Phillies vs Nationals Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024

Hey there, sports fans! Buckle up, because we’re about to witness a clash of the titans as the Philadelphia Phillies, standing strong with a 4W-4L record, head over to the Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals, who are currently a bit down in the dumps with a 2W-6L record. It’s a sunny afternoon, with the first pitch expected to hit the catcher’s mitt at 01:35 PM EST. The Phillies are just a stone’s throw away from the top of the National League conference, trailing by 1.5 games, while the Nationals are playing catch up, lagging behind by 3.5 games. The betting lines are buzzing with the over/under set at 8.5, the Phillies at -163, and the Nationals at +137. These two teams are coming in hot from their recent face-off, where the Phillies knocked the Nationals out of the park with a 5-2 win. But hey, don’t let the numbers fool you, because the Nationals are hungry for a comeback. And with the weather being partly cloudy, winds blowing from the NNW at 10.5 mph, and humidity at 40%, it’s the perfect setting for some baseball magic. So, will the Phillies keep their winning streak alive, or will the Nationals rise from the ashes? Let’s hope this game doesn’t turn into a national disaster for the Phillies, or else they might need to call in the cavalry!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 07, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNW at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 56.3° with 40% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-163	+137	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-144	+121	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+19	-16	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

118W-123L

59.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

93W-151L

41.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-4.5
04/05/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-4.5
04/06/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
04/06/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
06/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+6.5
06/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+6.5
06/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-2.5
06/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
06/04/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	11	Over	+5.5
06/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+5.5
06/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-5.5
06/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-5.5
07/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+14.5
07/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	19	Over	+14.5
07/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+0.5
07/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+0.5
08/08/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+0.5
08/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+0.5
08/08/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+3.5
08/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+3.5
08/09/23	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-1.5
08/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-1.5
08/10/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-0.5
08/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-0.5
08/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+6.5
08/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+6.5
08/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+6.5
08/19/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+6.5
08/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-1.5
08/20/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Cristopher Sanchez

ERA 3.443 | IP 99 | 3W-5L | KO 96

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	vsCIN	6-3L	5.0	5	2	8	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	4-11L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-24-23	vsNYM	2-5W	7.0	3	2	10	Under
09-19-23	@ATL	3-9L	4.0	7	3	2	Over
09-13-23	vsATL	4-1L	7.3	8	4	10	Under
09-08-23	vsMIA	3-2L	5.0	4	0	4	Under
08-30-23	vsLAA	10-8L	4.7	7	5	5	Over
08-25-23	vsSTL	2-7W	6.0	5	2	6	Over
08-19-23	@WAS	12-3W	6.0	7	3	5	Over
08-11-23	vsMIN	2-13W	6.0	6	2	5	Over

MacKenzie Gore

ERA 4.423 | IP 136 | 7W-10L | KO 151

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	vsPIT	8-4L	5.3	5	3	6	Over
09-08-23	vsLAD	8-5L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
08-29-23	@TOR	5-4W	5.0	6	1	2	Over
08-23-23	@NYY	1-9L	4.0	4	6	4	Over
08-16-23	vsBOS	2-6W	6.3	1	0	7	Over
08-09-23	@PHI	0-7L	5.0	7	6	5	Under
08-02-23	vsMIL	2-3W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
07-28-23	@NYM	1-5L	5.0	5	3	2	Under
07-23-23	vsSF	1-6W	5.0	4	0	8	Under
07-17-23	@CHC	7-5W	6.3	6	5	6	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	vs WAS	5-2W	9	1	Under
04/07	vs WAS	4-0W	9	0	Under
04/05	@ CIN	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/04	@ CIN	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/03	@ CIN	3-6L	7	0	Over
04/02	@ ATL	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/01	@ ATL	4-12L	8	1	Over
03/31	@ ATL	3-9L	5	1	Over
10/03	vs NYM	9-1W	12	2	Over
10/02	vs NYM	4-11L	8	1	Over
10/02	vs NYM	3-4L	7	0	Under
09/30	@ PIT	2-3L	5	1	Under
09/29	@ PIT	7-6W	8	3	Over
09/28	@ PIT	3-2W	5	1	Under
09/26	@ NYM	5-2W	6	1	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	@ PHI	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/07	@ PHI	0-4L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ PIT	4-7L	8	1	Over
04/05	@ PIT	5-3W	10	1	Over
04/03	@ PIT	4-8L	8	1	Over
04/02	vs CIN	5-6L	9	2	Over
04/01	vs CIN	7-6W	11	1	Over
03/30	vs CIN	2-8L	6	1	Over
10/03	vs ATL	10-9W	15	0	Over
10/02	vs ATL	3-5L	10	0	Over
10/01	vs ATL	10-6W	10	5	Over
09/29	vs BAL	1-5L	6	0	Under
09/28	vs BAL	0-1L	3	0	Under
09/26	@ ATL	3-2W	10	0	Under
09/26	@ ATL	5-8L	12	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.7	13.4	0.198	0.477	42.5%	90.2%	8.1%
#2 Trea Turner	10.2	13.2	0.268	0.461	34.8%	80.9%	4.1%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.7	12.9	0.293	0.499	47.9%	97.8%	4.6%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	8.3	10.9	0.252	0.454	34.4%	79.8%	4.1%
#5 Alec Bohm	7.5	9.9	0.276	0.44	35.9%	79.8%	3.6%
#6 Nick Castellanos	8.7	11.4	0.273	0.478	33.4%	81.2%	4.7%
#7 Whit Merrifield	6.5	8.3	0.271	0.382	34.3%	72.5%	2.0%
#8 Edmundo Sosa	6.6	8.5	0.25	0.417	31.2%	72.8%	3.3%
#9 Cristian Pache	4.8	6.4	0.235	0.42	35.8%	77.8%	2.5%

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	6.5	8.4	0.242	0.41	32.3%	73.3%	3.2%
#2 Lane Thomas	8.1	10.6	0.268	0.47	34.3%	81.4%	4.5%
#3 Joey Meneses	7.4	9.6	0.275	0.396	34.4%	74.0%	2.0%
#4 Keibert Ruiz	6.3	8.2	0.26	0.408	33.1%	74.0%	3.5%
#5 Riley Adams	6.8	8.8	0.273	0.476	36.4%	83.9%	2.8%
#6 Jesse Winker	5.4	7.3	0.196	0.245	37.4%	62.0%	0.6%
#7 Ildemaro Vargas	6.0	7.8	0.252	0.363	32.8%	69.1%	1.5%