Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a desert duel that’s hotter than the Arizona sun as the San Diego Padres, boasting a slick 92-68 record, roll into Chase Field to face the scrappy 88-72 Arizona Diamondbacks tonight at 08:10 PM EST. With the Padres swinging to close a 4-game gap and the D-backs looking to slither up from 8 games back in the National League stakes, this matchup is primed to be a sizzler. The betting folks have tossed the over/under at 9, hinting at a potential scoreboard bonanza, especially with San Diego riding high from yesterday’s victory and Arizona itching to flip the script from their last tussle. As the winds whisper at 4.9 mph under partly cloudy skies, who will strike gold in this clash of conference contenders? Don’t blink or you might miss a Padre pouncing or a Diamondback striking in this high-stakes showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Chase Field, Arizona

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 4.9 mph. Temperature is at 91.9° with 16% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	ARI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+132	-158	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+155	-188	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+23	-30	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

159W-157L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

157W-160L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+1.0
08/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+1.0
05/03/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Under	-1.0
05/03/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Under	-1.0
05/04/24	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+5.0
05/04/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+5.0
05/05/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+6.0
05/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	11	Over	+6.0
06/06/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Under	-2.0
06/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-2.0
06/07/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Over	+4.0
06/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+4.0
06/08/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+5.0
06/08/24	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+5.0
06/09/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Over	+3.0
06/09/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+3.0
07/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+9.0
07/05/24	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+9.0
07/06/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	7	Over	+3.0
07/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+3.0
07/07/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Over	+1.0
07/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Over	+1.0
09/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-1.0
09/27/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-1.0
04/03/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Push	-0.0
04/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Push	-0.0
04/04/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+5.0
04/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+5.0
04/20/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.0
04/20/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+3.0
04/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Push	-0.0
04/21/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Push	-0.0
04/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-1.0
04/22/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-1.0
04/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.0
04/23/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+3.0
08/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+6.0
08/11/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+6.0
08/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-6.0
08/12/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-6.0
08/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Push	-0.0
08/13/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Push	-0.0
08/17/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-5.0
08/17/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.0
08/18/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	0	Under	-5.0
08/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-5.0
08/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Push	-0.0
08/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Push	-0.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Randy Vasquez

ERA 5.276 | IP 87.0 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 53.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-31-24	@TB	4-11L	4.3	11	9	3	Over
08-26-24	@STL	7-4W	6.0	6	2	2	Over
08-08-24	@PIT	7-6W	5.7	6	3	3	Over
08-02-24	vsCOL	5-2L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
07-28-24	@BAL	6-8L	2.0	4	6	2	Over
07-23-24	@WAS	4-0W	6.0	4	0	1	Under
07-05-24	vsARI	8-10W	6.3	6	2	6	Over
06-28-24	@BOS	9-2W	4.0	5	1	1	Over
06-22-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	5	0	3	Over
06-17-24	@PHI	2-9L	4.3	12	6	2	Over

Eduardo Rodriguez

ERA 5.559 | IP 45.3 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-23-24	vsSF	6-3L	4.7	7	5	8	Under
09-18-24	@COL	9-4W	6.3	5	2	11	Over
09-13-24	vsMIL	2-1L	5.0	5	2	7	Under
09-07-24	@HOU	5-11L	4.0	7	5	1	Over
09-02-24	vsLAD	11-6L	4.0	7	3	1	Over
08-28-24	vsNYM	5-8W	5.3	5	5	5	Over
08-20-24	@MIA	3-1W	5.3	6	1	5	Under
08-13-24	vsCOL	3-4W	5.0	6	3	5	Under
08-07-24	@CLE	5-3W	5.7	4	3	1	Under
10-01-23	@CLE	2-5W	7.0	4	2	5	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs ARI	5-3W	10	0	Under
09/28	vs LAD	2-7L	8	0	Under
09/27	vs LAD	3-4L	4	1	Under
09/26	vs LAD	4-2W	8	1	Under
09/24	@ CWS	4-2W	5	2	Under
09/24	@ CWS	4-2W	5	2	Under
09/23	@ CWS	6-2W	11	3	Under
09/22	@ CWS	3-2W	10	0	Under
09/20	@ HOU	4-0W	9	4	Under
09/19	@ HOU	3-3L	6	1	Under
09/18	@ HOU	3-1W	13	2	Under
09/17	vs SF	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/16	vs SF	8-0W	17	1	Under
09/15	vs SF	5-0W	12	1	Under
09/13	vs SEA	2-5L	4	1	Under

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ SD	3-5L	6	1	Under
09/27	@ SF	8-2W	11	1	Over
09/26	@ SF	0-11L	6	0	Over
09/25	@ SF	3-6L	7	0	Under
09/24	vs MIL	9-10L	9	3	Over
09/24	vs MIL	9-10L	9	3	Over
09/23	vs MIL	5-0W	6	3	Under
09/22	vs MIL	7-4W	12	2	Over
09/21	vs MIL	5-1W	7	1	Under
09/20	vs COL	9-4W	12	3	Over
09/19	vs COL	2-8L	6	1	Over
09/18	vs COL	2-3L	8	1	Under
09/17	@ MIL	11-10W	14	0	Over
09/16	@ MIL	8-15L	14	1	Over
09/15	@ MIL	1-2L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.0	9.9	0.315	0.394	0.365	0.759	0.314	0.006
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	10.8	14.0	0.277	0.505	0.372	0.877	0.356	0.056
#3 Jurickson Profar	8.8	11.7	0.281	0.469	0.446	0.915	0.363	0.045
#4 Manny Machado	8.5	11.2	0.275	0.472	0.349	0.821	0.336	0.048
#5 Jackson Merrill	8.6	11.1	0.292	0.502	0.346	0.847	0.348	0.044
#6 Xander Bogaerts	8.0	10.2	0.254	0.374	0.321	0.696	0.288	0.027
#7 Jake Cronenworth	6.3	8.4	0.239	0.388	0.367	0.755	0.308	0.030
#8 Donovan Solano	6.4	8.2	0.274	0.401	0.361	0.762	0.313	0.025
#9 Kyle Higashioka	5.7	7.6	0.221	0.471	0.283	0.754	0.311	0.067

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Corbin Carroll	11.2	14.8	0.232	0.430	0.372	0.802	0.323	0.038
#2 Ketel Marte	10.2	13.5	0.291	0.558	0.432	0.990	0.392	0.071
#3 Joc Pederson	8.0	10.7	0.274	0.514	0.473	0.986	0.386	0.062
#4 Christian Walker	8.4	11.3	0.250	0.470	0.385	0.855	0.344	0.056
#5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	8.6	11.2	0.278	0.433	0.347	0.780	0.321	0.036
#6 Jake McCarthy	9.4	12.0	0.283	0.398	0.386	0.784	0.320	0.018
#7 Eugenio Suarez	7.3	9.8	0.250	0.465	0.351	0.816	0.333	0.053
#8 Gabriel Moreno	6.1	8.1	0.269	0.384	0.407	0.791	0.320	0.017
#9 Geraldo Perdomo	6.1	8.0	0.277	0.386	0.392	0.777	0.316	0.009