Pirates vs Mets Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

Get ready to set your fantasy lineups and place your bets, folks, because tonight at 07:10 PM EST, the diamond at Citi Field is set to sparkle with an electrifying showdown! The surging Pittsburgh Pirates, boasting a slick 11-5 record, are sailing into the Big Apple to clash with the New York Mets, who are looking to find their rhythm at 7-8. With the Pirates perched at the top of the National League and the Mets trying to claw back from a 2.5-game deficit, every pitch counts in this conference rivalry. Vegas has the over/under tantalizingly poised at 8.0, hinting at a game that could either tip the scales or tighten the belts. With the Pirates fresh off a resounding 8-2 victory and the Mets riding the high from a nail-biting 2-1 win, tonight’s match promises to be as unpredictable as the partly cloudy skies over Queens. So, as the Pirates aim to plunder and the Mets swing to defend their turf, expect a battle that’s nothing short of a metropolitan melee!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 59% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+107	-128	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+106	-126	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+2	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

93W-156L

48.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

143W-103L

51.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/09/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+13.0
06/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+13.0
06/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.0
06/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.0
06/11/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.0
06/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.0
08/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.0
08/14/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.0
08/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+3.0
08/15/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+3.0
08/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+3.0
08/16/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.0

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Martin Perez

ERA 4.447 | IP 141.7 | 10.0W-4.0L | KO 93.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@PHI	9-2W	7.0	8	2	4	Over
04-08-24	vsDET	4-7W	6.0	5	2	9	Over
04-03-24	@WAS	3-5L	5.3	8	5	5	Under
03-28-24	@MIA	6-5W	5.7	7	5	3	Over
09-26-23	@PHI	2-3L	6.0	3	2	6	Under
09-20-23	@CHC	13-7W	5.7	9	7	6	Over
09-14-23	vsWAS	0-2W	8.0	2	0	7	Under
09-08-23	@ATL	2-8L	5.0	12	8	4	Over
09-01-23	@STL	4-2W	6.0	5	1	8	Under
08-25-23	vsCHC	1-2W	8.0	4	0	6	Under
04-09-24	vsDET	5-3L	8.0	6	1	7	Under
04-04-24	@WAS	7-4W	6.7	6	2	6	Over
03-29-24	@MIA	7-2W	4.3	6	1	2	Over
10-01-23	@SEA	0-1W	3.7	0	0	4	Under
09-24-23	@SEA	8-9W	1.7	1	2	1	Over
09-20-23	@BOS	5-15W	4.7	3	0	5	Over
09-16-23	@CLE	1-2W	1.7	2	0	0	Under
09-13-23	@TOR	10-0L	1.0	1	0	0	Over
09-11-23	@TOR	10-4L	1.0	0	0	2	Over
09-09-23	@OAK	2-3W	2.7	1	0	3	Under

Jose Butto

ERA 3.643 | IP 42.0 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 38.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
04-04-24	vsDET	6-3L	5.0	3	1	3	Over
10-01-23	@CHC	0-4W	5.0	3	0	5	Under
09-26-23	@STL	4-1L	5.0	3	4	5	Under
09-20-23	@STL	8-2L	6.0	4	1	4	Over
09-14-23	@MIA	2-4W	5.0	5	2	5	Under
08-27-23	@SD	6-10W	2.0	4	4	2	Over
08-20-23	@TEX	6-2L	5.0	6	1	7	Under
08-15-23	@LAD	2-6W	5.3	5	4	6	Under
08-09-23	@COL	6-7W	5.0	5	4	5	Over
04-14-24	vsKC	1-2W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
04-04-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
10-01-23	vsPHI	9-1L	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-24-23	@PHI	2-5L	4.0	4	4	5	Under
09-18-23	@MIA	2-1W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsARI	4-7W	5.0	2	1	7	Over
09-06-23	@WAS	2-3L	6.3	6	2	6	Under
08-15-23	vsPIT	7-4L	2.7	2	3	5	Over
05-03-23	@DET	1-8L	2.3	1	1	2	Over
04-25-23	vsWAS	5-0L	4.7	4	2	1	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs PHI	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/15	vs PHI	3-4L	5	1	Under
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Under
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Under
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Under
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over
04/01	vs MIA	9-3W	16	0	Over
03/31	vs MIA	7-2W	10	0	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/03	@ DET	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/02	@ MIL	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	@ MIL	6-7L	12	3	Over
03/31	@ MIL	1-3L	1	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Oneil Cruz	9.1	12.1	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.3	10.9	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.6	8.5	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Jack Suwinski	7.3	9.8	0.225	0.457	40.8%	86.5%	5.9%
#5 Edward Olivares	6.4	8.2	0.263	0.452	34.5%	79.7%	3.4%
#6 Rowdy Tellez	6.7	8.9	0.215	0.376	32.8%	70.4%	4.2%
#7 Michael A. Taylor	5.2	6.9	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%
#8 Jared Triolo	5.1	6.6	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#9 Henry Davis	4.6	6.1	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.6	11.2	0.275	0.469	41.8%	88.6%	4.1%
#2 Starling Marte	7.1	9.0	0.248	0.324	32.4%	64.8%	1.6%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.2	9.6	0.254	0.472	38.5%	85.6%	5.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.7	10.5	0.218	0.506	36.8%	87.4%	8.1%
#5 Tyrone Taylor	5.9	7.8	0.234	0.446	28.1%	72.7%	4.3%
#6 Francisco Alvarez	6.6	8.9	0.208	0.438	31.1%	74.9%	6.6%
#7 Jeff McNeil	6.3	8.0	0.27	0.378	36.6%	74.4%	1.7%
#8 Zack Short	5.6	7.6	0.205	0.342	33.3%	67.6%	3.2%
#9 Harrison Bader	5.1	6.6	0.232	0.35	29.6%	64.6%	2.2%