Pirates vs Nationals Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024
Pirates
5W-1L
April 04, 2024
04:05PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Nationals
2W-3L
Alright, sports junkies, buckle up, because we’re about to set sail on the high seas of Major League Baseball action! Today, our swashbuckling Pittsburgh Pirates, who’ve been pillaging and plundering their way through the season with a 5W-1L record, are dropping anchor at Nationals Park. They’re squaring off against the Washington Nationals, who, despite a bit of a rocky start at 2W-3L, are ready to defend their turf. The first pitch is set to fly at 4:05 PM EST, and with the Pirates sitting pretty at the top of the National League conference and the Nats just a game behind, this is one you won’t want to miss. The over/under is hovering at 9.0, with the Pirates favored at -132, and the Nats not far behind at 110. The Nats are still riding high after their 5-3 victory over the Pirates on 04/05/24, while the Pirates are looking to avenge their 3-5 loss. The weather? A perfect day for baseball: partly cloudy, a gentle breeze from the WSW at 8.1 mph, and a comfortable 53.8° with 48% humidity. So, whether you’re a Pirate ready to hoist the Jolly Roger, or a National ready to defend home base, let’s hope the only thing getting ‘picked off’ today is a great game!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 04, 2024 04:05PM EST
Location: Nationals Park, Washington
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 53.8° with 48% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| PIT ML | WAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -132 | +110 | 9.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -133 | +111 | 9.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | -1 | +1 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
57.1% Win Probability
42.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/24 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 8 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 4 | ||||
| 04/03/24 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 3 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | ||||
| 04/29/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 16 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 1 | ||||
| 04/29/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 6 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | ||||
| 04/30/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 7 | ||||
| 09/11/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 6 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | ||||
| 09/12/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 5 | ||||
| 09/13/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 7 | ||||
| 09/14/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 0 | Under | -7.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 |
Pirates Vs Over/Under
Nationals Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29-24 | @MIA | 7-2W | 4.3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | Push |
| 10-01-23 | @SEA | 0-1W | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 09-24-23 | @SEA | 8-9W | 1.7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Over |
| 09-20-23 | @BOS | 5-15W | 4.7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | @CLE | 1-2W | 1.7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 09-13-23 | @TOR | 10-0L | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 09-11-23 | @TOR | 10-4L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 09-09-23 | @OAK | 2-3W | 2.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 09-04-23 | @HOU | 13-6L | 1.7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Over |
| 09-02-23 | @MIN | 9-7L | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-28-24 | @CIN | 2-8L | 4.0 | 8 | 7 | 6 | Over |
| 09-26-23 | @BAL | 0-1L | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 09-20-23 | vsCWS | 3-13W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | Over |
| 09-14-23 | @PIT | 0-2L | 6.3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | Under |
| 09-03-23 | vsMIA | 6-4L | 4.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 08-28-23 | @TOR | 3-6L | 2.0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | Push |
| 08-22-23 | @NYY | 2-1W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 08-15-23 | vsBOS | 5-4L | 3.0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Push |
| 08-08-23 | @PHI | 5-4W | 4.7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | Push |
| 08-01-23 | vsMIL | 6-4L | 3.7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | Over |
Pirates Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | vs WAS | 3-5L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/03 | vs WAS | 8-4W | 15 | 0 | Over |
| 04/02 | vs MIA | 9-7W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/01 | vs MIA | 9-3W | 16 | 0 | Over |
| 03/31 | vs MIA | 7-2W | 10 | 0 | Push |
| 03/30 | vs MIA | 6-5W | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 10/03 | @ MIA | 3-0W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ MIA | 3-7L | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 10/01 | @ MIA | 3-4L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 09/30 | vs PHI | 3-2W | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 09/29 | vs PHI | 6-7L | 11 | 0 | Over |
| 09/28 | vs PHI | 2-3L | 5 | 2 | Under |
| 09/26 | vs CIN | 2-4L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 09/25 | vs CIN | 13-12W | 16 | 1 | Over |
| 09/24 | vs CIN | 7-5W | 9 | 4 | Over |
Nationals Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | @ PIT | 5-3W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/03 | @ PIT | 4-8L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/02 | vs CIN | 5-6L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/01 | vs CIN | 7-6W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 03/30 | vs CIN | 2-8L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 10/03 | vs ATL | 10-9W | 15 | 0 | Over |
| 10/02 | vs ATL | 3-5L | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 10/01 | vs ATL | 10-6W | 10 | 5 | Over |
| 09/29 | vs BAL | 1-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 09/28 | vs BAL | 0-1L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 09/26 | @ ATL | 3-2W | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 09/26 | @ ATL | 5-8L | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ ATL | 6-9L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 09/23 | @ ATL | 3-10L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 09/22 | @ CWS | 13-3W | 14 | 3 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Pittsburgh Pirates | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Oneil Cruz
|
12.1 | 16.0 | 0.25 | 0.375 | 46.9% | 84.4% | 3.1% |
| 10.0 | 13.2 | 0.264 | 0.464 | 37.0% | 83.4% | 4.2% | |
| 8.2 | 10.6 | 0.271 | 0.449 | 32.7% | 77.6% | 2.9% | |
| 10.3 | 13.8 | 0.225 | 0.457 | 40.8% | 86.5% | 5.9% | |
| 9.0 | 11.8 | 0.256 | 0.391 | 45.9% | 85.0% | 2.8% | |
|
#6
Rowdy Tellez
|
8.5 | 11.3 | 0.215 | 0.376 | 32.8% | 70.4% | 4.2% |
|
#7
Henry Davis
|
7.8 | 10.3 | 0.215 | 0.354 | 33.6% | 69.1% | 3.1% |
|
#8
Jared Triolo
|
7.3 | 9.5 | 0.299 | 0.401 | 45.2% | 85.3% | 1.7% |
| 7.2 | 9.5 | 0.218 | 0.441 | 29.9% | 74.0% | 5.9% |
| Washington Nationals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
CJ Abrams
|
7.8 | 10.1 | 0.242 | 0.41 | 32.3% | 73.3% | 3.2% |
|
#2
Lane Thomas
|
9.1 | 11.9 | 0.268 | 0.47 | 34.3% | 81.4% | 4.5% |
|
#3
Joey Meneses
|
8.2 | 10.7 | 0.275 | 0.396 | 34.4% | 74.0% | 2.0% |
|
#4
Keibert Ruiz
|
7.9 | 10.2 | 0.26 | 0.408 | 33.1% | 74.0% | 3.5% |
|
#5
Jesse Winker
|
6.7 | 9.1 | 0.196 | 0.245 | 37.4% | 62.0% | 0.6% |
| 6.7 | 8.7 | 0.252 | 0.363 | 32.8% | 69.1% | 1.5% | |
|
#8
Riley Adams
|
6.5 | 8.4 | 0.273 | 0.476 | 36.4% | 83.9% | 2.8% |
Pirates Notable Injuries
- Jason Delay OUT (C): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.341 Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 1.6
Nationals Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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