Phillies vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some Major League action as the Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a stellar 94-66 record, roll into Nationals Park to face off against the underdog Washington Nationals, who are sitting at 70-90 this season. It’s a crisp, partly cloudy day perfect for baseball, with the first pitch at 04:05 PM EST sharp. While the Phillies are gunning to maintain their top spot in the National League, the Nationals are looking to shake things up after their recent dominant 9-1 victory over Philly. With the betting lines tipping heavily in favor of the Phillies (-218) and an over/under that’s begging for action at 7.5, today’s matchup promises to be more than just a run-of-the-mill game. So, as the winds from the SSW add a little extra swing to the ball, let’s see if the Nationals can continue to ‘capitol-ize’ on their momentum or if the Phillies will ‘phil’ their fans with joy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSW at 6.7 mph. Temperature is at 79.0° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-218	+178	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-210	+170	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+8	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

156W-163L

67.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

129W-189L

32.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-3.5
04/05/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-3.5
04/06/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-0.5
04/06/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-0.5
04/07/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
04/07/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-2.5
05/17/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
05/17/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
05/18/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-0.5
05/18/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-0.5
05/19/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+8.5
05/19/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	11	Over	+8.5
08/15/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+8.5
08/15/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	13	Over	+8.5
08/16/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
08/16/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-2.5
08/17/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
08/17/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
08/18/24	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+2.5
08/18/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+2.5
09/27/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+2.5
09/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	9	Over	+2.5
06/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+7.5
06/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+7.5
06/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
06/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
06/04/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	11	Over	+6.5
06/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+6.5
06/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-4.5
06/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-4.5
07/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+15.5
07/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	19	Over	+15.5
07/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+1.5
07/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5
08/08/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+1.5
08/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5
08/08/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+4.5
08/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.5
08/09/23	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-0.5
08/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-0.5
08/10/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+0.5
08/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+0.5
08/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+7.5
08/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+7.5
08/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+7.5
08/19/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+7.5
08/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-0.5
08/20/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-0.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Zack Wheeler

ERA 2.556 | IP 200.7 | 16.0W-8.0L | KO 221.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	@NYM	1-2L	7.0	7	2	8	Under
09-22-24	@NYM	1-2L	7.0	7	2	8	Under
09-17-24	@MIL	5-1W	7.0	4	1	6	Under
09-11-24	vsTB	2-3W	6.0	4	2	9	Under
09-06-24	@MIA	16-2W	6.0	2	1	7	Over
08-31-24	vsATL	0-3W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
08-26-24	vsHOU	2-3W	6.0	6	2	6	Under
08-20-24	@ATL	1-3L	6.0	6	2	8	Under
08-15-24	vsWAS	3-13W	6.0	3	2	6	Over
08-09-24	@ARI	2-3L	6.0	7	2	8	Under

MacKenzie Gore

ERA 4.21 | IP 160.3 | 10.0W-12.0L | KO 172.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-21-24	@CHC	5-1W	7.0	1	1	9	Under
09-15-24	vsMIA	3-4W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-10-24	vsATL	12-0L	3.7	6	7	3	Over
09-04-24	@MIA	3-4L	6.0	1	1	9	Under
08-28-24	vsNYY	2-5W	6.0	6	2	6	Under
08-23-24	@ATL	2-3L	6.0	7	1	4	Under
08-17-24	@PHI	1-5L	5.7	9	5	6	Under
08-11-24	vsLAA	6-4L	4.0	5	5	2	Over
08-06-24	vsSF	5-11W	5.0	8	5	6	Over
07-31-24	@ARI	4-5L	5.3	8	3	1	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs WAS	1-9L	4	1	Over
09/27	@ CHC	9-6W	13	3	Over
09/26	@ CHC	4-10L	7	2	Over
09/25	@ CHC	6-2W	11	2	Over
09/24	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/24	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/23	vs NYM	3-6L	4	2	Over
09/22	vs NYM	12-2W	17	2	Over
09/21	vs NYM	6-10L	8	1	Over
09/20	vs MIL	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/19	vs MIL	5-1W	10	2	Under
09/18	vs MIL	2-6L	11	1	Over
09/17	@ NYM	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/16	@ NYM	6-4W	8	2	Over
09/15	@ NYM	3-11L	4	1	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ PHI	9-1W	16	1	Over
09/28	@ KC	4-7L	7	1	Over
09/27	@ KC	0-3L	2	0	Under
09/26	@ KC	0-1L	5	0	Under
09/24	vs CHC	0-5L	8	0	Under
09/24	vs CHC	0-5L	8	0	Under
09/23	vs CHC	5-1W	12	1	Under
09/22	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
09/21	vs CHC	6-7L	13	1	Over
09/20	vs NYM	0-10L	3	0	Over
09/19	vs NYM	1-10L	4	0	Over
09/18	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/17	@ MIA	4-3W	8	2	Under
09/16	@ MIA	4-1W	8	3	Under
09/15	@ MIA	4-1W	4	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.2	13.8	0.249	0.489	0.442	0.931	0.365	0.067
#2 Trea Turner	10.4	13.3	0.293	0.457	0.357	0.814	0.334	0.038
#3 Bryce Harper	10.6	14.0	0.283	0.524	0.423	0.947	0.377	0.055
#4 Alec Bohm	8.1	10.7	0.280	0.447	0.364	0.811	0.332	0.027
#5 Nick Castellanos	8.9	11.6	0.257	0.431	0.340	0.771	0.317	0.038
#6 J.T. Realmuto	8.5	11.0	0.262	0.425	0.344	0.769	0.316	0.037
#7 Austin Hays	7.5	9.6	0.260	0.403	0.333	0.736	0.306	0.022
#8 Edmundo Sosa	6.2	8.0	0.258	0.426	0.340	0.766	0.315	0.029
#9 Johan Rojas	6.0	7.6	0.243	0.323	0.294	0.617	0.259	0.009

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Dylan Crews	6.6	8.4	0.188	0.308	0.274	0.581	0.243	0.026
#2 James Wood	7.6	9.9	0.269	0.423	0.413	0.836	0.335	0.028
#3 Juan Yepez	6.3	8.1	0.281	0.433	0.364	0.797	0.326	0.028
#4 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.7	8.5	0.280	0.439	0.335	0.774	0.319	0.035
#5 Jose Tena	5.8	7.2	0.287	0.376	0.331	0.707	0.293	0.019
#6 Keibert Ruiz	6.0	7.8	0.226	0.358	0.273	0.631	0.265	0.029
#7 Joey Gallo	5.8	7.8	0.161	0.326	0.321	0.647	0.267	0.041
#8 Jacob Young	4.8	6.1	0.259	0.335	0.346	0.680	0.283	0.006
#9 Nasim Nunez	4.3	5.5	0.241	0.259	0.448	0.707	0.285	0.000