	6	Over

Miles Mikolas

ERA 4.783 | IP 201.3 | 9.0W-13.0L | KO 137.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	@SD	5-2W	6.0	7	2	4	Under
03-28-24	@LAD	1-7L	4.3	7	5	5	Under
10-01-23	vsCIN	3-4W	7.0	7	3	10	Under
09-26-23	@MIL	4-1W	7.0	5	1	5	Under
09-21-23	vsMIL	6-0L	5.0	9	6	4	Under
09-16-23	vsPHI	6-1L	6.0	8	5	2	Under
09-10-23	@CIN	1-7L	5.3	7	5	2	Under
09-05-23	@ATL	10-6W	6.7	8	3	2	Over
08-30-23	vsSD	4-5W	6.0	7	3	2	Push
08-25-23	@PHI	2-7L	6.0	8	5	3	Push

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	vs WAS	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/08	vs WAS	5-2W	9	1	Under
04/07	vs WAS	4-0W	9	0	Under
04/05	@ CIN	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/04	@ CIN	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/03	@ CIN	3-6L	7	0	Push
04/02	@ ATL	5-4W	9	1	Push
04/01	@ ATL	4-12L	8	1	Over
03/31	@ ATL	3-9L	5	1	Over
10/03	vs NYM	9-1W	12	2	Over
10/02	vs NYM	4-11L	8	1	Over
10/02	vs NYM	3-4L	7	0	Under
09/30	@ PIT	2-3L	5	1	Under
09/29	@ PIT	7-6W	8	3	Over
09/28	@ PIT	3-2W	5	1	Under

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	@ MIA	3-10L	5	2	Over
04/08	@ MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/06	@ MIA	8-5W	10	1	Over
04/05	vs SD	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/04	vs SD	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/03	vs SD	6-2W	14	2	Under
04/02	vs LAD	4-5L	8	0	Push
04/01	vs LAD	6-5W	6	0	Over
03/31	vs LAD	3-6L	6	0	Push
03/30	vs LAD	1-7L	3	1	Under
10/03	@ CIN	4-3W	9	0	Under
10/02	@ CIN	15-6W	13	1	Over
10/01	@ CIN	2-19L	6	1	Over
09/30	vs MIL	0-3L	6	0	Under
09/29	vs MIL	2-3L	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.2	14.0	0.198	0.477	42.5%	90.2%	8.1%
#2 Trea Turner	9.6	12.4	0.268	0.461	34.8%	80.9%	4.1%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.8	13.0	0.293	0.499	47.9%	97.8%	4.6%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	8.3	10.9	0.252	0.454	34.4%	79.8%	4.1%
#5 Alec Bohm	7.4	9.7	0.276	0.44	35.9%	79.8%	3.6%
#6 Bryson Stott	7.6	9.7	0.278	0.418	35.6%	77.3%	2.6%
#7 Nick Castellanos	7.7	10.1	0.273	0.478	33.4%	81.2%	4.7%
#8 Brandon Marsh	7.1	9.3	0.279	0.461	43.6%	89.8%	3.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.8	7.4	0.302	0.43	36.2%	79.2%	1.3%

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	8.3	10.7	0.276	0.412	40.2%	81.4%	3.4%
#2 Paul Goldschmidt	8.4	11.1	0.27	0.451	42.1%	87.2%	4.3%
#3 Nolan Gorman	8.1	10.9	0.236	0.482	37.7%	85.9%	6.8%
#4 Nolan Arenado	7.6	10.0	0.271	0.467	34.7%	81.4%	4.7%
#5 Willson Contreras	7.4	9.8	0.261	0.459	40.7%	86.6%	4.5%
#6 Alec Burleson	5.9	7.7	0.247	0.393	33.1%	72.4%	2.6%
#7 Jordan Walker	6.8	8.8	0.278	0.45	38.0%	83.1%	3.9%
#9 Masyn Winn	5.2	6.8	0.172	0.238	25.4%	49.2%	1.6%