Pirates vs Nationals Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, buckle up, because we’re about to set sail on the high seas of Major League Baseball action! Today, our swashbuckling Pittsburgh Pirates, who’ve been pillaging and plundering their way through the season with a 5W-1L record, are dropping anchor at Nationals Park. They’re squaring off against the Washington Nationals, who, despite a bit of a rocky start at 2W-3L, are ready to defend their turf. The first pitch is set to fly at 4:05 PM EST, and with the Pirates sitting pretty at the top of the National League conference and the Nats just a game behind, this is one you won’t want to miss. The over/under is hovering at 9.0, with the Pirates favored at -132, and the Nats not far behind at 110. The Nats are still riding high after their 5-3 victory over the Pirates on 04/05/24, while the Pirates are looking to avenge their 3-5 loss. The weather? A perfect day for baseball: partly cloudy, a gentle breeze from the WSW at 8.1 mph, and a comfortable 53.8° with 48% humidity. So, whether you’re a Pirate ready to hoist the Jolly Roger, or a National ready to defend home base, let’s hope the only thing getting ‘picked off’ today is a great game!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 04, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 53.8° with 48% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-132	+110	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-133	+111	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-1	+1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

90W-154L

57.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

93W-148L

42.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.0
04/01/24	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+3.0
04/03/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-1.0
04/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-1.0
04/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	16	Over	+8.0
04/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+8.0
04/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Push	-0.0
04/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Push	-0.0
04/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Push	-0.0
04/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Push	-0.0
09/11/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Under	-1.0
09/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.0
09/12/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-3.0
09/12/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Under	-3.0
09/13/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+4.0
09/13/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.0
09/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-7.0
09/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-7.0

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Martin Perez

ERA 4.447 | IP 142 | 10W-4L | KO 93

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-29-24	@MIA	7-2W	4.3	6	1	2	Push
10-01-23	@SEA	0-1W	3.7	0	0	4	Under
09-24-23	@SEA	8-9W	1.7	1	2	1	Over
09-20-23	@BOS	5-15W	4.7	3	0	5	Over
09-16-23	@CLE	1-2W	1.7	2	0	0	Under
09-13-23	@TOR	10-0L	1.0	1	0	0	Over
09-11-23	@TOR	10-4L	1.0	0	0	2	Over
09-09-23	@OAK	2-3W	2.7	1	0	3	Under
09-04-23	@HOU	13-6L	1.7	3	2	1	Over
09-02-23	@MIN	9-7L	1.0	1	0	1	Over

Josiah Gray

ERA 3.906 | IP 159 | 8W-13L | KO 143

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-28-24	@CIN	2-8L	4.0	8	7	6	Over
09-26-23	@BAL	0-1L	6.0	5	1	7	Under
09-20-23	vsCWS	3-13W	5.0	5	1	4	Over
09-14-23	@PIT	0-2L	6.3	5	2	10	Under
09-03-23	vsMIA	6-4L	4.0	4	3	2	Over
08-28-23	@TOR	3-6L	2.0	4	4	2	Push
08-22-23	@NYY	2-1W	6.0	1	1	4	Under
08-15-23	vsBOS	5-4L	3.0	5	5	4	Push
08-08-23	@PHI	5-4W	4.7	6	4	5	Push
08-01-23	vsMIL	6-4L	3.7	4	5	3	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Under
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over
04/01	vs MIA	9-3W	16	0	Over
03/31	vs MIA	7-2W	10	0	Push
03/30	vs MIA	6-5W	9	3	Over
10/03	@ MIA	3-0W	6	0	Under
10/02	@ MIA	3-7L	12	0	Over
10/01	@ MIA	3-4L	9	0	Under
09/30	vs PHI	3-2W	11	0	Under
09/29	vs PHI	6-7L	11	0	Over
09/28	vs PHI	2-3L	5	2	Under
09/26	vs CIN	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/25	vs CIN	13-12W	16	1	Over
09/24	vs CIN	7-5W	9	4	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	@ PIT	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/03	@ PIT	4-8L	8	1	Over
04/02	vs CIN	5-6L	9	2	Over
04/01	vs CIN	7-6W	11	1	Over
03/30	vs CIN	2-8L	6	1	Over
10/03	vs ATL	10-9W	15	0	Over
10/02	vs ATL	3-5L	10	0	Under
10/01	vs ATL	10-6W	10	5	Over
09/29	vs BAL	1-5L	6	0	Under
09/28	vs BAL	0-1L	3	0	Under
09/26	@ ATL	3-2W	10	0	Under
09/26	@ ATL	5-8L	12	2	Over
09/24	@ ATL	6-9L	10	0	Over
09/23	@ ATL	3-10L	8	1	Over
09/22	@ CWS	13-3W	14	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Oneil Cruz	12.1	16.0	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	10.0	13.2	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	8.2	10.6	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Jack Suwinski	10.3	13.8	0.225	0.457	40.8%	86.5%	5.9%
#5 Andrew McCutchen	9.0	11.8	0.256	0.391	45.9%	85.0%	2.8%
#6 Rowdy Tellez	8.5	11.3	0.215	0.376	32.8%	70.4%	4.2%
#7 Henry Davis	7.8	10.3	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%
#8 Jared Triolo	7.3	9.5	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#9 Michael A. Taylor	7.2	9.5	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.8	10.1	0.242	0.41	32.3%	73.3%	3.2%
#2 Lane Thomas	9.1	11.9	0.268	0.47	34.3%	81.4%	4.5%
#3 Joey Meneses	8.2	10.7	0.275	0.396	34.4%	74.0%	2.0%
#4 Keibert Ruiz	7.9	10.2	0.26	0.408	33.1%	74.0%	3.5%
#5 Jesse Winker	6.7	9.1	0.196	0.245	37.4%	62.0%	0.6%
#7 Ildemaro Vargas	6.7	8.7	0.252	0.363	32.8%	69.1%	1.5%
#8 Riley Adams	6.5	8.4	0.273	0.476	36.4%	83.9%	2.8%