Phillies vs Nationals Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 6th 2024

Alright sports junkies, buckle up! We’ve got the Philadelphia Phillies, standing tall with a 3W-4L record, heading into the lion’s den that is Nationals Park, to face off against the Washington Nationals, who are currently lagging behind at 2W-5L. The first pitch is set to fly at 4:05 PM EST, and let me tell you, the stakes are high! The Phillies are hot on the tails of the National League conference leaders, just 1.5 games back, while the Nationals are desperately trying to claw their way up from a 2.5 game deficit. The betting lines are buzzing, with the over/under set at 9.0. The Phillies are favored at -175, but don’t count out the Nationals, who are sitting at +144. Both teams are coming off a heated match, with the Phillies taking the W with a 4-0 shutout. The weather? A tad chilly at 46.9°, partly cloudy skies, and winds gusting from the NW at 18.6 mph, but it’s the 53% humidity that’s gonna make those balls fly. So, will the Phillies ‘nation-alize’ the Nationals, or will Washington ‘phil-in’ the gaps to secure a win? Only time will tell, folks!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 06, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 18.6 mph. Temperature is at 46.9° with 53% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-175	+144	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-182	+150	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-7	+6	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

117W-123L

64.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

93W-150L

35.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-5.0
04/05/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-5.0
06/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+6.0
06/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+6.0
06/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-3.0
06/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.0
06/04/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	11	Over	+5.0
06/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+5.0
06/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-6.0
06/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-6.0
07/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+14.0
07/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	19	Over	+14.0
07/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Push	-0.0
07/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Push	-0.0
08/08/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Push	-0.0
08/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Push	-0.0
08/08/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+3.0
08/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+3.0
08/09/23	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-2.0
08/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-2.0
08/10/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.0
08/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-1.0
08/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+6.0
08/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+6.0
08/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+6.0
08/19/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+6.0
08/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-2.0
08/20/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-2.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 4.412 | IP 188 | 12W-8L | KO 196

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	@WAS	4-0W	5.7	2	0	4	Under
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	4.3	12	7	3	Over
09-26-23	vsPIT	2-3W	6.7	4	1	8	Under
09-20-23	@ATL	6-5W	6.0	6	2	8	Over
09-15-23	@STL	5-4W	4.7	7	3	1	Over
09-09-23	vsMIA	4-8W	4.3	7	4	6	Over
09-02-23	@MIL	5-7L	4.7	8	7	5	Over
08-27-23	vsSTL	0-3W	7.0	1	0	9	Under
08-21-23	vsSF	4-10W	7.0	7	2	5	Over
08-16-23	@TOR	9-4W	5.0	4	4	7	Over

Patrick Corbin

ERA 5.41 | IP 173 | 9W-15L | KO 118

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	vsPHI	4-0L	6.0	9	4	6	Under
03-30-24	@CIN	7-6W	4.3	7	4	2	Over
09-27-23	@BAL	1-5L	4.7	6	4	2	Under
09-22-23	vsATL	9-6L	4.3	5	5	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIL	2-1W	6.0	4	1	2	Under
09-11-23	@PIT	6-2W	6.7	5	2	8	Push
09-05-23	vsNYM	11-5L	4.0	7	8	2	Over
08-30-23	@TOR	0-7L	5.0	10	6	5	Under
08-24-23	@NYY	6-5W	6.0	7	3	7	Over
08-17-23	vsBOS	7-10W	6.0	4	1	6	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	vs WAS	4-0W	9	0	Under
04/05	@ CIN	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/04	@ CIN	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/03	@ CIN	3-6L	7	0	Over
04/02	@ ATL	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/01	@ ATL	4-12L	8	1	Over
03/31	@ ATL	3-9L	5	1	Over
10/03	vs NYM	9-1W	12	2	Over
10/02	vs NYM	4-11L	8	1	Over
10/02	vs NYM	3-4L	7	0	Under
09/30	@ PIT	2-3L	5	1	Under
09/29	@ PIT	7-6W	8	3	Over
09/28	@ PIT	3-2W	5	1	Under
09/26	@ NYM	5-2W	6	1	Under
09/25	@ NYM	7-5W	11	2	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	@ PHI	0-4L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ PIT	4-7L	8	1	Over
04/05	@ PIT	5-3W	10	1	Push
04/03	@ PIT	4-8L	8	1	Over
04/02	vs CIN	5-6L	9	2	Over
04/01	vs CIN	7-6W	11	1	Over
03/30	vs CIN	2-8L	6	1	Over
10/03	vs ATL	10-9W	15	0	Over
10/02	vs ATL	3-5L	10	0	Push
10/01	vs ATL	10-6W	10	5	Over
09/29	vs BAL	1-5L	6	0	Under
09/28	vs BAL	0-1L	3	0	Under
09/26	@ ATL	5-8L	12	2	Over
09/26	@ ATL	3-2W	10	0	Under
09/24	@ ATL	6-9L	10	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.9	13.7	0.198	0.477	42.5%	90.2%	8.1%
#2 Trea Turner	10.7	13.8	0.268	0.461	34.8%	80.9%	4.1%
#3 Bryce Harper	10.7	14.2	0.293	0.499	47.9%	97.8%	4.6%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	9.1	11.9	0.252	0.454	34.4%	79.8%	4.1%
#5 Alec Bohm	8.6	11.4	0.276	0.44	35.9%	79.8%	3.6%
#6 Nick Castellanos	8.4	11.0	0.273	0.478	33.4%	81.2%	4.7%
#7 Bryson Stott	7.3	9.3	0.278	0.418	35.6%	77.3%	2.6%
#8 Whit Merrifield	7.3	9.3	0.271	0.382	34.3%	72.5%	2.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.3	8.1	0.302	0.43	36.2%	79.2%	1.3%

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.4	10.8	0.242	0.41	32.3%	73.3%	3.2%
#2 Lane Thomas	7.4	9.7	0.268	0.47	34.3%	81.4%	4.5%
#3 Jesse Winker	6.3	8.5	0.196	0.245	37.4%	62.0%	0.6%
#4 Joey Meneses	6.6	8.6	0.275	0.396	34.4%	74.0%	2.0%
#5 Joey Gallo	6.8	9.2	0.176	0.441	35.5%	79.6%	7.5%
#6 Keibert Ruiz	6.2	8.0	0.26	0.408	33.1%	74.0%	3.5%
#7 Eddie Rosario	6.5	8.5	0.255	0.451	32.9%	78.1%	4.4%
#8 Luis Garcia Jr.	5.7	7.2	0.264	0.384	32.5%	70.9%	2.0%