Pirates vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at American Family Field tonight as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into Milwaukee, looking to plunder another win from the Brewers at 08:10 PM EST. Fresh off a resounding triumph where they left the Brewers in the dust, the Pirates are eager to keep their momentum, despite trailing in the National League standings. Meanwhile, the Brewers, sitting pretty at the top of the conference, are thirsty for revenge and ready to brew up a storm in their own backyard. With the odds slightly tilted in Milwaukee’s favor and an overcast sky setting the stage, tonight’s matchup promises to deliver high stakes and higher spirits. So, whether you’re betting the over or siding with the underdog, prepare for an evening where the Pirates might just find themselves in troubled waters, or the Brewers could get caught in a tempest of their own brewing!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 10, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 71% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-155	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+132	-158	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

107W-176L

43.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

165W-116L

56.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.5
04/22/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.5
04/23/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-5.5
04/23/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.5
04/24/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.5
04/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-3.5
04/25/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+3.5
04/25/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+3.5
05/13/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+5.5
05/13/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+5.5
05/14/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-1.5
05/14/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-1.5
05/15/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+3.5
05/15/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+3.5
07/09/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	12	Over	+5.5
07/09/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Over	+5.5
06/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+0.5
06/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+0.5
06/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-3.5
06/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-3.5
06/18/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-1.5
06/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+6.5
06/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+6.5
07/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	11	Over	+10.5
07/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+10.5
07/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+0.5
07/02/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5
08/03/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+6.5
08/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	14	Over	+6.5
08/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.5
08/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+3.5
08/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-3.5
08/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.5
08/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-3.5
08/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-3.5
09/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.5
09/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.5
09/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.5
09/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.5
09/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+0.5
09/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+0.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Martin Perez

ERA 4.718 | IP 68.7 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-04-24	vsSTL	3-2L	7.3	6	1	2	Under
06-28-24	@ATL	1-6L	4.0	8	6	4	Under
05-26-24	vsATL	8-1L	3.0	4	1	2	Over
05-21-24	vsSF	6-7W	4.3	5	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@MIL	2-10L	5.0	11	9	4	Over
05-08-24	vsLAA	5-4L	5.0	8	4	5	Over
05-03-24	vsCOL	3-2L	5.3	8	3	4	Under
04-27-24	@SF	4-3W	6.0	4	1	4	Under
04-21-24	vsBOS	6-1L	4.0	6	4	7	Under
04-15-24	@NYM	3-6L	5.7	6	3	1	Over

Tobias Myers

ERA 3.516 | IP 64.0 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 56.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-04-24	@COL	3-4L	6.0	8	4	5	Under
06-29-24	vsCHC	5-3L	6.0	7	3	6	Under
06-23-24	@SD	6-2W	5.0	5	1	3	Under
06-18-24	@LAA	6-3W	6.3	4	0	6	Over
06-12-24	vsTOR	4-5W	6.0	3	1	4	Over
06-07-24	@DET	10-0W	8.0	1	0	5	Over
05-31-24	vsCWS	5-12W	4.3	7	5	4	Over
05-26-24	@BOS	1-2L	4.3	6	1	4	Under
05-21-24	@MIA	7-5W	1.0	1	0	2	Over
05-09-24	vsSTL	1-7W	4.0	3	1	6	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	vs MIL	12-2W	11	5	Over
07/10	@ NYM	8-2W	8	2	Over
07/09	@ NYM	2-3L	6	0	Under
07/08	@ NYM	2-5L	6	1	Under
07/07	@ NYM	14-2W	16	7	Over
07/06	@ STL	2-3L	7	1	Under
07/05	@ STL	5-4W	11	1	Over
07/04	@ STL	4-7L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs ATL	4-2W	6	2	Under
07/01	vs ATL	1-2L	7	0	Under
06/30	vs ATL	1-6L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/27	vs CIN	9-5W	10	2	Over
06/26	vs CIN	5-11L	10	1	Over
06/25	@ TB	1-3L	3	1	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	@ PIT	2-12L	6	0	Over
07/09	vs LAD	9-2W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs LAD	3-5L	5	2	Under
07/07	vs LAD	5-8L	4	1	Over
07/06	vs COL	3-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	vs COL	3-0W	9	1	Under
07/04	vs COL	4-3W	12	0	Under
07/03	vs COL	7-8L	14	1	Over
07/02	@ CHC	7-1W	10	2	Under
07/01	@ CHC	3-5L	11	0	Under
06/30	@ CHC	4-2W	5	1	Under
06/28	@ TEX	6-5W	11	2	Over
06/27	@ TEX	3-1W	8	1	Under
06/26	@ TEX	6-3W	8	1	Over
06/25	vs SD	6-2W	14	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.9	10.4	0.225	0.386	0.379	0.765	0.310	0.042
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.2	12.0	0.283	0.492	0.383	0.875	0.354	0.046
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.9	11.7	0.247	0.447	0.329	0.776	0.318	0.046
#4 Rowdy Tellez	7.6	9.9	0.253	0.403	0.335	0.738	0.304	0.036
#5 Nick Gonzales	6.9	9.0	0.278	0.423	0.345	0.768	0.317	0.026
#6 Joshua Palacios	5.5	7.7	0.267	0.667	0.600	1.267	0.458	0.133
#7 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.1	7.8	0.232	0.300	0.320	0.620	0.259	0.012
#8 Jack Suwinski	6.2	8.2	0.186	0.339	0.294	0.633	0.263	0.041
#9 Yasmani Grandal	4.8	6.4	0.183	0.300	0.225	0.525	0.222	0.025

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jackson Chourio	7.4	9.7	0.247	0.390	0.324	0.714	0.295	0.035
#2 William Contreras	9.2	12.1	0.299	0.450	0.399	0.849	0.344	0.028
#3 Christian Yelich	8.8	11.4	0.331	0.532	0.472	1.004	0.395	0.044
#4 Willy Adames	9.0	12.0	0.235	0.404	0.370	0.774	0.314	0.037
#5 Blake Perkins	7.7	10.0	0.256	0.374	0.366	0.740	0.302	0.024
#6 Rhys Hoskins	8.2	11.1	0.214	0.407	0.362	0.770	0.312	0.053
#7 Brice Turang	5.8	7.4	0.284	0.403	0.381	0.784	0.320	0.019
#8 Andruw Monasterio	6.0	7.9	0.181	0.250	0.292	0.542	0.229	0.014
#9 Vinny Capra	5.2	6.8	0.111	0.222	0.111	0.333	0.141	0.000

Pirates Notable Injuries

Jared Jones OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 7.3
Bailey Falter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 4.9
Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 3.8
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
David Bednar OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.3
Daulton Jefferies OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/07/24. Impact: 1.7

Brewers Notable Injuries

Joey Ortiz OUT (3B): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.444 Last game: 07/03/24. Impact: 2.0
Gary Sanchez OUT (C): Avg: 0.218 SLG:0.401 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Jared Koenig OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/30/24. Impact: 2.1
Oliver Dunn OUT (3B): Avg: 0.221 SLG:0.316 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.0
Enoli Paredes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 0.9