Pirates vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to set your lineups and place your bets because tonight’s showdown at Progressive Field is not one to miss! The Pittsburgh Pirates, sailing a choppy sea this season, are docking in Cleveland to challenge the Guardians, who are standing firm at the top of their conference. It’s a classic underdog versus leader clash as the Pirates try to plunder a win from the steady Guardians at 07:10 PM EST. With a sunny sky, a gentle breeze, and the stakes as high as the humidity, the betting lines are buzzing—especially with that tempting over/under of 8.5. While the Guardians are riding the wave of a recent victory, the Pirates are looking to recover from a stormy defeat. So, as these two teams prepare to cross bats, let’s see if the Pirates can navigate through Guardian territory or if they’ll simply be guarding their loot!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 30, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 80.1° with 71% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+143	-174	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+131	-157	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-12	+17	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

114W-188L

43.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

167W-135L

56.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/17/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	11	Over	+2.5
07/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Over	+2.5
07/18/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+2.5
07/18/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+2.5
07/19/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Over	+3.5
07/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+3.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Bailey Falter

ERA 4.246 | IP 112.3 | 6.0W-7.0L | KO 79.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	vsCIN	5-6W	5.0	6	5	4	Over
08-17-24	vsSEA	2-7W	5.7	8	2	8	Push
08-11-24	@LAD	5-6L	4.0	7	4	2	Over
08-06-24	vsSD	6-0L	2.0	2	0	1	Under
07-30-24	@HOU	6-2W	5.3	6	2	3	Under
07-06-24	vsNYM	5-2L	2.0	5	3	2	Under
06-30-24	@ATL	4-2W	5.0	2	1	5	Under
06-24-24	@CIN	5-11L	4.0	5	5	2	Over
06-18-24	vsCIN	2-1L	7.0	7	2	3	Under
06-12-24	@STL	2-4L	4.0	8	3	5	Under

Ben Lively

ERA 3.635 | IP 121.3 | 11.0W-7.0L | KO 95.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-24-24	vsTEX	5-13W	6.7	5	3	4	Over
08-18-24	@MIL	0-2L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
08-12-24	vsCHC	8-9W	3.7	5	3	1	Over
08-07-24	vsARI	7-3L	5.0	4	4	2	Over
08-01-24	vsBAL	3-10W	6.0	4	2	4	Over
07-26-24	@PHI	3-1W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
07-21-24	vsSD	2-1L	5.3	6	2	2	Under
07-09-24	@DET	9-8W	5.3	7	6	4	Over
07-04-24	vsCWS	4-8W	6.0	6	3	6	Over
06-27-24	@KC	1-2L	6.0	6	2	5	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/30	@ CHC	10-14L	16	2	Over
08/29	@ CHC	5-9L	10	1	Over
08/28	@ CHC	8-18L	13	2	Over
08/27	@ CIN	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/26	@ CIN	2-10L	3	1	Over
08/25	@ CIN	6-5W	8	0	Over
08/24	@ CIN	7-0W	7	1	Under
08/23	vs TEX	0-1L	8	0	Under
08/22	vs TEX	4-0W	7	0	Under
08/21	vs TEX	3-4L	7	1	Under
08/20	@ SEA	3-10L	5	1	Over
08/19	@ SEA	7-2W	9	3	Push
08/18	@ SEA	5-3W	8	1	Under
08/16	vs SD	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/15	vs SD	0-3L	9	0	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/30	@ KC	7-5W	13	1	Over
08/29	@ KC	1-6L	3	0	Under
08/28	@ KC	3-4L	7	0	Under
08/28	@ KC	4-9L	7	1	Over
08/27	@ TEX	4-2W	5	2	Under
08/26	@ TEX	12-5W	15	4	Over
08/25	@ TEX	3-5L	7	0	Under
08/24	vs NYY	0-6L	1	0	Under
08/23	vs NYY	1-8L	4	1	Push
08/22	vs NYY	9-5W	12	1	Over
08/20	vs MIL	0-2L	2	0	Under
08/19	vs MIL	1-2L	4	1	Under
08/18	vs MIL	3-5L	7	2	Under
08/16	@ CHC	6-1W	7	0	Under
08/15	@ CHC	2-1W	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.4	9.4	0.272	0.396	0.340	0.736	0.304	0.022
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.0	11.7	0.282	0.459	0.379	0.839	0.341	0.039
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.8	11.4	0.271	0.475	0.361	0.836	0.341	0.040
#4 Nick Gonzales	7.0	9.1	0.261	0.383	0.312	0.696	0.290	0.020
#5 Rowdy Tellez	7.0	9.2	0.258	0.411	0.330	0.742	0.306	0.033
#6 Bryan De La Cruz	6.8	8.8	0.246	0.404	0.305	0.709	0.294	0.038
#7 Billy McKinney	5.7	7.6	0.263	0.316	0.421	0.737	0.301	0.000
#8 Yasmani Grandal	5.6	7.4	0.214	0.379	0.291	0.670	0.278	0.038
#9 Jared Triolo	5.6	7.4	0.203	0.298	0.331	0.630	0.261	0.020

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	9.3	11.9	0.302	0.443	0.403	0.845	0.342	0.030
#2 Lane Thomas	9.6	12.5	0.228	0.363	0.352	0.715	0.293	0.022
#3 Jose Ramirez	9.6	12.8	0.274	0.533	0.364	0.898	0.364	0.065
#4 David Fry	7.2	9.6	0.262	0.447	0.424	0.871	0.348	0.043
#5 Josh Naylor	7.8	10.5	0.235	0.457	0.361	0.817	0.331	0.061
#6 Jhonkensy Noel	8.1	10.9	0.264	0.603	0.380	0.983	0.396	0.099
#7 Andres Gimenez	6.4	8.2	0.242	0.316	0.323	0.639	0.268	0.011
#8 Tyler Freeman	5.8	7.7	0.206	0.320	0.348	0.668	0.278	0.022
#9 Austin Hedges	3.6	4.8	0.161	0.214	0.223	0.438	0.189	0.009

Pirates Notable Injuries

Marco Gonzales OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 3.6
Andrew McCutchen OUT (OF): Avg: 0.236 SLG:0.405 Last game: 08/18/24. Impact: 4.0
Joey Bart OUT (C): Avg: 0.272 SLG:0.487 Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 2.8
Ke’Bryan Hayes OUT (3B): Avg: 0.228 SLG:0.283 Last game: 08/19/24. Impact: 1.3
Colin Holderman OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 0.1
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 0.7

Guardians Notable Injuries

Carlos Carrasco OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 4.2
Alex Cobb OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/16/24. Impact: 3.8