Pirates vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to set sail with the Pittsburgh Pirates as they chart a course into the bustling Rogers Centre, ready to clash with the Toronto Blue Jays in what promises to be an explosive showdown. Both teams, hovering just below the .500 mark, are itching to climb their respective conference ladders with the Pirates swinging from the ropes of the National League and the Jays swooping in from the American League. With the first pitch slated for 07:07 PM EST under a clear sky, the stage is perfectly set. The odds-makers have spoken, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 8.5, hinting at a game that could tip either way. Fresh off their respective victories, the Pirates plundering Detroit and the Jays besting Chicago, both teams are fired up and ready to duel. So, as the winds favor a brisk game tonight, let’s see if the Pirates can navigate the Blue Jays’ turf or if they’ll end up walking the plank!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 31, 2024 07:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 33% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+139	-165	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+140	-168	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

99W-168L

41.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

148W-118L

58.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/05/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-4.5
05/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-4.5
05/06/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+1.5
05/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
05/07/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	10	Over	+2.5
05/07/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+2.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Bailey Falter

ERA 3.549 | IP 58.3 | 3.0W-2.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-24-24	vsATL	5-11W	7.3	6	3	4	Over
05-18-24	@CHC	0-1L	7.7	3	0	2	Under
05-12-24	vsCHC	5-4L	6.0	5	2	1	Over
05-05-24	vsCOL	3-5W	5.3	6	3	3	Push
04-29-24	@OAK	1-5L	5.0	6	5	5	Under
04-23-24	vsMIL	1-2W	7.0	3	1	8	Under
04-17-24	@NYM	1-9L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
04-12-24	@PHI	5-2W	5.0	4	1	3	Under
04-06-24	vsBAL	4-5W	6.0	1	0	1	Over
03-31-24	@MIA	9-7W	4.0	5	6	2	Over

Jose Berrios

ERA 2.941 | IP 67.3 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 53.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-25-24	@DET	1-2L	7.0	7	2	5	Under
05-20-24	vsCWS	3-9W	6.0	8	3	6	Over
05-13-24	@BAL	3-2W	7.0	3	2	4	Under
05-07-24	@PHI	1-10L	3.7	7	8	7	Over
04-30-24	vsKC	4-1L	7.0	5	2	3	Under
04-25-24	@KC	1-2L	5.0	3	2	1	Under
04-20-24	@SD	5-2W	6.0	5	0	6	Under
04-14-24	vsCOL	0-5W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
04-08-24	vsSEA	2-5W	6.7	4	0	6	Under
04-02-24	@HOU	2-1W	6.0	6	1	2	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/31	vs DET	10-2W	13	2	Over
05/31	vs DET	0-8L	3	0	Push
05/28	@ ATL	1-8L	5	0	Over
05/27	@ ATL	4-1W	7	0	Under
05/26	@ ATL	11-5W	14	1	Over
05/25	@ SF	6-7L	9	3	Over
05/24	@ SF	5-9L	6	1	Over
05/23	@ SF	7-6W	11	0	Over
05/21	vs CHC	3-2W	10	1	Under
05/20	vs CHC	0-1L	4	0	Under
05/19	vs CHC	9-3W	15	2	Over
05/18	vs CHC	5-4W	7	2	Over
05/17	vs MIL	2-10L	8	1	Over
05/16	vs MIL	3-4L	3	2	Under
05/15	vs MIL	8-6W	13	3	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/31	vs CWS	3-1W	7	0	Under
05/30	vs CWS	7-2W	13	0	Over
05/29	vs CWS	5-1W	6	3	Under
05/28	vs DET	11-14L	14	3	Over
05/27	vs DET	1-2L	6	0	Under
05/26	vs DET	2-6L	10	0	Push
05/25	vs DET	9-1W	13	3	Over
05/24	@ CWS	9-2W	10	1	Over
05/23	@ CWS	0-5L	2	0	Under
05/22	@ CWS	9-3W	12	2	Over
05/21	@ TB	5-2W	7	1	Under
05/20	@ TB	4-5L	10	0	Over
05/19	@ TB	3-4L	4	1	Under
05/17	vs BAL	2-3L	5	0	Under
05/15	vs BAL	3-2W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.6	10.0	0.234	0.407	38.9%	79.6%	4.8%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.3	10.7	0.254	0.411	36.6%	77.7%	3.1%
#3 Connor Joe	7.3	9.6	0.286	0.463	40.0%	86.3%	3.4%
#4 Oneil Cruz	8.2	10.6	0.246	0.431	32.3%	75.4%	3.6%
#5 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.7	8.8	0.237	0.313	37.4%	68.7%	0.8%
#6 Nick Gonzales	7.1	9.4	0.312	0.547	42.2%	96.9%	4.7%
#7 Yasmani Grandal	6.1	8.2	0.211	0.368	22.8%	59.6%	3.5%
#8 Edward Olivares	6.2	8.2	0.237	0.404	32.5%	72.8%	4.4%
#9 Ji Hwan Bae	5.3	7.0	0.267	0.267	40.0%	66.7%	0.0%

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Davis Schneider	9.8	13.4	0.241	0.455	42.1%	87.6%	4.1%
#2 Danny Jansen	8.9	11.7	0.299	0.557	42.3%	97.9%	5.2%
#3 V. Guerrero	8.9	11.5	0.294	0.412	45.0%	86.3%	2.4%
#4 Bo Bichette	7.9	10.2	0.251	0.365	32.0%	68.5%	2.0%
#5 Justin Turner	7.5	10.0	0.217	0.348	34.8%	69.6%	2.5%
#6 George Springer	7.4	9.6	0.207	0.31	33.7%	64.7%	2.2%
#7 Daulton Varsho	6.3	8.5	0.205	0.438	33.0%	76.7%	5.7%
#8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	5.3	6.7	0.27	0.409	34.6%	75.5%	2.5%
#9 Ernie Clement	5.2	6.5	0.242	0.368	27.4%	64.2%	2.1%

Pirates Notable Injuries

Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.8
Joey Bart OUT (C): Avg: 0.267 SLG:0.517 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 2.3