Pirates vs Yankees Game Breakdown

It’s game day, folks! The bustling Yankee Stadium is the battlefield today as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into the Bronx, ready to clash swords with the mighty New York Yankees. With the first pitch at 01:05 PM EST, the Pirates are looking to plunder another victory following their recent triumph over the Yanks. Meanwhile, the Yankees, sitting comfortably at the top of their conference, aim to defend their turf and rebound from their last outing. The stakes are high with the over/under teasing at 7.5 in a game predicted to be as overcast as the weather, which promises brisk eastern winds and a cool 66 degrees. Will the Pirates continue their recent surge, or will the Yankees cannonball their way to victory? Let’s find out if the Pirates can truly ‘Yank’ another win or if New York will ‘Pirate’ the victory back!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 01:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the E at 12.3 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+114	-136	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+115	-138	6.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-2	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

121W-196L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

185W-133L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/27/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-1.5
09/27/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-1.5
09/15/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+4.5
09/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+4.5
09/16/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+1.5
09/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.5
09/17/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-2.5
09/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-2.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Paul Skenes

ERA 1.919 | IP 136.0 | 12.0W-3.0L | KO 176.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	@CIN	2-0W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-22-24	@CIN	2-0W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-16-24	@STL	0-4L	6.0	4	1	7	Under
09-09-24	vsMIA	2-3W	6.0	6	1	9	Under
09-03-24	@CHC	5-0W	5.0	4	0	6	Under
08-28-24	vsCHC	14-10L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
08-22-24	vsCIN	0-7W	6.0	2	0	9	Over
08-16-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.0	3	2	6	Over
08-10-24	@LAD	1-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Under
08-04-24	vsARI	6-5L	5.3	5	2	4	Over

Luis Gil

ERA 3.39 | IP 151.3 | 16.0W-6.0L | KO 171.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	@OAK	7-4W	5.3	5	4	5	Over
09-22-24	@OAK	7-4W	5.3	5	4	5	Over
09-17-24	@SEA	11-2W	5.0	4	1	5	Over
09-11-24	vsKC	3-4W	5.0	5	1	5	Over
09-06-24	@CHC	3-0W	6.0	1	0	7	Under
08-20-24	vsCLE	9-5L	3.0	3	3	3	Over
08-12-24	@CWS	2-12L	4.0	7	4	3	Over
08-07-24	vsLAA	2-5W	5.0	2	0	6	Over
07-29-24	@PHI	14-4W	5.3	5	3	8	Over
07-23-24	vsNYM	3-2L	5.0	4	1	6	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs NYY	4-2W	6	3	Under
09/28	@ MIL	2-5L	5	1	Over
09/27	@ MIL	2-1W	3	0	Under
09/26	@ MIL	2-7L	10	0	Over
09/24	vs CIN	2-0W	7	2	Under
09/24	vs CIN	2-0W	7	2	Under
09/23	vs CIN	1-7L	7	1	Over
09/22	vs CIN	3-8L	9	1	Over
09/21	vs STL	3-2W	8	1	Under
09/20	vs STL	5-10L	13	1	Over
09/19	vs STL	1-3L	8	1	Under
09/18	vs STL	0-4L	4	0	Under
09/17	@ KC	4-3W	7	0	Over
09/16	@ KC	1-5L	9	0	Under
09/15	@ KC	3-8L	9	0	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ PIT	2-4L	6	0	Under
09/28	@ BAL	10-1W	8	3	Over
09/27	@ BAL	7-9L	10	2	Over
09/26	@ BAL	3-5L	7	1	Over
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/23	vs OAK	10-0W	14	3	Over
09/22	vs OAK	3-2W	8	0	Under
09/21	vs SEA	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/20	vs SEA	2-1W	3	0	Under
09/19	vs SEA	11-2W	12	2	Over
09/17	@ BOS	5-2W	9	2	Over
09/16	@ BOS	1-7L	5	0	Over
09/15	@ BOS	5-4W	7	1	Over
09/14	@ BOS	2-1W	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.1	8.9	0.272	0.380	0.328	0.709	0.295	0.017
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.4	10.9	0.276	0.448	0.379	0.827	0.336	0.038
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.7	11.3	0.261	0.461	0.363	0.823	0.335	0.041
#4 Nick Gonzales	6.8	8.7	0.271	0.387	0.333	0.721	0.299	0.017
#5 Joshua Palacios	5.9	7.7	0.203	0.305	0.322	0.627	0.261	0.034
#6 Jared Triolo	6.4	8.4	0.215	0.307	0.335	0.642	0.266	0.020
#7 Yasmani Grandal	5.8	7.7	0.219	0.381	0.333	0.714	0.293	0.038
#8 Nick Yorke	5.4	6.9	0.235	0.412	0.324	0.735	0.302	0.059
#9 Billy Cook	5.0	6.4	0.222	0.378	0.222	0.600	0.253	0.044
#9 Jose Rojas	7.7	7.7	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jasson Dominguez	7.2	9.5	0.189	0.377	0.358	0.736	0.297	0.057
#2 Juan Soto	8.5	11.5	0.289	0.573	0.522	1.095	0.416	0.072
#3 Aaron Judge	8.4	11.3	0.330	0.719	0.584	1.303	0.484	0.106
#4 Austin Wells	5.8	7.8	0.233	0.403	0.369	0.773	0.314	0.037
#5 Giancarlo Stanton	6.2	8.3	0.236	0.482	0.335	0.817	0.333	0.065
#6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6.6	8.5	0.253	0.427	0.354	0.781	0.318	0.041
#7 Anthony Rizzo	5.1	6.7	0.224	0.330	0.330	0.661	0.275	0.024
#8 Oswaldo Cabrera	4.7	6.2	0.250	0.370	0.322	0.692	0.287	0.027
#9 Jon Berti	4.8	6.1	0.283	0.333	0.367	0.700	0.289	0.017

Pirates Notable Injuries

Henry Davis OUT (C): Avg: 0.144 SLG:0.212 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Kyle Nicolas OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.1
Ben Heller OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.5

Yankees Notable Injuries

Nestor Cortes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/20/24. Impact: 7.1
DJ LeMahieu OUT (1B): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.259 Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 1.6
Jake Cousins OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 1.1
Mark Leiter Jr. OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/27/24. Impact: 1.6