Padres vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the San Diego Padres, sitting at a cheeky 25W-26L, gear up to clash with the Cincinnati Reds, who are currently 20W-28L, in what’s shaping up to be a riveting rematch at the Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is ready to fly at 06:40 PM EST, and both teams are looking to claw their way up from 8 games back in the National League standings. With the over/under tantalizingly set at 9.0 and the betting lines favoring the Padres slightly at -125, this game is spicing up to be a real nail-biter. The Reds, fresh off a 2-0 victory against these very Padres, are looking to keep the momentum, while San Diego is hungry for redemption. Throw in some overcast skies, a breeze from the south, and you’ve got the perfect storm for an epic showdown. So, who will sail smoothly and who will get caught in the tide? One thing’s for sure, when Padres and Reds collide, it’s more than just a game—it’s a battle for the ages!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 22, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Overcast with winds from the S at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-125	+105	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-128	+107	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-3	+2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

127W-135L

56.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

122W-140L

43.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-2.0
04/29/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.0
04/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+1.0
04/30/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+1.0
05/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-1.0
05/01/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-1.0
05/21/24	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-7.0
05/21/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-7.0
05/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+2.0
05/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+2.0
05/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-6.0
05/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-6.0
05/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-1.0
05/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Under	-1.0
06/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+3.0
06/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+3.0
07/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	12	Over	+8.0
07/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+8.0
07/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-2.0
07/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Michael King

ERA 4.059 | IP 51.0 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 56.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-15-24	vsCOL	8-0L	5.3	8	6	7	Under
05-10-24	vsLAD	1-2W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
05-04-24	@ARI	13-1W	6.0	6	0	3	Over
04-28-24	vsPHI	8-6L	5.3	6	6	6	Over
04-23-24	@COL	4-7L	3.7	8	6	5	Over
04-17-24	@MIL	0-1L	7.7	2	1	10	Under
04-12-24	@LAD	8-7W	5.0	6	7	4	Over
04-06-24	@SF	4-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
03-31-24	vsSF	4-13W	4.0	2	2	6	Over
10-01-23	@KC	2-5W	4.0	8	4	1	Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 4.226 | IP 38.3 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 29.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-16-24	@LAD	7-2W	5.0	1	0	4	Push
05-12-24	@SF	5-6L	1.3	1	0	1	Over
05-09-24	vsARI	5-4L	2.0	3	1	2	Push
05-04-24	vsBAL	2-1L	2.0	0	0	2	Under
04-30-24	@SD	4-6L	5.0	6	5	3	Over
04-25-24	vsPHI	5-0L	6.0	11	5	3	Under
04-20-24	vsLAA	5-7W	3.0	2	0	2	Over
04-15-24	@SEA	3-9L	4.0	3	1	3	Over
04-06-24	vsNYM	6-9W	5.0	8	5	6	Over
03-31-24	vsWAS	5-6W	5.0	6	3	3	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/23	vs CIN	0-2L	5	0	Under
05/22	vs ATL	0-3L	7	0	Under
05/22	vs ATL	6-5W	10	0	Over
05/21	vs ATL	9-1W	14	3	Over
05/19	vs ATL	3-1W	13	0	Under
05/17	@ COL	0-8L	4	0	Under
05/16	@ COL	3-6L	11	0	Push
05/15	@ COL	4-5L	4	3	Push
05/14	@ LAD	4-0W	9	3	Under
05/13	@ LAD	0-5L	6	0	Under
05/12	@ LAD	2-1W	3	1	Under
05/10	vs CHC	3-0W	8	0	Under
05/09	vs CHC	2-3L	9	1	Under
05/08	vs CHC	6-3W	11	0	Push
05/07	vs ARI	4-11L	12	1	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/23	@ SD	2-0W	3	0	Under
05/21	vs LAD	2-3L	6	0	Under
05/20	vs LAD	0-4L	3	0	Under
05/19	vs LAD	3-7L	7	2	Over
05/18	vs LAD	7-2W	11	1	Push
05/17	vs ARI	1-2L	3	1	Under
05/16	vs ARI	6-2W	13	1	Under
05/15	vs ARI	5-6L	10	0	Over
05/14	vs SF	5-6L	10	1	Over
05/13	vs SF	1-5L	8	1	Under
05/12	vs SF	4-2W	9	1	Under
05/11	@ ARI	4-5L	9	1	Push
05/10	@ ARI	3-4L	9	0	Under
05/09	@ ARI	2-6L	3	2	Under
05/07	@ BAL	1-11L	3	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	9.1	11.2	0.318	0.383	38.8%	77.1%	0.0%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	10.7	14.1	0.243	0.418	37.0%	78.8%	4.2%
#3 Jurickson Profar	8.5	11.2	0.339	0.521	49.1%	101.2%	4.2%
#4 Jake Cronenworth	8.4	11.1	0.259	0.454	36.8%	82.2%	4.6%
#5 Manny Machado	9.0	11.7	0.223	0.331	28.0%	61.1%	2.3%
#6 Jackson Merrill	8.7	11.0	0.286	0.381	36.1%	74.1%	2.0%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.8	9.0	0.255	0.401	32.1%	72.3%	2.9%
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.5	8.6	0.223	0.38	39.8%	77.7%	3.6%
#9 Tyler Wade	5.6	7.2	0.215	0.246	33.8%	58.5%	0.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jacob Hurtubise	7.8	9.4	0.182	0.182	36.4%	54.5%	0.0%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	9.3	12.0	0.262	0.483	40.7%	89.0%	5.2%
#3 Spencer Steer	7.8	10.5	0.224	0.373	39.8%	77.0%	2.5%
#4 Tyler Stephenson	7.3	9.7	0.243	0.443	36.5%	80.9%	4.3%
#5 Mike Ford	7.5	9.5	0.146	0.25	16.7%	41.7%	2.1%
#6 Jeimer Candelario	6.8	9.0	0.216	0.379	31.4%	69.3%	2.6%
#7 Jonathan India	6.5	8.4	0.216	0.291	38.5%	67.6%	1.4%
#8 Nick Martini	5.7	7.8	0.177	0.329	21.5%	54.4%	3.8%
#9 Will Benson	6.1	8.0	0.195	0.39	33.1%	72.1%	3.9%