Pirates vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Truist Park as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into Atlanta to clash with the Braves tonight at 07:20 PM EST! With the Pirates trying to cannonball their way up from 8.5 games back and the Braves swinging to chop that 7.5-game deficit down even further in the National League, the stakes are high and the bats are ready. The Pirates are riding the wave of a recent victory, while the Braves are looking to rebound from a narrow defeat. With the odds set and the over/under tantalizing at 8.5, this game is shaping up to be a thriller. Expect a partly cloudy evening with a gentle eastern breeze—perfect baseball weather. So, as the Pirates aim to plunder and the Braves wield their tomahawks, tonight’s game is bound to be an epic battle of swings and steals!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 28, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 89.1° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+146	-178	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+164	-199	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+18	-21	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

105W-174L

37.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

170W-105L

62.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+7.5
05/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	11	Over	+7.5
05/25/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-3.5
05/25/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-3.5
05/26/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+0.5
05/26/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+0.5
08/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+4.5
08/07/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.5
08/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.5
08/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+5.5
08/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
08/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+2.5
08/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
08/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+3.5
09/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
09/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+1.5
09/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.5
09/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+3.5
09/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.5
09/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-1.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Martin Perez

ERA 4.709 | IP 57.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 46.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-26-24	vsATL	8-1L	3.0	4	1	2	Push
05-21-24	vsSF	6-7W	4.3	5	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@MIL	2-10L	5.0	11	9	4	Over
05-08-24	vsLAA	5-4L	5.0	8	4	5	Push
05-03-24	vsCOL	3-2L	5.3	8	3	4	Under
04-27-24	@SF	4-3W	6.0	4	1	4	Under
04-21-24	vsBOS	6-1L	4.0	6	4	7	Under
04-15-24	@NYM	3-6L	5.7	6	3	1	Push
04-09-24	vsDET	5-3L	8.0	6	1	7	Under
04-04-24	@WAS	7-4W	6.7	6	2	6	Over

Charlie Morton

ERA 4.215 | IP 79.0 | 4.0W-4.0L | KO 80.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-22-24	@NYY	3-8L	5.7	5	5	4	Over
06-15-24	vsTB	2-9W	6.0	3	1	8	Over
06-08-24	@WAS	3-7L	5.0	7	5	3	Over
06-02-24	vsOAK	1-3W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
05-27-24	vsWAS	8-4L	5.7	12	8	7	Over
05-21-24	@CHC	3-4L	5.0	4	2	8	Under
05-15-24	vsCHC	7-1L	3.0	5	4	4	Under
05-10-24	@NYM	4-2W	7.0	3	1	7	Under
05-03-24	@LAD	3-4L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
04-27-24	vsCLE	4-2L	6.7	1	0	6	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	vs CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/27	vs CIN	9-5W	10	2	Over
06/26	vs CIN	5-11L	10	1	Over
06/25	@ TB	1-3L	3	1	Under
06/24	@ TB	4-3W	5	1	Under
06/23	@ TB	3-10L	5	1	Over
06/21	@ CIN	1-0W	3	1	Under
06/20	@ CIN	1-2L	4	1	Under
06/19	@ CIN	4-1W	8	0	Under
06/18	vs COL	8-2W	15	0	Over
06/17	vs COL	4-16L	11	2	Over
06/16	vs COL	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/15	vs STL	3-4L	7	0	Under
06/14	vs STL	2-4L	6	1	Under
06/13	vs STL	2-1W	3	0	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/29	vs CWS	0-1L	3	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	1-4L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	6-2W	9	1	Under
06/26	vs STL	3-4L	6	1	Under
06/25	vs NYY	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/24	vs NYY	3-8L	4	2	Over
06/23	vs NYY	8-1W	14	3	Push
06/21	@ DET	7-0W	12	3	Under
06/20	@ DET	2-1W	5	0	Under
06/19	@ DET	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/18	@ TB	6-8L	9	3	Over
06/17	@ TB	9-2W	11	4	Over
06/16	@ TB	7-3W	12	2	Over
06/15	vs BAL	6-3W	12	0	Push
06/14	vs BAL	2-4L	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.8	10.3	0.238	0.405	0.389	0.794	0.320	0.044
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.4	10.9	0.282	0.477	0.387	0.864	0.350	0.040
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.3	10.9	0.239	0.426	0.312	0.739	0.305	0.040
#4 Rowdy Tellez	7.8	10.1	0.239	0.335	0.324	0.660	0.274	0.016
#5 Nick Gonzales	6.4	8.3	0.281	0.438	0.333	0.771	0.319	0.033
#6 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.7	8.7	0.222	0.297	0.321	0.618	0.258	0.014
#7 Connor Joe	6.3	8.3	0.245	0.402	0.365	0.768	0.313	0.029
#8 Jack Suwinski	7.4	9.8	0.174	0.300	0.289	0.589	0.246	0.032
#9 Yasmani Grandal	5.5	7.3	0.183	0.279	0.231	0.510	0.216	0.019

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	8.3	10.6	0.284	0.460	0.351	0.810	0.333	0.038
#2 Ozzie Albies	10.4	13.6	0.251	0.397	0.338	0.735	0.303	0.021
#3 Marcell Ozuna	9.7	12.9	0.303	0.571	0.432	1.003	0.398	0.071
#4 Matt Olson	9.4	12.5	0.243	0.438	0.363	0.801	0.326	0.041
#5 Austin Riley	10.0	13.2	0.253	0.419	0.360	0.779	0.318	0.032
#6 Sean Murphy	8.9	11.7	0.203	0.351	0.324	0.676	0.280	0.041
#7 Adam Duvall	7.8	10.4	0.163	0.287	0.264	0.551	0.232	0.034
#8 Orlando Arcia	7.4	9.5	0.213	0.343	0.260	0.603	0.253	0.022
#9 Luke Williams	4.9	7.2	0.000	0.000	0.200	0.200	0.120	0.000

Pirates Notable Injuries

Quinn Priester OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 3.2
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
David Bednar OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.3

Braves Notable Injuries

Michael Harris II OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.358 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 2.0
Ray Kerr OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/17/24. Impact: 1.9
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.8
Jimmy Herget OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/07/24. Impact: 1.1
Brian Anderson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.1
Hurston Waldrep OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: -3.2