Pirates vs Reds Game Breakdown
Pirates
37W-41L
June 25, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Reds
37W-41L
Get ready to set sail on a sea of stats as the Pittsburgh Pirates dock at the Great American Ball Park for a showdown with the Cincinnati Reds tonight at 7:10 PM EST! Both teams are deadlocked with 37 wins and 41 losses, sitting 8.5 games back in the National League chase, making this matchup as crucial as it is thrilling. With the betting lines drawing a thin red line at Reds -125 and an over/under that’s teetering at 8.5, tonight’s game promises to be as unpredictable as the patchy rain forecasted in the area. Fresh off a heated encounter where the Reds plundered a victory from the Pirates, tensions and stakes are sky-high. So, hoist your fantasy flags high, because tonight, it’s all about whether the Pirates can navigate through choppy Reds waters to reclaim their treasure!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 25, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SSW at 9.2 mph. Temperature is at 77.0° with 52% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| PIT ML | CIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +105 | -125 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +109 | -131 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +4 | -6 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
47.8% Win Probability
52.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/17/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 06/18/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 1 | ||||
| 06/19/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | Under | -7.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 1 | ||||
| 06/24/24 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 5 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 11 | ||||
| 03/30/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 5 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | ||||
| 04/01/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 6 | ||||
| 04/02/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 1 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | ||||
| 04/20/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 04/21/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 04/22/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | ||||
| 04/23/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | Under | -6.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | ||||
| 08/11/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 9 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | ||||
| 08/13/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 6 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 5 | ||||
| 08/13/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 4 | ||||
| 09/22/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 7 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
| 09/23/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 13 | Over | +16.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 12 | ||||
| 09/24/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 |
Pirates Vs Over/Under
Reds Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19-24 | vsCIN | 0-1W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 06-13-24 | @STL | 3-4L | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 06-07-24 | vsMIN | 0-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 06-01-24 | @TOR | 8-1W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | Push |
| 05-25-24 | vsATL | 1-4W | 6.7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 05-19-24 | @CHC | 3-2W | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 05-13-24 | @MIL | 8-6W | 6.0 | 8 | 0 | 7 | Over |
| 05-06-24 | vsLAA | 1-4W | 9.0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 04-30-24 | @OAK | 2-5L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 04-25-24 | vsMIL | 7-5L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19-24 | @PIT | 0-1L | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 06-14-24 | @MIL | 6-5W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 06-06-24 | vsCHC | 4-8W | 6.7 | 5 | 4 | 8 | Over |
| 06-01-24 | @CHC | 5-7L | 6.0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | Over |
| 05-25-24 | vsLAD | 1-3W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 05-19-24 | @LAD | 2-3L | 6.3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 05-14-24 | @ARI | 6-2W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 05-09-24 | vsARI | 5-4L | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Push |
| 05-03-24 | vsBAL | 3-0L | 5.7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 04-27-24 | @TEX | 8-4W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 06-21-24 | vsBOS | 2-5W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 06-18-24 | @PIT | 2-1W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 06-14-24 | @MIL | 6-5W | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Over |
| 06-12-24 | vsCLE | 2-4W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 06-07-24 | vsCHC | 2-3W | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Under |
| 06-06-24 | vsCHC | 4-8W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 06-02-24 | @CHC | 5-2W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 05-31-24 | @CHC | 5-4W | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Push |
| 05-26-24 | vsLAD | 1-4W | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 05-25-24 | vsLAD | 1-3W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
Pirates Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/26 | vs CIN | 5-11L | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 06/25 | @ TB | 1-3L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 06/24 | @ TB | 4-3W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/23 | @ TB | 3-10L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 06/21 | @ CIN | 1-0W | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 06/20 | @ CIN | 1-2L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | @ CIN | 4-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 06/18 | vs COL | 8-2W | 15 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | vs COL | 4-16L | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 06/16 | vs COL | 5-2W | 9 | 3 | Under |
| 06/15 | vs STL | 3-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/14 | vs STL | 2-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/13 | vs STL | 2-1W | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 06/11 | @ MIN | 5-11L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/10 | @ MIN | 4-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
Reds Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/26 | @ PIT | 11-5W | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 06/25 | @ BOS | 4-7L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/24 | @ BOS | 3-4L | 11 | 2 | Under |
| 06/23 | @ BOS | 5-2W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 06/21 | vs PIT | 0-1L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 06/20 | vs PIT | 2-1W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | vs PIT | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/18 | vs MIL | 4-5L | 8 | 2 | Push |
| 06/17 | vs MIL | 1-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs MIL | 6-5W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ CLE | 4-2W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/13 | @ CLE | 3-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 06/11 | @ CHC | 2-4L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/10 | @ CHC | 4-3W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/09 | @ CHC | 3-2W | 5 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Pittsburgh Pirates | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4 | 12.4 | 0.242 | 0.402 | 0.389 | 0.791 | 0.320 | 0.041 | |
| 9.4 | 12.2 | 0.281 | 0.473 | 0.390 | 0.863 | 0.349 | 0.038 | |
|
#3
Oneil Cruz
|
8.8 | 11.5 | 0.243 | 0.437 | 0.319 | 0.757 | 0.311 | 0.042 |
|
#4
Rowdy Tellez
|
7.6 | 9.8 | 0.228 | 0.311 | 0.311 | 0.622 | 0.260 | 0.011 |
| 7.4 | 9.7 | 0.269 | 0.434 | 0.324 | 0.759 | 0.314 | 0.034 | |
| 7.8 | 10.0 | 0.226 | 0.303 | 0.327 | 0.630 | 0.262 | 0.014 | |
| 6.7 | 8.9 | 0.240 | 0.367 | 0.347 | 0.713 | 0.293 | 0.033 | |
| 6.8 | 9.1 | 0.172 | 0.301 | 0.290 | 0.591 | 0.247 | 0.032 | |
| 6.0 | 7.9 | 0.188 | 0.287 | 0.238 | 0.525 | 0.222 | 0.020 |
| Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 11.2 | 0.258 | 0.369 | 0.430 | 0.799 | 0.321 | 0.020 | |
| 10.6 | 13.7 | 0.249 | 0.464 | 0.391 | 0.855 | 0.343 | 0.048 | |
| 9.2 | 12.0 | 0.250 | 0.489 | 0.330 | 0.818 | 0.335 | 0.053 | |
| 8.4 | 11.2 | 0.239 | 0.406 | 0.377 | 0.783 | 0.318 | 0.033 | |
|
#5
Jake Fraley
|
8.8 | 11.0 | 0.272 | 0.344 | 0.356 | 0.700 | 0.289 | 0.006 |
| 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.232 | 0.389 | 0.348 | 0.737 | 0.303 | 0.030 | |
|
#7
Nick Martini
|
7.0 | 9.5 | 0.203 | 0.341 | 0.276 | 0.618 | 0.259 | 0.033 |
| 5.8 | 7.5 | 0.204 | 0.303 | 0.283 | 0.586 | 0.245 | 0.026 | |
|
#9
Will Benson
|
7.7 | 10.1 | 0.192 | 0.379 | 0.327 | 0.706 | 0.289 | 0.037 |
|
#9
Alexis Diaz
|
3.7 | 7.3 | nan | nan | nan | nan | 0.000 | nan |
Pirates Notable Injuries
- Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.8
- Quinn Priester OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 3.2
- Joey Bart OUT (C): Avg: 0.267 SLG:0.517 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 2.3
- Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
- David Bednar OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.3
Reds Notable Injuries
- TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
- Emilio Pagan OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.1
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