Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown in the desert as the high-flying San Diego Padres swoop into Chase Field to clash with the Arizona Diamondbacks this afternoon at 3:10 PM EST! With the Padres hot on the heels of conference leaders and the D-backs trying not to slip further down the pecking order, this game is more than just a regular matchup; it’s a battle for supremacy under the partly cloudy skies of Phoenix. Fresh off a decisive victory against these very Diamondbacks, the Padres are looking to keep their momentum, while Arizona is itching to turn the tables and even the score. With the betting lines buzzing and the over/under promising a bonanza of runs, fans are in for a treat. So, as the temperature heats up, let’s see if the Diamondbacks can out-slither the competition or if the Padres will ride the waves of their recent success to another victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:10PM EST

Location: Chase Field, Arizona

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 89.1° with 14% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	ARI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+153	-185	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+155	-188	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

160W-157L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

157W-161L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+1.0
08/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+1.0
09/28/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-4.0
09/28/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	0	Under	-4.0
05/03/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Under	-1.0
05/03/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Under	-1.0
05/04/24	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+5.0
05/04/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+5.0
05/05/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+6.0
05/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	11	Over	+6.0
06/06/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Under	-2.0
06/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-2.0
06/07/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Over	+4.0
06/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+4.0
06/08/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+5.0
06/08/24	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+5.0
06/09/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Over	+3.0
06/09/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+3.0
07/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+9.0
07/05/24	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+9.0
07/06/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	7	Over	+3.0
07/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+3.0
07/07/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Over	+1.0
07/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Over	+1.0
09/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-1.0
09/27/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-1.0
04/03/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Push	-0.0
04/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Push	-0.0
04/04/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+5.0
04/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+5.0
04/20/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.0
04/20/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+3.0
04/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Push	-0.0
04/21/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Push	-0.0
04/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-1.0
04/22/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-1.0
04/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.0
04/23/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+3.0
08/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+6.0
08/11/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+6.0
08/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-6.0
08/12/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-6.0
08/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Push	-0.0
08/13/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Push	-0.0
08/17/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-5.0
08/17/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.0
08/18/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	0	Under	-5.0
08/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-5.0
08/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Push	-0.0
08/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Push	-0.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Randy Vasquez

ERA 4.935 | IP 93.0 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 57.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	@ARI	5-0W	6.0	1	0	4	Under
08-31-24	@TB	4-11L	4.3	11	9	3	Over
08-26-24	@STL	7-4W	6.0	6	2	2	Over
08-08-24	@PIT	7-6W	5.7	6	3	3	Over
08-02-24	vsCOL	5-2L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
07-28-24	@BAL	6-8L	2.0	4	6	2	Over
07-23-24	@WAS	4-0W	6.0	4	0	1	Under
07-05-24	vsARI	8-10W	6.3	6	2	6	Over
06-28-24	@BOS	9-2W	4.0	5	1	1	Over
06-22-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	5	0	3	Over

Eduardo Rodriguez

ERA 5.04 | IP 50.0 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 47.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	vsSD	5-0L	4.7	4	0	3	Under
09-23-24	vsSF	6-3L	4.7	7	5	8	Over
09-18-24	@COL	9-4W	6.3	5	2	11	Over
09-13-24	vsMIL	2-1L	5.0	5	2	7	Under
09-07-24	@HOU	5-11L	4.0	7	5	1	Over
09-02-24	vsLAD	11-6L	4.0	7	3	1	Over
08-28-24	vsNYM	5-8W	5.3	5	5	5	Over
08-20-24	@MIA	3-1W	5.3	6	1	5	Under
08-13-24	vsCOL	3-4W	5.0	6	3	5	Under
08-07-24	@CLE	5-3W	5.7	4	3	1	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs ARI	5-0W	10	3	Under
09/29	vs ARI	5-3W	10	0	Under
09/28	vs LAD	2-7L	8	0	Over
09/27	vs LAD	3-4L	4	1	Under
09/26	vs LAD	4-2W	8	1	Under
09/24	@ CWS	4-2W	5	2	Under
09/24	@ CWS	4-2W	5	2	Under
09/23	@ CWS	6-2W	11	3	Under
09/22	@ CWS	3-2W	10	0	Under
09/20	@ HOU	4-0W	9	4	Under
09/19	@ HOU	3-3L	6	1	Under
09/18	@ HOU	3-1W	13	2	Under
09/17	vs SF	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/16	vs SF	8-0W	17	1	Under
09/15	vs SF	5-0W	12	1	Under

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ SD	0-5L	2	0	Under
09/29	@ SD	3-5L	6	1	Under
09/27	@ SF	8-2W	11	1	Over
09/26	@ SF	0-11L	6	0	Over
09/25	@ SF	3-6L	7	0	Over
09/24	vs MIL	9-10L	9	3	Over
09/24	vs MIL	9-10L	9	3	Over
09/23	vs MIL	5-0W	6	3	Under
09/22	vs MIL	7-4W	12	2	Over
09/21	vs MIL	5-1W	7	1	Under
09/20	vs COL	9-4W	12	3	Over
09/19	vs COL	2-8L	6	1	Over
09/18	vs COL	2-3L	8	1	Under
09/17	@ MIL	11-10W	14	0	Over
09/16	@ MIL	8-15L	14	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.0	9.9	0.315	0.394	0.365	0.759	0.314	0.006
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.9	12.9	0.277	0.505	0.372	0.877	0.356	0.056
#3 Jurickson Profar	8.1	10.8	0.281	0.468	0.446	0.914	0.363	0.045
#4 Manny Machado	8.3	10.9	0.273	0.468	0.346	0.814	0.333	0.048
#5 Jackson Merrill	8.2	10.6	0.292	0.502	0.346	0.847	0.348	0.044
#6 Xander Bogaerts	8.8	11.2	0.256	0.376	0.323	0.699	0.289	0.026
#7 Jake Cronenworth	7.1	9.4	0.239	0.388	0.367	0.755	0.308	0.030
#8 Donovan Solano	6.2	8.0	0.284	0.418	0.369	0.787	0.323	0.028
#9 Kyle Higashioka	5.9	7.8	0.221	0.480	0.283	0.762	0.315	0.070

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Corbin Carroll	11.4	15.1	0.232	0.431	0.371	0.802	0.323	0.038
#2 Ketel Marte	9.7	12.9	0.289	0.554	0.432	0.986	0.390	0.070
#3 Joc Pederson	8.2	10.9	0.273	0.511	0.470	0.981	0.384	0.062
#4 Christian Walker	8.9	12.0	0.251	0.469	0.386	0.856	0.345	0.055
#5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	8.5	11.1	0.276	0.429	0.344	0.774	0.319	0.035
#6 Jake McCarthy	9.1	11.7	0.281	0.395	0.384	0.779	0.318	0.018
#7 Eugenio Suarez	7.0	9.4	0.248	0.461	0.349	0.810	0.330	0.053
#8 Gabriel Moreno	6.2	8.2	0.268	0.381	0.408	0.789	0.319	0.017
#9 Geraldo Perdomo	6.1	8.0	0.275	0.383	0.392	0.775	0.315	0.009