Pirates vs Mets Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024

Get ready to slide into the excitement as the surging Pittsburgh Pirates, boasting an impressive 11-7 record, sail into the Big Apple to clash with the New York Mets at the iconic Citi Field today at 1:10 PM EST. The stakes are high in this National League showdown, with the Pirates looking to plunder a win and maintain their top spot, while the Mets, just 2.5 games back, aim to defend their turf and climb the rankings. With the betting world buzzing, the over/under tantalizingly set at 8.5, and the odds slightly favoring the Mets, this matchup promises to be as unpredictable as the partly cloudy skies above. After yesterday’s face-off where the Mets edged out a victory, both teams are fired up and ready to rewrite the script. So, as the winds from the Northeast whip across the field, expect a game where the Pirates might just find the treasure they seek, or the Mets turn their diamond into gold!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 17, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NE at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+133	-159	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+14	-17	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

93W-158L

42.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

145W-103L

57.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5
04/15/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+0.5
04/16/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-4.5
04/16/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-4.5
06/09/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+12.5
06/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+12.5
06/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
06/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.5
06/11/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
06/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.5
08/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+0.5
08/14/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+0.5
08/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+2.5
08/15/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.5
08/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.5
08/16/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Bailey Falter

ERA 5.355 | IP 80.7 | 2.0W-9.0L | KO 60.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	@PHI	5-2W	5.0	4	1	3	Under
04-06-24	vsBAL	4-5W	6.0	1	0	1	Over
03-31-24	@MIA	9-7W	4.0	5	6	2	Over
09-23-23	@CIN	13-12W	2.0	9	8	1	Over
09-19-23	@CHC	1-14L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
09-12-23	vsWAS	1-5W	6.0	4	1	4	Under
09-06-23	vsMIL	4-5W	3.7	1	0	3	Over
09-02-23	@STL	7-6W	3.7	1	1	2	Over
08-27-23	vsCHC	10-1L	4.7	7	6	3	Over
08-21-23	vsSTL	1-11W	6.0	3	1	8	Over

Jose Quintana

ERA 3.568 | IP 75.7 | 3.0W-6.0L | KO 60.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	vsKC	1-6W	5.0	1	1	4	Under
04-06-24	@CIN	6-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
03-30-24	vsMIL	7-6L	5.0	12	6	6	Over
09-08-23	@MIL	8-2L	4.0	4	2	5	Over
09-02-23	@HOU	5-4L	4.0	6	4	3	Over
08-28-23	@DET	4-1L	7.0	5	0	8	Under
08-23-23	@WAS	1-9W	6.7	1	0	2	Over
08-15-23	@ATL	0-5W	4.0	5	5	5	Under
08-09-23	@CWS	2-9W	2.0	5	4	2	Over
08-04-23	@HOU	7-3L	4.0	5	5	4	Over
04-16-24	vsPIT	1-3W	5.0	4	1	4	Under
04-11-24	@ATL	16-4W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over
09-17-23	vsCIN	4-8W	6.7	8	2	2	Over
09-11-23	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
09-05-23	@WAS	11-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Over
08-29-23	vsTEX	2-1L	6.0	3	0	5	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	vs NYM	1-3L	5	0	Under
04/17	vs NYM	3-6L	3	0	Over
04/16	vs PHI	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/15	vs PHI	3-4L	5	1	Under
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Under
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Push
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Push
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/03	@ DET	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/02	@ MIL	1-4L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Connor Joe	7.6	10.0	0.244	0.416	38.4%	80.0%	2.7%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.1	10.7	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.0	9.0	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Edward Olivares	6.9	8.8	0.263	0.452	34.5%	79.7%	3.4%
#4 Rowdy Tellez	7.5	9.9	0.215	0.376	32.8%	70.4%	4.2%
#5 Andrew McCutchen	7.8	10.2	0.256	0.391	45.9%	85.0%	2.8%
#6 Oneil Cruz	6.8	9.0	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#6 Jack Suwinski	7.7	10.4	0.225	0.457	40.8%	86.5%	5.9%
#7 Michael A. Taylor	6.1	8.1	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%
#8 Jared Triolo	6.1	7.9	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#9 Joey Bart	5.1	6.6	0.207	0.264	28.7%	55.2%	0.0%
#9 Henry Davis	5.7	7.5	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	7.3	9.5	0.275	0.469	41.8%	88.6%	4.1%
#2 Starling Marte	6.7	8.4	0.248	0.324	32.4%	64.8%	1.6%
#3 Francisco Lindor	6.6	8.8	0.254	0.472	38.5%	85.6%	5.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	6.7	9.2	0.218	0.506	36.8%	87.4%	8.1%
#5 Brett Baty	5.2	6.8	0.214	0.326	30.0%	62.6%	2.6%
#6 Francisco Alvarez	6.0	8.1	0.208	0.438	31.1%	74.9%	6.6%
#7 Jeff McNeil	5.2	6.7	0.27	0.378	36.6%	74.4%	1.7%
#7 Tyrone Taylor	6.7	8.9	0.234	0.446	28.1%	72.7%	4.3%
#8 DJ Stewart	6.1	8.1	0.236	0.497	36.9%	86.6%	7.0%
#9 Harrison Bader	4.6	6.0	0.232	0.35	29.6%	64.6%	2.2%
#9 Zack Short	4.9	6.6	0.205	0.342	33.3%	67.6%	3.2%