Padres vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
Padres
45W-41L
June 29, 2024
04:10PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Red Sox
43W-38L
Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the San Diego Padres, boasting a solid 45-41 record, are gearing up to storm Fenway Park, where the Boston Red Sox, with a close 43-38, await to defend their turf. It’s a showdown set for a 4:10 PM EST start, and both teams are hungry to claw back from their respective conference deficits. With the Padres fresh off a triumphant 9-2 victory over these very Red Sox, who are itching to flip the script under today’s overcast skies and brisk winds, the stakes are as high as the 9.0 run line suggests. As the bats crack and the balls fly, will the Padres ride their wave, or will the Red Sox sock it to them in a reversal of fortunes?
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 29, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Overcast with winds from the S at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 68.4° with 53% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SD ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +125 | -149 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +118 | -141 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -7 | +8 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
45.9% Win Probability
54.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/28/24 | San Diego Padres SD | 9 | Over | +2.0 | ![]() |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | ||||
| 05/19/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Under | -2.0 | ![]() |
| San Diego Padres SD | 1 | ||||
| 05/20/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Under | -3.0 | ![]() |
| San Diego Padres SD | 2 | ||||
| 05/21/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -2.0 | ![]() |
| San Diego Padres SD | 7 |
Padres Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23-24 | vsMIL | 6-2L | 6.0 | 9 | 5 | 8 | Under |
| 06-18-24 | @PHI | 3-4L | 4.7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 06-12-24 | vsOAK | 4-5W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | Over |
| 06-07-24 | vsARI | 3-10W | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | Over |
| 06-02-24 | @KC | 3-4L | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 05-27-24 | vsMIA | 1-2W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 05-22-24 | @CIN | 7-3W | 6.7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 05-15-24 | vsCOL | 8-0L | 5.3 | 8 | 6 | 7 | Under |
| 05-10-24 | vsLAD | 1-2W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | Under |
| 05-04-24 | @ARI | 13-1W | 6.0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24-24 | vsTOR | 6-7W | 6.7 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 06-18-24 | @TOR | 4-3W | 5.7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 06-13-24 | vsPHI | 3-9W | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 06-06-24 | @CWS | 14-2W | 7.0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | Over |
| 05-31-24 | vsDET | 3-7W | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Over |
| 05-26-24 | vsMIL | 1-2W | 6.0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 05-20-24 | @TB | 5-0W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 05-15-24 | vsTB | 4-3L | 5.7 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 05-10-24 | vsWAS | 5-1L | 7.0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Under |
| 05-03-24 | @MIN | 2-5L | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | Under |
Padres Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/30 | vs BOS | 9-2W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 06/28 | @ WAS | 8-5W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 06/27 | @ WAS | 9-7W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 06/26 | @ WAS | 7-6W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 06/25 | @ MIL | 2-6L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 06/24 | @ MIL | 6-4W | 10 | 3 | Over |
| 06/23 | @ MIL | 9-5W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 06/22 | @ MIL | 7-6W | 10 | 4 | Over |
| 06/21 | vs PHI | 5-2W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/20 | vs PHI | 3-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | vs PHI | 2-9L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 06/18 | vs NYM | 6-11L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | vs NYM | 1-5L | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs NYM | 1-2L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/14 | @ OAK | 5-4W | 6 | 4 | Over |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/30 | @ SD | 2-9L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06/27 | @ TOR | 4-9L | 5 | 2 | Over |
| 06/26 | @ TOR | 7-6W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 06/25 | vs CIN | 7-4W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs CIN | 4-3W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/23 | vs CIN | 2-5L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/21 | vs TOR | 7-3W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/20 | vs TOR | 4-3W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | vs TOR | 7-3W | 11 | 4 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ NYY | 9-3W | 14 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | @ NYY | 8-4W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ NYY | 1-8L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 06/15 | @ PHI | 9-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ PHI | 8-6W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/13 | @ PHI | 1-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| San Diego Padres | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
7.8 | 9.6 | 0.311 | 0.384 | 0.366 | 0.750 | 0.310 | 0.006 |
| 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.316 | 0.486 | 0.479 | 0.965 | 0.380 | 0.039 | |
| 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.257 | 0.438 | 0.355 | 0.793 | 0.324 | 0.039 | |
| 7.7 | 9.9 | 0.266 | 0.383 | 0.334 | 0.717 | 0.296 | 0.024 | |
| 6.2 | 8.0 | 0.287 | 0.402 | 0.410 | 0.811 | 0.329 | 0.025 | |
| 6.9 | 8.9 | 0.283 | 0.441 | 0.338 | 0.779 | 0.321 | 0.040 | |
|
#7
Ha-Seong Kim
|
6.2 | 8.2 | 0.229 | 0.393 | 0.393 | 0.785 | 0.315 | 0.036 |
| 4.8 | 6.5 | 0.211 | 0.547 | 0.263 | 0.811 | 0.334 | 0.095 | |
| 4.5 | 6.0 | 0.182 | 0.273 | 0.364 | 0.636 | 0.262 | 0.000 |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
8.3 | 10.7 | 0.287 | 0.476 | 0.385 | 0.861 | 0.348 | 0.021 |
|
#2
Wilyer Abreu
|
8.0 | 10.4 | 0.259 | 0.459 | 0.362 | 0.822 | 0.334 | 0.032 |
| 8.3 | 11.1 | 0.257 | 0.539 | 0.408 | 0.947 | 0.376 | 0.078 | |
| 9.3 | 12.3 | 0.287 | 0.570 | 0.430 | 1.000 | 0.395 | 0.066 | |
| 7.4 | 9.6 | 0.252 | 0.358 | 0.366 | 0.724 | 0.299 | 0.016 | |
|
#6
Connor Wong
|
6.6 | 8.5 | 0.328 | 0.475 | 0.431 | 0.907 | 0.366 | 0.034 |
| 5.6 | 7.5 | 0.212 | 0.404 | 0.295 | 0.699 | 0.289 | 0.041 | |
| 5.6 | 7.5 | 0.209 | 0.317 | 0.353 | 0.669 | 0.276 | 0.022 | |
| 5.6 | 7.3 | 0.245 | 0.394 | 0.289 | 0.682 | 0.284 | 0.029 |
Padres Notable Injuries
- Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
- Luis Campusano OUT (C): Avg: 0.231 SLG:0.364 Last game: 06/22/24. Impact: 2.0
- Tom Cosgrove OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: -0.3
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Connor Wong OUT (C): Avg: 0.328 SLG:0.475 Last game: 06/30/24. Impact: 3.8
- Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1
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