Pirates vs Mets Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the sizzling Pittsburgh Pirates, boasting an 11W-6L record, sail into Citi Field to clash with the .500 New York Mets tonight at 07:10PM EST. With the Pirates riding the crest of the National League and the Mets trying to claw back from a 2.5-game deficit, the stakes are high and the odds tantalizing, with an over/under of 8.0. Fresh off yesterday’s diamond duel where the Mets snagged a 6-3 victory, both teams are looking to dominate in perfect baseball weather—sunny skies, a gentle breeze, and the pitch just waiting to sizzle. As the Pirates aim to plunder a win and the Mets look to catch a soaring victory, tonight’s game is set to be a true battle of the bats!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 37% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+106	-126	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+105	-125	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

93W-157L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

144W-103L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.0
04/15/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+1.0
06/09/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+13.0
06/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+13.0
06/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.0
06/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.0
06/11/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.0
06/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.0
08/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.0
08/14/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.0
08/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+3.0
08/15/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+3.0
08/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+3.0
08/16/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.0

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Jared Jones

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

No notable injuries to report

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over

Jose Quintana

ERA 3.568 | IP 75.7 | 3.0W-6.0L | KO 60.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-11-24	@ATL	16-4W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over
09-17-23	vsCIN	4-8W	6.7	8	2	2	Over
09-11-23	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
09-05-23	@WAS	11-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Over
08-29-23	vsTEX	2-1L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
08-23-23	@ATL	0-7L	5.3	9	5	5	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	vs NYM	3-6L	3	0	Over
04/16	vs PHI	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/15	vs PHI	3-4L	5	1	Under
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Under
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Over
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Over
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over
04/01	vs MIA	9-3W	16	0	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/03	@ DET	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/02	@ MIL	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	@ MIL	6-7L	12	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Connor Joe	8.0	10.5	0.244	0.416	38.4%	80.0%	2.7%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.8	10.2	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.6	9.8	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Edward Olivares	7.3	9.4	0.263	0.452	34.5%	79.7%	3.4%
#5 Andrew McCutchen	7.5	9.9	0.256	0.391	45.9%	85.0%	2.8%
#6 Oneil Cruz	6.7	8.9	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#7 Michael A. Taylor	5.9	7.8	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%
#8 Jared Triolo	6.0	7.8	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#9 Henry Davis	5.5	7.2	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	7.7	10.0	0.275	0.469	41.8%	88.6%	4.1%
#2 Starling Marte	6.9	8.7	0.248	0.324	32.4%	64.8%	1.6%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.4	9.8	0.254	0.472	38.5%	85.6%	5.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.2	9.8	0.218	0.506	36.8%	87.4%	8.1%
#5 Brett Baty	5.4	7.1	0.214	0.326	30.0%	62.6%	2.6%
#6 Francisco Alvarez	6.2	8.4	0.208	0.438	31.1%	74.9%	6.6%
#7 Jeff McNeil	5.6	7.1	0.27	0.378	36.6%	74.4%	1.7%
#8 DJ Stewart	6.7	8.9	0.236	0.497	36.9%	86.6%	7.0%
#9 Harrison Bader	5.0	6.5	0.232	0.35	29.6%	64.6%	2.2%