Pirates vs Phillies Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 13th 2024

Get ready to set your lineups and place your bets as the high-flying Pittsburgh Pirates, boasting a stellar 10W-4L record, sail into Citizens Bank Park to clash with the Philadelphia Phillies, who are balancing the scales at 7W-7L. The first pitch is slated for 04:05 PM EST in what promises to be a charged National League showdown. With the Pirates riding the wave of their recent victory and the Phillies looking to even the score from their last encounter, the stakes are as high as the over/under at 9.0. The chilly Philadelphia air might be overcast and blustery, but the competition will be anything but cold. So, as the Pirates aim to plunder another win and the Phillies fight to ring their Liberty bell louder, brace yourself for a game where every pitch counts and every swing could tip the scales!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 13, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Overcast with winds from the W at 17.4 mph. Temperature is at 53.1° with 50% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+127	-152	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+125	-149	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

92W-155L

44.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

143W-102L

55.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/11/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-3.0
04/11/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-3.0
04/12/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Under	-2.0
04/12/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.0
07/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-6.0
07/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-6.0
07/29/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+4.0
07/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.0
07/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.0
07/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+1.0
09/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-4.0
09/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-4.0
09/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+4.0
09/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+4.0
09/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-4.0
09/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-4.0

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Marco Gonzales

ERA 5.22 | IP 50.0 | 4.0W-1.0L | KO 34.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-07-24	vsBAL	2-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-01-24	@WAS	8-4W	5.0	4	1	2	Over
05-28-23	@PIT	3-6L	5.7	3	1	4	Over
05-23-23	@OAK	2-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Under
05-17-23	@BOS	3-12W	1.7	8	8	1	Over
05-12-23	@DET	9-2L	6.0	5	2	2	Over
05-06-23	@HOU	5-7W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
04-30-23	@TOR	10-8L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
04-25-23	@PHI	5-3L	5.0	4	1	2	Under
04-19-23	@MIL	5-3L	6.0	4	2	9	Under

Spencer Turnbull

ERA 7.258 | IP 31.0 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-08-24	@STL	5-3W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
04-02-24	vsCIN	4-9W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
05-06-23	@STL	6-5L	4.7	7	5	6	Over
04-30-23	@BAL	5-3L	4.0	5	3	3	Under
04-25-23	@MIL	4-3L	4.0	3	2	2	Under
04-19-23	@CLE	3-2L	5.3	3	3	3	Under
04-13-23	@TOR	3-1L	5.0	6	1	6	Under
04-06-23	@BOS	6-3L	5.7	5	5	1	Over
04-01-23	@TB	2-12W	2.3	8	7	3	Over
06-04-21	@CWS	2-12W	4.0	2	1	4	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Under
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Under
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Under
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over
04/01	vs MIA	9-3W	16	0	Over
03/31	vs MIA	7-2W	10	0	Over
03/30	vs MIA	6-5W	9	3	Over
10/03	@ MIA	3-0W	6	0	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/12	vs STL	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	vs STL	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/09	vs WAS	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/08	vs WAS	5-2W	9	1	Under
04/07	vs WAS	4-0W	9	0	Under
04/05	@ CIN	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/04	@ CIN	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/03	@ CIN	3-6L	7	0	Over
04/02	@ ATL	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/01	@ ATL	4-12L	8	1	Over
03/31	@ ATL	3-9L	5	1	Over
10/03	vs NYM	9-1W	12	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Oneil Cruz	9.5	12.6	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.4	11.1	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.2	9.3	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Jack Suwinski	8.0	10.8	0.225	0.457	40.8%	86.5%	5.9%
#5 Edward Olivares	7.1	9.1	0.263	0.452	34.5%	79.7%	3.4%
#6 Rowdy Tellez	6.7	8.9	0.215	0.376	32.8%	70.4%	4.2%
#7 Michael A. Taylor	6.8	9.0	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%
#8 Jared Triolo	6.2	8.0	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#9 Henry Davis	5.5	7.3	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.9	12.2	0.198	0.477	42.5%	90.2%	8.1%
#2 Trea Turner	9.0	11.6	0.268	0.461	34.8%	80.9%	4.1%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.5	12.6	0.293	0.499	47.9%	97.8%	4.6%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	8.2	10.7	0.252	0.454	34.4%	79.8%	4.1%
#5 Alec Bohm	7.5	9.9	0.276	0.44	35.9%	79.8%	3.6%
#6 Brandon Marsh	6.5	8.5	0.279	0.461	43.6%	89.8%	3.0%
#7 Nick Castellanos	7.3	9.5	0.273	0.478	33.4%	81.2%	4.7%
#8 Bryson Stott	6.2	7.9	0.278	0.418	35.6%	77.3%	2.6%
#9 Whit Merrifield	6.6	8.5	0.271	0.382	34.3%	72.5%	2.0%