Padres vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
Padres
44W-41L
June 28, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 9.5 o/u
Red Sox
43W-37L
Get ready to slide into some prime MLB action as the San Diego Padres, flaunting a respectable 44 wins, jet over to the historic Fenway Park to face off against the Boston Red Sox, who are standing strong with 43 victories under their belts. The stakes are high tonight with the first pitch at 07:10 PM EST, as both teams are clawing their way up their respective conference ladders, each hungry for a win to narrow the gap. The betting lines are buzzing, setting the scene at an over/under of 9.5, hinting at a potentially explosive scoreboard. While the Padres strut in with the swagger of their recent 8-5 triumph over Washington, the Red Sox are itching to bounce back from their stumble against Toronto. With the Boston breeze partly cloudy, a cool 66 degrees, and the winds whispering strategies at 15 mph, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks. So, as the Padres try to brand their mark and the Red Sox aim to sock it out of the park, let’s see whose strategy will sail into the sunset victorious!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 28, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 59% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SD ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +129 | -154 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +133 | -159 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +4 | -5 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
42.9% Win Probability
57.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/19/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
| San Diego Padres SD | 1 | ||||
| 05/20/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Under | -3.5 | ![]() |
| San Diego Padres SD | 2 | ||||
| 05/21/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
| San Diego Padres SD | 7 |
Padres Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22-24 | vsMIL | 4-6W | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 06-17-24 | @PHI | 2-9L | 4.3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 06-11-24 | vsOAK | 3-4W | 5.0 | 7 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 06-06-24 | vsARI | 4-3L | 6.7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 06-01-24 | @KC | 7-3W | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 05-20-24 | @ATL | 0-3L | 6.0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | Under |
| 05-13-24 | vsCOL | 5-4L | 3.7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 05-07-24 | @CHC | 2-3L | 4.3 | 5 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-25-24 | @COL | 9-10L | 2.7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 04-20-24 | vsTOR | 5-2L | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22-24 | @CIN | 4-3W | 4.3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 06-17-24 | @TOR | 7-3W | 7.0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 06-12-24 | vsPHI | 6-8W | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 06-05-24 | vsATL | 0-9W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 05-30-24 | vsDET | 5-0L | 5.3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | Under |
| 05-25-24 | vsMIL | 6-3L | 3.3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | Under |
| 05-19-24 | @STL | 11-3W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Over |
| 05-14-24 | vsTB | 4-5W | 5.7 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 05-08-24 | @ATL | 0-5L | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04-03-24 | @OAK | 1-0W | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | Under |
Padres Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/28 | @ WAS | 8-5W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 06/27 | @ WAS | 9-7W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 06/26 | @ WAS | 7-6W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 06/25 | @ MIL | 2-6L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 06/24 | @ MIL | 6-4W | 10 | 3 | Over |
| 06/23 | @ MIL | 9-5W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 06/22 | @ MIL | 7-6W | 10 | 4 | Over |
| 06/21 | vs PHI | 5-2W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/20 | vs PHI | 3-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | vs PHI | 2-9L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 06/18 | vs NYM | 6-11L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | vs NYM | 1-5L | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs NYM | 1-2L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/14 | @ OAK | 5-4W | 6 | 4 | Under |
| 06/13 | @ OAK | 4-3W | 10 | 1 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/27 | @ TOR | 4-9L | 5 | 2 | Over |
| 06/26 | @ TOR | 7-6W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 06/25 | vs CIN | 7-4W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs CIN | 4-3W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/23 | vs CIN | 2-5L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/21 | vs TOR | 7-3W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/20 | vs TOR | 4-3W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | vs TOR | 7-3W | 11 | 4 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ NYY | 9-3W | 14 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | @ NYY | 8-4W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ NYY | 1-8L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/15 | @ PHI | 9-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ PHI | 8-6W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/13 | @ PHI | 1-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 06/11 | vs CWS | 6-4W | 8 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| San Diego Padres | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
8.8 | 10.8 | 0.310 | 0.383 | 0.366 | 0.749 | 0.310 | 0.006 |
| 8.1 | 10.7 | 0.315 | 0.487 | 0.473 | 0.961 | 0.379 | 0.039 | |
| 9.0 | 11.9 | 0.258 | 0.441 | 0.358 | 0.799 | 0.326 | 0.040 | |
| 9.8 | 12.6 | 0.263 | 0.382 | 0.333 | 0.716 | 0.296 | 0.025 | |
| 8.4 | 10.7 | 0.285 | 0.434 | 0.341 | 0.775 | 0.319 | 0.037 | |
| 7.4 | 9.5 | 0.277 | 0.395 | 0.395 | 0.790 | 0.322 | 0.025 | |
| 6.5 | 8.7 | 0.200 | 0.236 | 0.345 | 0.582 | 0.245 | 0.000 | |
|
#8
Ha-Seong Kim
|
6.9 | 9.2 | 0.229 | 0.395 | 0.395 | 0.790 | 0.317 | 0.037 |
| 6.1 | 8.3 | 0.207 | 0.522 | 0.250 | 0.772 | 0.319 | 0.087 |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
10.1 | 13.0 | 0.288 | 0.480 | 0.387 | 0.868 | 0.351 | 0.021 |
| 9.8 | 12.5 | 0.282 | 0.449 | 0.359 | 0.808 | 0.331 | 0.032 | |
|
#3
Wilyer Abreu
|
9.8 | 12.8 | 0.260 | 0.464 | 0.365 | 0.829 | 0.336 | 0.033 |
| 10.8 | 14.4 | 0.285 | 0.559 | 0.426 | 0.984 | 0.390 | 0.062 | |
| 9.1 | 12.1 | 0.262 | 0.550 | 0.416 | 0.965 | 0.382 | 0.079 | |
| 7.8 | 10.1 | 0.248 | 0.347 | 0.347 | 0.694 | 0.288 | 0.017 | |
|
#7
Connor Wong
|
7.2 | 9.2 | 0.330 | 0.480 | 0.435 | 0.915 | 0.369 | 0.035 |
| 6.9 | 9.3 | 0.215 | 0.326 | 0.363 | 0.689 | 0.283 | 0.022 | |
| 6.5 | 8.5 | 0.238 | 0.385 | 0.282 | 0.667 | 0.278 | 0.029 |
Padres Notable Injuries
- Yu Darvish OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 6.6
- Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
- Luis Campusano OUT (C): Avg: 0.231 SLG:0.364 Last game: 06/22/24. Impact: 2.0
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Connor Wong OUT (C): Avg: 0.33 SLG:0.48 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 4.0
- Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1
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