Phillies vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to watch sparks fly at Rogers Centre tonight as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 80-56 record, swoop into Toronto to clash with the Blue Jays, who are looking to shake off a recent 3-4 tumble against Minnesota. With the first pitch scheduled to crack at 07:07 PM EST, the stakes are high as the Phillies aim to maintain their razor-thin edge in the National League, while the Blue Jays, trailing by 13.5 games in the American League, are desperate to claw back into contention. The betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 8.5, hinting at a tight matchup under clear skies and a gentle southwestern breeze. As both teams come off emotionally charged games, tonight’s showdown promises a blend of strategy, skill, and suspense. So, as the Phillies try to soar and the Blue Jays hope to swing back, expect a thrilling duel where feathers are sure to fly!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 03, 2024 07:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Clear with winds from the SW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 66.6° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-102	-118	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-101	-119	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

150W-154L

50.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

170W-139L

49.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/07/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Over	+2.5
05/07/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	10	Over	+2.5
05/08/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-0.5
05/08/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-0.5
05/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+3.5
05/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+3.5
05/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-5.5
05/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
08/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-5.5
08/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-5.5
08/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.5
08/16/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+4.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Tyler Phillips

ERA 5.5 | IP 36.0 | 4.0W-1.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-14-24	vsMIA	5-9W	4.3	9	5	4	Over
08-07-24	@LAD	9-4W	5.0	6	4	3	Over
08-02-24	@SEA	2-10L	1.7	5	8	1	Over
07-27-24	vsCLE	0-8W	9.0	4	0	4	Under
07-21-24	@PIT	6-0W	6.0	4	0	3	Under
07-13-24	vsOAK	5-11W	6.0	6	4	5	Over
07-07-24	@ATL	0-6L	4.0	3	1	7	Under

Chris Bassitt

ERA 4.273 | IP 151.7 | 9.0W-13.0L | KO 149.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-28-24	@BOS	0-3L	6.7	5	1	9	Under
08-23-24	vsLAA	4-5W	6.0	4	4	6	Push
08-17-24	@CHC	2-3L	5.0	5	3	5	Under
08-11-24	vsOAK	8-4L	4.0	8	7	5	Over
08-06-24	vsBAL	2-5W	7.0	3	2	9	Under
07-30-24	@BAL	2-6L	4.0	9	5	3	Under
07-25-24	vsTB	13-0L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-19-24	vsDET	5-4L	6.7	7	5	6	Push
07-10-24	@SF	10-6W	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-04-24	vsHOU	5-3L	5.0	8	4	3	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	@ ATL	3-2W	6	0	Under
09/02	@ ATL	3-0W	5	2	Under
09/01	@ ATL	2-7L	7	2	Push
08/31	@ ATL	5-4W	7	2	Push
08/30	@ HOU	0-10L	3	0	Over
08/29	@ HOU	5-0W	11	1	Under
08/28	@ HOU	3-2W	9	1	Under
08/27	vs KC	11-3W	16	1	Over
08/26	vs KC	11-2W	18	2	Over
08/25	vs KC	4-7L	11	0	Over
08/24	vs ATL	2-3L	3	0	Under
08/23	vs ATL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/22	vs ATL	1-3L	5	0	Under
08/20	@ WAS	4-6L	10	3	Over
08/19	@ WAS	5-1W	10	0	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	vs MIN	3-4L	3	1	Under
09/02	vs MIN	15-0W	23	4	Over
09/01	vs MIN	0-2L	7	0	Under
08/31	vs BOS	2-0W	7	0	Under
08/30	vs BOS	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/29	vs BOS	3-6L	11	2	Push
08/28	vs BOS	7-3W	9	1	Over
08/28	vs BOS	4-1W	6	1	Under
08/27	@ LAA	8-2W	7	2	Over
08/26	@ LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/25	@ LAA	5-4W	10	2	Push
08/24	@ LAA	5-3W	8	1	Under
08/23	@ CIN	7-11L	10	3	Over
08/22	@ CIN	10-3W	13	5	Over
08/21	@ CIN	3-6L	6	2	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.9	13.5	0.240	0.453	0.448	0.901	0.353	0.059
#2 Trea Turner	8.7	11.2	0.295	0.450	0.362	0.812	0.334	0.035
#3 Bryce Harper	10.6	14.1	0.280	0.524	0.424	0.948	0.377	0.057
#4 Alec Bohm	6.8	8.9	0.288	0.457	0.376	0.833	0.340	0.026
#5 Nick Castellanos	6.7	8.8	0.250	0.424	0.329	0.753	0.310	0.037
#6 Bryson Stott	8.2	10.6	0.243	0.360	0.368	0.728	0.297	0.024
#7 J.T. Realmuto	6.2	8.0	0.259	0.414	0.340	0.754	0.310	0.034
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.9	9.0	0.244	0.418	0.364	0.782	0.317	0.040
#9 Austin Hays	5.5	7.1	0.259	0.395	0.336	0.732	0.304	0.018

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	7.8	10.3	0.214	0.381	0.338	0.719	0.295	0.041
#2 Daulton Varsho	7.1	9.5	0.215	0.410	0.333	0.742	0.303	0.040
#3 V. Guerrero	9.0	11.8	0.321	0.546	0.448	0.994	0.395	0.050
#4 Spencer Horwitz	6.5	8.6	0.261	0.426	0.410	0.835	0.336	0.036
#5 Addison Barger	6.1	8.1	0.209	0.392	0.259	0.652	0.273	0.038
#6 Alejandro Kirk	6.8	9.0	0.241	0.346	0.361	0.707	0.290	0.019
#7 Will Wagner	5.6	7.2	0.345	0.552	0.379	0.931	0.383	0.034
#8 Nathan Lukes	5.0	6.5	0.455	0.727	0.727	1.455	0.522	0.000
#9 Leo Jimenez	4.9	6.5	0.236	0.378	0.378	0.756	0.311	0.024