Pirates vs Braves Game Breakdown

Wake up and smell the peanuts and Cracker Jacks, folks! It’s an early showdown at Truist Park as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into Atlanta to clash with the Braves in a game that’s got more at stake than just bragging rights. With the Pirates trying to claw their way through the standings and the Braves swinging to close the gap in the National League, this matchup is hotter than the Georgia asphalt at high noon. Set your alarms for an 11:35 AM EST first pitch, and don’t forget to check the odds with Pittsburgh at a tempting +148 and Atlanta favored at -180. The over/under teetering at 9 promises some scoreboard action, especially under today’s partly cloudy skies, spiced up by a brisk Northwest breeze. After yesterday’s narrow escape where the Braves edged out a 2-1 victory, today’s game is not just about runs and hits—it’s about pride and payback. So, let’s see if the Pirates can plunder a win or if the Braves will tomahawk their way to another victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 30, 2024 11:35AM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 84.9° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+148	-180	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+172	-212	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+24	-32	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

105W-176L

36.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

172W-105L

63.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+7.0
05/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	11	Over	+7.0
05/25/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-4.0
05/25/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-4.0
05/26/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Push	-0.0
05/26/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Push	-0.0
06/28/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.0
06/28/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.0
06/29/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-6.0
06/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-6.0
08/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+4.0
08/07/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.0
08/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.0
08/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+5.0
08/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
08/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+2.0
08/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.0
08/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+3.0
09/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.0
09/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+1.0
09/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.0
09/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+3.0
09/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.0
09/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.0

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Bailey Falter

ERA 3.996 | IP 83.3 | 3.0W-6.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-24-24	@CIN	5-11L	4.0	5	5	2	Over
06-18-24	vsCIN	2-1L	7.0	7	2	3	Under
06-12-24	@STL	2-4L	4.0	8	3	5	Under
06-06-24	vsLAD	11-7L	4.0	8	5	6	Over
05-31-24	@TOR	3-5L	6.0	2	0	5	Under
05-24-24	vsATL	5-11W	7.3	6	3	4	Over
05-18-24	@CHC	0-1L	7.7	3	0	2	Under
05-12-24	vsCHC	5-4L	6.0	5	2	1	Push
05-05-24	vsCOL	3-5W	5.3	6	3	3	Under
04-29-24	@OAK	1-5L	5.0	6	5	5	Under

S. Schwellenbach

ERA 5.4 | IP 26.7 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-24-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	8	4	6	Under
06-18-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
06-12-24	@BAL	2-4L	6.0	4	2	3	Under
06-05-24	@BOS	0-9L	4.7	7	6	4	Push
05-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	5	3	5	Push

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/01	vs ATL	1-2L	7	0	Under
06/30	vs ATL	1-6L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/27	vs CIN	9-5W	10	2	Over
06/26	vs CIN	5-11L	10	1	Over
06/25	@ TB	1-3L	3	1	Under
06/24	@ TB	4-3W	5	1	Under
06/23	@ TB	3-10L	5	1	Over
06/21	@ CIN	1-0W	3	1	Under
06/20	@ CIN	1-2L	4	1	Under
06/19	@ CIN	4-1W	8	0	Under
06/18	vs COL	8-2W	15	0	Over
06/17	vs COL	4-16L	11	2	Over
06/16	vs COL	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/15	vs STL	3-4L	7	0	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/01	@ PIT	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/30	@ PIT	6-1W	10	1	Under
06/29	vs CWS	0-1L	3	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	1-4L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	6-2W	9	1	Under
06/26	vs STL	3-4L	6	1	Under
06/25	vs NYY	3-1W	6	1	Under
06/24	vs NYY	3-8L	4	2	Over
06/23	vs NYY	8-1W	14	3	Push
06/21	@ DET	7-0W	12	3	Under
06/20	@ DET	2-1W	5	0	Under
06/19	@ DET	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/18	@ TB	6-8L	9	3	Over
06/17	@ TB	9-2W	11	4	Over
06/16	@ TB	7-3W	12	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	8.2	10.8	0.235	0.396	0.385	0.781	0.316	0.042
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.7	11.2	0.281	0.477	0.387	0.864	0.350	0.039
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.0	10.5	0.235	0.419	0.310	0.729	0.301	0.040
#4 Edward Olivares	6.3	8.4	0.235	0.352	0.340	0.691	0.285	0.031
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.4	8.3	0.234	0.328	0.318	0.646	0.269	0.016
#6 Nick Gonzales	6.5	8.5	0.275	0.431	0.338	0.769	0.317	0.031
#7 Joey Bart	5.7	7.6	0.267	0.517	0.417	0.933	0.371	0.067
#8 Jared Triolo	5.5	7.2	0.205	0.283	0.320	0.603	0.251	0.018
#9 Jack Suwinski	6.3	8.4	0.170	0.294	0.284	0.577	0.241	0.031

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	9.0	11.5	0.289	0.472	0.362	0.835	0.341	0.041
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.8	12.9	0.254	0.400	0.342	0.742	0.306	0.020
#3 Marcell Ozuna	9.9	13.3	0.300	0.567	0.433	1.000	0.397	0.070
#4 Matt Olson	9.2	12.2	0.243	0.433	0.360	0.793	0.323	0.040
#5 Austin Riley	9.4	12.4	0.254	0.427	0.362	0.788	0.321	0.035
#6 Adam Duvall	8.1	10.8	0.167	0.290	0.263	0.554	0.234	0.032
#7 Sean Murphy	8.1	10.5	0.203	0.342	0.316	0.658	0.273	0.038
#8 Orlando Arcia	6.6	8.5	0.212	0.339	0.261	0.601	0.252	0.021
#9 Luke Williams	5.2	7.3	0.125	0.125	0.375	0.500	0.221	0.000

Pirates Notable Injuries

Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/30/24. Impact: 3.2
Quinn Priester OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 3.2
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
David Bednar OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.3

Braves Notable Injuries

Michael Harris II OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.358 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 2.0
Ray Kerr OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/17/24. Impact: 1.9
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.8
Jimmy Herget OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/07/24. Impact: 1.1
Brian Anderson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.1
Hurston Waldrep OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: -3.2