Padres vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

thefield
June 29, 2024
San Diego Padres

Padres

45W-41L

San Diego Padres

June 29, 2024

04:10PM EST

Odds: 9.0 o/u

Red Sox

43W-38L

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the San Diego Padres, boasting a solid 45-41 record, are gearing up to storm Fenway Park, where the Boston Red Sox, with a close 43-38, await to defend their turf. It’s a showdown set for a 4:10 PM EST start, and both teams are hungry to claw back from their respective conference deficits. With the Padres fresh off a triumphant 9-2 victory over these very Red Sox, who are itching to flip the script under today’s overcast skies and brisk winds, the stakes are as high as the 9.0 run line suggests. As the bats crack and the balls fly, will the Padres ride their wave, or will the Red Sox sock it to them in a reversal of fortunes?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 29, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Overcast with winds from the S at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 68.4° with 53% humidity.

Vegas Odds

SD ML BOS ML Over/Under Line
Open +125 -149 9.0 1.5/-1.5
Recent +118 -141 8.5 1.5/-1.5
Difference -7 +8 -0.5 –

Team Performance

sd Team Logo
LAST 10
8W-2L
AWAY
133W-144L

45.9% Win Probability

bos Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
HOME
146W-133L

54.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
06/28/24 San Diego Padres SD 9 Over +2.0
Boston Red Sox BOS 2
05/19/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 6 Under -2.0
San Diego Padres SD 1
05/20/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 4 Under -3.0
San Diego Padres SD 2
05/21/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 0 Under -2.0
San Diego Padres SD 7

Padres Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Michael King
Michael King
ERA 3.587 | IP 90.3 | 4.0W-5.0L | KO 104.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
06-23-24 vsMIL 6-2L 6.0 9 5 8 Under
06-18-24 @PHI 3-4L 4.7 6 1 6 Under
06-12-24 vsOAK 4-5W 5.0 4 2 12 Over
06-07-24 vsARI 3-10W 5.0 4 0 5 Over
06-02-24 @KC 3-4L 7.0 4 1 4 Under
05-27-24 vsMIA 1-2W 5.0 3 1 7 Under
05-22-24 @CIN 7-3W 6.7 4 3 6 Over
05-15-24 vsCOL 8-0L 5.3 8 6 7 Under
05-10-24 vsLAD 1-2W 7.0 2 0 11 Under
05-04-24 @ARI 13-1W 6.0 6 0 3 Over
Tanner Houck
Tanner Houck
ERA 2.265 | IP 103.3 | 7.0W-5.0L | KO 101.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
06-24-24 vsTOR 6-7W 6.7 5 3 7 Over
06-18-24 @TOR 4-3W 5.7 6 3 5 Under
06-13-24 vsPHI 3-9W 6.0 8 3 5 Over
06-06-24 @CWS 14-2W 7.0 3 2 9 Over
05-31-24 vsDET 3-7W 7.0 3 1 6 Over
05-26-24 vsMIL 1-2W 6.0 7 1 7 Under
05-20-24 @TB 5-0W 7.0 2 0 5 Under
05-15-24 vsTB 4-3L 5.7 5 3 7 Under
05-10-24 vsWAS 5-1L 7.0 6 3 4 Under
05-03-24 @MIN 2-5L 6.0 6 4 5 Under

Padres Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
06/30 vs BOS 9-2W 12 2 Over
06/28 @ WAS 8-5W 9 2 Over
06/27 @ WAS 9-7W 9 2 Over
06/26 @ WAS 7-6W 8 0 Over
06/25 @ MIL 2-6L 8 0 Under
06/24 @ MIL 6-4W 10 3 Over
06/23 @ MIL 9-5W 15 2 Over
06/22 @ MIL 7-6W 10 4 Over
06/21 vs PHI 5-2W 12 1 Under
06/20 vs PHI 3-4L 4 1 Under
06/19 vs PHI 2-9L 7 0 Over
06/18 vs NYM 6-11L 10 0 Over
06/17 vs NYM 1-5L 2 1 Under
06/16 vs NYM 1-2L 5 1 Under
06/14 @ OAK 5-4W 6 4 Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
06/30 @ SD 2-9L 8 1 Over
06/27 @ TOR 4-9L 5 2 Over
06/26 @ TOR 7-6W 11 2 Over
06/25 vs CIN 7-4W 10 2 Over
06/24 vs CIN 4-3W 9 1 Under
06/23 vs CIN 2-5L 6 2 Under
06/21 vs TOR 7-3W 10 2 Over
06/20 vs TOR 4-3W 12 1 Under
06/19 vs TOR 7-3W 11 4 Over
06/18 @ NYY 9-3W 14 0 Over
06/17 @ NYY 8-4W 12 0 Over
06/16 @ NYY 1-8L 5 0 Over
06/15 @ PHI 9-3W 14 1 Over
06/14 @ PHI 8-6W 13 1 Over
06/13 @ PHI 1-4L 4 0 Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez
7.8 9.6 0.311 0.384 0.366 0.750 0.310 0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar
7.3 9.7 0.316 0.486 0.479 0.965 0.380 0.039
#3 Jake Cronenworth
7.0 9.3 0.257 0.438 0.355 0.793 0.324 0.039
#4 Manny Machado
7.7 9.9 0.266 0.383 0.334 0.717 0.296 0.024
#5 Donovan Solano
6.2 8.0 0.287 0.402 0.410 0.811 0.329 0.025
#6 Jackson Merrill
6.9 8.9 0.283 0.441 0.338 0.779 0.321 0.040
#7 Ha-Seong Kim
6.2 8.2 0.229 0.393 0.393 0.785 0.315 0.036
#8 Kyle Higashioka
4.8 6.5 0.211 0.547 0.263 0.811 0.334 0.095
#9 Bryce Johnson
4.5 6.0 0.182 0.273 0.364 0.636 0.262 0.000
Boston Red Sox DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran
8.3 10.7 0.287 0.476 0.385 0.861 0.348 0.021
#2 Wilyer Abreu
8.0 10.4 0.259 0.459 0.362 0.822 0.334 0.032
#3 Tyler O’Neill
8.3 11.1 0.257 0.539 0.408 0.947 0.376 0.078
#4 Rafael Devers
9.3 12.3 0.287 0.570 0.430 1.000 0.395 0.066
#5 Masataka Yoshida
7.4 9.6 0.252 0.358 0.366 0.724 0.299 0.016
#6 Connor Wong
6.6 8.5 0.328 0.475 0.431 0.907 0.366 0.034
#7 Enmanuel Valdez
5.6 7.5 0.212 0.404 0.295 0.699 0.289 0.041
#8 Dominic Smith
5.6 7.5 0.209 0.317 0.353 0.669 0.276 0.022
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela
5.6 7.3 0.245 0.394 0.289 0.682 0.284 0.029

Padres Notable Injuries

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
  • Luis Campusano OUT (C): Avg: 0.231 SLG:0.364 Last game: 06/22/24. Impact: 2.0
  • Tom Cosgrove OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: -0.3

Red Sox Notable Injuries

  • Connor Wong OUT (C): Avg: 0.328 SLG:0.475 Last game: 06/30/24. Impact: 3.8
  • Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1
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